the long run

iceminers26 · 03-25-10, 02:46 AM

Just track your bets and when you get to 100, you have a good starting sample size of how well you are doing. Obviously the larger sample size the better, but I think 100 plays total at 1 to 2 plays daily is a pretty good starting point. This is of course using all juice lower than the standard (-110).

bobbyfk · 03-25-10, 02:51 AM

around 2-3% of your roll

ex: bankroll is $1000..bet around $50 a game

Shortstop · 03-25-10, 02:52 AM

Check out the Newbie Forum when you get the chance.
Good Luck to you!

gohabsgo · 03-25-10, 03:00 AM

oK, i'm taking too much action i suppose. 50 bets in 4 days so far. Got 16 booked for today..thursday! So far i'm up, but my guess is that i won't last too long with a strategy like this... beetween 1 and 5 a day would be optimal?

Here are my bets for tommorow:

Hockey

Calgary at NY Islanders Money Line Calgary-137

Dallas at San Jose Puck Line 1.5 San Jose -1.5+132

Dallas at San JoseTotal 5.5 Over 5.5 (DAL/SJ)-115

Florida at Montreal Money Line Florida+151

Los Angeles at St. LouisMoney Line Los Angeles-106

Minnesota at PhiladelphiaPuck Line 1.5 Philadelphia -1.5+184

Phoenix at NashvilleMoney LinePhoenix+111

Tampa Bay at BostonPuck Line 1.5 Boston -1.5+165

Toronto at AtlantaMoney Line Atlanta-122

Washington at CarolinaTotal 6.5Over 6.5 (WAS/CAR)-110

NCAA Basketball

Butler at Syracuse Money Line Syracuse-258

Cornell at Kentucky Money Line Kentucky-417

Washington U at West Virginia Money Line Washington U+187

Xavier at Kansas State Point Spread 4.5 Kansas State -4.5-107

Xavier at Kansas State Money Line Kansas State-208

What do u think?

iceminers26 · 03-25-10, 03:06 AM

Originally posted by gohabsgo

oK, i'm taking too much action i suppose. 50 bets in 4 days so far. Got 16 booked for today..thursday

Wow, yes far too many plays per day, you never want to set an exact number per day because you do not know how much value will be on that day's card, might be 3 plays might be 0, but I always try to keep it under 3 plays daily so I come out with about 15 to 20 plays for the entire week. The more games you play per day, the more advantage you are giving the book. I was like you when I first started out and was playing every game on the board, but I would lower the number of plays immediately if you want to have any chance of winning weekly.

gohabsgo · 03-25-10, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by iceminers26

Wow, yes far too many plays per day, you never want to set an exact number per day because you do not know how much value will be on that day's card, might be 3 plays might be 0, but I always try to keep it under 3 plays daily so I come out with about 15 to 20 plays for the entire week. The more games you play per day, the more advantage you are giving the book. I was like you when I first started out and was playing every game on the board, but I would lower the number of plays immediately if you want to have any chance of winning weekly.

Thanks for the advice! I'll lower my action starting friday. I Keep my fingers cross for today... The funny thing is that i don't know much about basketball, my decisions are entirely based on what i read on this form. So far so good!

Shortstop · 03-25-10, 03:14 AM

That's a lot of plays for one day, you must be an action junkie!

gohabsgo · 03-25-10, 03:20 AM

Originally posted by Shortstop

That's a lot of plays for one day, you must be an action junkie!

Or a risk diversification junkie

Seriously, an action junkie for sure...I'll fix that starting on friday.

This leads me to another question, what percentage of the sports bettors beat the game? between 1 and 5%, 5 and 10% ?

Cheers

iceminers26 · 03-25-10, 03:23 AM

Originally posted by gohabsgo

Or a risk diversification junkie

Seriously, an action junkie for sure...I'll fix that starting on friday. This leads me to another question, what percentage of the sports bettors beat the game? between 1 and 5%, 5 and 10% ? Cheers

Not a clue and never really cared to find out, I just worry about myself and my numbers. I break it down into 10 game segments where I try to at a bare minimum to go 6-4 in every 10 game stretch, anything better than that, 7-3, 8-2, 9-1, and 10-0 is just added profits.

Shortstop · 03-25-10, 03:27 AM

I usually only wager 1 game a day if that.

I might go crazy and wager on 2 if I get the urge.

THE PROFIT · 03-25-10, 03:37 AM

If you're betting 50 games in 4 days you'll never make it bro. Slow down & look for value