Anybody else thinking of blind betting the Cubs 1.5 run line every game?

[texhooper]

Ummm no.. He threw a complete game. Gave up a grand slam in the 8th or 9th.. You remembered incorrectly

no sir. it is you who are wrong. maybe before you correct me in the future, know what you're talking about. the only thing i'm wrong about it is it was actually a home game.

Baltimore 6, Texas 1

• Boxscore
• Recap

Baltimore at Texas Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E ML OU BAL 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 6 9 2 348 TEX 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 -380 8.5

[iloseagain]

well then i must be thinking of another game..

[iloseagain]

maybe im thinking of another game completely then.. baltimore hit a grand slam in the 8th or 9th of this game i am thinking about.. we all lost a ton of money on it.. maybe it wasnt the cliff lee game then.. i wouldnt have remembered it as "grand slam towards the end of the game to screw me" if, in reality, they were losing the whole game.. I swear it has to be another game

[texhooper]

maybe im thinking of another game completely then.. baltimore hit a grand slam in the 8th or 9th of this game i am thinking about.. we all lost a ton of money on it.. maybe it wasnt the cliff lee game then..

it's all good man. whatever it was it sucked but you guys made it out alive.

[iloseagain]

here it is.. kid jus found it

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/y2010/index.jsp?gid=2010_07_09_balmlb_texmlb_1

not sure why i thought it was the cliff lee game

[JMon]

Hey swords...Grits is not answering, so I will ask you, and I know you will answer honesty. How many games do you predict the Cubs to win this year?

[swordsandtequila]

Hey swords...Grits is not answering, so I will ask you, and I know you will answer honesty. How many games do you predict the Cubs to win this year?

Shit JMon, wouldn't even hazard a guess. They're definitely talented, just too long a season to make 116 win type predictions. Too many things can go wrong. Losing Schwarber hurt, but like all sports if they can stay relatively healthy the should be in the thick of it. Until proven otherwise they're not heads and tails above the rest of the league. Pretty sure St. Louis, Pittsburgh, SF, etc. will have a say in things. As a Rays fan, I've seen first hand how teams can waste great pitching (or hitting as it were). All that said, I've made some change on the Cubs, just not ready to proclaim them the greatest of all time 2 weeks into the season.

[JMon]

Shit JMon, wouldn't even hazard a guess. They're definitely talented, just too long a season to make 116 win type predictions. Too many things can go wrong. Losing Schwarber hurt, but like all sports if they can stay relatively healthy the should be in the thick of it. Until proven otherwise they're not heads and tails above the rest of the league. Pretty sure St. Louis, Pittsburgh, SF, etc. will have a say in things. As a Rays fan, I've seen first hand how teams can waste great pitching (or hitting as it were). All that said, I've made some change on the Cubs, just not ready to proclaim them the greatest of all time 2 weeks into the season.

Only reason I asked a season win total, is not too be naive if does happen. My research on post 99, clearly shows ML and RL -1.5 on a dominate team. Problem is...are they a dominate team?

[iloseagain]

arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol

[d2bets]

arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol

Weird, RL is only -120. I realize the importance, but hard to lay -320 ML over -120 RL. Seems like it's gotta be a trap though.

[Grits n' Gravy]

How many games do you predict the cubs to win this year?

No clue. Bases is too boring to hold my attention for a full season.

I do know that blindly betting them on rl will not end well.

[frogsrangers]

No clue. Bases is too boring to hold my attention for a full season.

I do know that blindly betting them on rl will not end well.

First time I have ever seen Grits n' Gravy say anything on this board that makes sense

[iloseagain]

Weird, RL is only -120. I realize the importance, but hard to lay -320 ML over -120 RL. Seems like it's gotta be a trap though.

ended up on rocks 1h +0.5.. rocks 1h ml. rocks ml and +1.5

[d2bets]

Jake the Great strikes out the side in the 1st on 13 pitches. Live stuff. Could be one of those days for him.

[FlyinAir]

Rockies +0.5 +160 1st 5 was my bet for the game. Great value

[iloseagain]

oh i also took 1h u3.5 ha

[d2bets]

Rizzo and Soler demolish back to back pitches into the wind.

[iloseagain]

ahh looks like the squarest bet on the board will win

[d2bets]

ahh looks like the squarest bet on the board will win

Is it really square to bet on Arrieta who hasn't allowed a run at Wrigley Field since July 2015 (43+ innings)?

[iloseagain]

Is it really square to bet on Arrieta who hasn't allowed a run at Wrigley Field since July 2015 (43+ innings)?

yes and no.. im just saying taking a huge fav in MLB on the RL is usually pretty square

[d2bets]

Jake is the best pitcher in baseball right now, and he might just top last year's historic season. If he makes 32+ starts, he might just reach 25 wins this season. Oh, and he hits 450 foot home runs too.

[d2bets]

Fowler leaned into one. That's pretty much ballgame.

[d2bets]

Arrieta has thrown 51 consecutive scoreless innings at Wrigley Field.

[Bigdave117]

arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol

Betting ML on Arrieta games is retarded. Usually the line is like 200 or 250 for ML vs 120 for RL and the cubs have won 95% of the games in his huge streak by 2+ runs. That -250 looks like a horrible value in comparison


You gotta figure he's going to give up about 1-2 runs a game and the cubs offense is generally good for 5-7 runs

[Mr KLC]

The Chicago Cubs win again to move to 15-5 on the year. It's their best start through 20 games since 1907, a year in which the Cubs won the World Series.

[habitualwinning]

The Chicago Cubs win again to move to 15-5 on the year. It's their best start through 20 games since 1907, a year in which the Cubs won the World Series.

But they didn't cover the -1.5 RL @home against the lowly Brewers, so the homers in this thread lost last night. After that 8-1 RL start by the Cubbies every Chicagoan thought they would be millionaires by the end of the season betting them. But as is always the case in baseball, reality caught up and the Cubs are now below .500 on the RL and down money since that "hot" start.

The homers are all scratching their heads still trying to figure out how the Cubs have lost to Robbie Ray, Chad Bettis, Tyler Chatwood and Daniel Straily. Most casual baseball fans couldn't even tell you what teams those guys are on, much less their stats, lol. Cubs only good loss this season was when CarMart shut them down over 7 solid innings. The rest are horrible losses, especially when the Cubs are >-200 almost every game and sometimes -250, -300, -350+ like tonight. If Arrieta ever has a couple of off starts like he did the 1st half of last season, or if Lester goes through a cold stretch, Cubs homers/backers will be buried with these ridiculously juiced lines. I tried telling these guys there's a difference between a team being really good and being able to consistently profit off of that good team. The Cubs haven't even played the Nats, Mets, Dodgers, Giants or Pirates yet this season.

[Capybara]

But they didn't cover the -1.5 RL @home against the lowly Brewers, so the homers in this thread lost last night. After that 8-1 RL start by the Cubbies every Chicagoan thought they would be millionaires by the end of the season betting them. But as is always the case in baseball, reality caught up and the Cubs are now below .500 on the RL and down money since that "hot" start.

The homers are all scratching their heads still trying to figure out how the Cubs have lost to Robbie Ray, Chad Bettis, Tyler Chatwood and Daniel Straily. Most casual baseball fans couldn't even tell you what teams those guys are on, much less their stats, lol. Cubs only good loss this season was when CarMart shut them down over 7 solid innings. The rest are horrible losses, especially when the Cubs are >-200 almost every game and sometimes -250, -300, -350+ like tonight. If Arrieta ever has a couple of off starts like he did the 1st half of last season, or if Lester goes through a cold stretch, Cubs homers/backers will be buried with these ridiculously juiced lines. I tried telling these guys there's a difference between a team being really good and being able to consistently profit off of that good team. The Cubs haven't even played the Nats, Mets, Dodgers, Giants or Pirates yet this season.

Very solid post right here.

Nevertheless...

I am on the -2.5 tonight, so let's get it! (Arrieta games get different treatment. So far they are 4-0 on the -3.5 for his games.)