I say -1.5 or 2, but everyone I talk to expects the Zaga to be favored by much more. I think Gonzaga should be favored by 7, but no chance they are going to be more than -2.5 right?
GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#2
I was thinking along the lines of -6.
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#3
Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
I was thinking along the lines of -6.
that seems to be the consenseus of about 6 people i talked to, but Gonzaga was -6 at home and this game is in Vegas, that would be a huge adjustment. St. Marys was -4 the first time these teams played.
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compaqDikk
SBR Hall of Famer
10-08-05
5699
#4
zags will be 11.5 dogs. i know what motel they're staying at on the strip and lets just say they'll be lucky to have more than 90 minutes of sleep going into this game. they'll be playing like leonardo di caprio the way he did in basketball diaries when he took the black ones instead of the red ones. it will be like around the 1 min 11 mark of this vid when that 7'7 bum for gonzaga threw up 2 airballz
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#5
Originally posted by rm18
that seems to be the consenseus of about 6 people i talked to, but Gonzaga was -6 at home and this game is in Vegas, that would be a huge adjustment. St. Marys was -4 the first time these teams played.
Yea but they beat St. Marys by 19 in that game. Two wins by a combined 26 points against this team I think keeps this one at -6.
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THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#6
I was thinkin 8 but they will lose SU, they have beat StMary 2 times this season
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#7
i will leave the site forever if the line is over 5, no chance
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#8
Originally posted by rm18
i will leave the site forever if the line is over 5, no chance
i agree would think its a relatively small number not that im a line expert or anything but seriously doubt its 6 or higher
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#9
Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
Yea but they beat St. Marys by 19 in that game. Two wins by a combined 26 points against this team I think keeps this one at -6.
The Bobcats have beat the Lakers like 5 times in a row, this really has no impact on the line. I think the Zags do match up well, but that is not something that really seems to be factored into lines, especially openers, Gonzaga should open 2 or less, and possible get bet up a little.
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blackNgoldjuice
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-08
529
#10
Zags by either 4.5 or 5
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EDDIE MONEY LINE
SBR Hall of Famer
02-24-10
6298
#11
i'd set the line at 6.5_ zags win by 5 or 7 at home
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cappinthepigs
SBR MVP
10-07-09
1864
#12
I have it at Zags -1.5 using my system.
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THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#13
Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
i'd set the line at 6.5_ zags win by 5 or 7 at home
why are you worrying about what their "at home" line would be? So what would it be on neutral?
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Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63172
#14
The Zags will be 1-2.5 point favs, that is all.
I think one of the biggest factors in that actual result is the play/shooting of Ben Allen for St. Mary's. When he is shooting well he creates matchup problems for the opposing team's big men, since Samhan still needs to be gaurded by the best big man on the opposing team. Allen is 1-11 behind the Arc in the two games vs the Zags. he is hitting 40.8% against everyone else the rest of the year. I would expect him to regress to the mean in a positive way here and hit 2-3 tonight.
the 3's in general are the biggest keys to this game. St. Mary's is one of the best 3 point shooting teams in the nation, and one of the best team's in gaurding the 3. and handicapping 3 point shooting for any one given game is really unpredictable. they could go 4-22 tonight or 13-25 who knows?
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Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63172
#15
I was wrong. Opened at -3.5 and -165 ml at BetPhoenix.
I still expect people to pound that # and hopefully I can get St. Mary's later today at +5 or +5.5 and get the free half point at wagerchief.... just a 1 unit play with a half unit on the ml
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ZBOIZ
SBR Posting Legend
06-22-08
21464
#16
Once again the linemakers has made an error producing a line for this game. As I stated earlier this season Gonzaga is the superior team here. Zaga by 10 +.
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james4512
SBR MVP
10-27-08
3707
#17
geez you guys are stupid most idiotic posts ive seen all in one thread
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beach nut
SBR Wise Guy
03-18-09
589
#18
I just took Gonzaga -165 at the Greek.
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#19
Originally posted by james4512
geez you guys are stupid most idiotic posts ive seen all in one thread