What beats good hitting?
Good pitching, it's just that simple.

Twins stud Berrios, nasty against RH hitting, almost as good vs. LHP
Owns a stellar 1.08 WH/IP ratio, averages a K an inning.
Has an arsenal that can stymie the hot Astro's bats for a game.
One caveat, the ERA of 3.53 is a little high for a 1.08 WH/IP, will give up the occasional gopher ball (nine this season) but nothing astonishing.

Flip side, Astros start former Pirate shit bum Charlie Morton, moves to Houston and becomes a formidable starter for them. (He was a HS superstar here up the road in Redding Ct.)

Morton has been getting abused the RH sticks all season.
Quick check of the Twins lineup shows all the Twins RH hitting power sticks are in their tonight.
Sano, Dozier, a trio of switch hitters that will more than likely bat from the right side (Vargas with nice pop, Grossman good contact guy.....)

Great value here at +145

*(if you are looking for something a little more chalky, Pirates at -125 with Cole over Cards is one to look at too)

Astros for me main play
Pitt -125 (I'll never lay more that 4:3 on any game) for a minor play