Sunday Night Football Late Night Bailout

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  • TheLock
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-06-08
    • 14427

    #1
    Sunday Night Football Late Night Bailout
    Eagles +3.5 -110 (2 units).

    An 11 win team is only giving 3.5 points to the Eagles.
  • SEAHAWKHARRY
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-29-07
    • 26068

    #2
    I have ARIZONA -3.5. If I'm wrong hope they beat cards keep SEAHAWKS hope alive for west
    Comment
    • TwoWays
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-24-10
      • 13145

      #3
      Locker, I've got a huge position on the cardinals tonight, -3.5. It's basically your typical cok block double barrel schlong in your face lock.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #4
        Locker your a mess man comb your hair
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #5
          Agreed. Locker has issues.
          Comment
          • TheLock
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-06-08
            • 14427

            #6
            So all of SBR loves Arizona.

            Good.
            Comment
            • Chi_archie
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-22-08
              • 63165

              #7
              let's get some!!!!!!
              Comment
              • BIGDAY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 02-17-10
                • 48245

                #8
                Watch your trap Suhn.
                Comment
                • USCPHILLYGUY
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-15-12
                  • 21744

                  #9
                  Locker......sharp as a nail
                  Comment
                  • TheLock
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-06-08
                    • 14427

                    #10
                    Chiefs, Cardinals and Patriots cover

                    Today was a square bettors dream

                    I took a bath
                    Comment
                    • Jeep_Life 42
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-28-15
                      • 1388

                      #11
                      Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                      Locker......sharp as a nail
                      hahaha
                      Comment
                      • TwoWays
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 13145

                        #12
                        Locker is a good guy but is just a novice. Lock is lock.
                        Comment
                        • Kermit
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-27-10
                          • 32555

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TheLock
                          Chiefs, Cardinals and Patriots cover

                          Today was a square bettors dream

                          I took a bath
                          Why were these square plays? The vastly superior teams dominated as they were supposed to.
                          Comment
                          • rake922
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-23-07
                            • 11692

                            #14
                            so close
                            Comment
                            • mpaschal34
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-04-13
                              • 12084

                              #15
                              Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                              Locker......sharp as a nail

                              not even close
                              Comment
                              • intangible fate
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-27-08
                                • 193

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheLock
                                Chiefs, Cardinals and Patriots cover
                                9
                                Today was a square bettors dream

                                I took a bath
                                Don't forget Packers, Bengals, Seahawks, and Vikings.
                                Comment
                                • baseballstud
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-31-08
                                  • 980

                                  #17
                                  eagles looked worse than my toilet after spicy mexican food
                                  Comment
                                  • unde0087
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-27-08
                                    • 28875

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by baseballstud
                                    eagles looked worse than my toilet after spicy mexican food
                                    Comment
                                    • thellama
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-27-15
                                      • 899

                                      #19
                                      An 11 win team is only giving 3.5 points to the Eagles.
                                      Not sure if serious? Everything about what that sentence says bet the Cardinals. Im with Kermit. I knew the Seahawks were going to kick the shit out of their opponent today so I bet the opposite?
                                      Comment
                                      • BeeFree
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-16-14
                                        • 1215

                                        #20
                                        fake dc was on eagles
                                        Comment
                                        • grease lightnin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-01-12
                                          • 16015

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by thellama
                                          Not sure if serious? Everything about what that sentence says bet the Cardinals. Im with Kermit. I knew the Seahawks were going to kick the shit out of their opponent today so I bet the opposite?

                                          He was saying the line was fishy, that it should have been much higher than -3.5. Many times in these situations the dog covers or wins, following the theory that Vegas knows what is going to happen and is setting a trap for square bettors who see that juicy -3.5.

                                          Many bettors will take the other side in these situations. These bettors regard themselves as sharps. However, it just isn't that easy.
                                          Last edited by grease lightnin; 12-21-15, 08:23 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82503

                                            #22
                                            A sharp is going to bet where he sees an edge. If sharps calculated Cardinals can cover this number they would bet it regardless of whether Vegas is trying to set a trap or not.
                                            Comment
                                            • stealthyburrito
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-12-09
                                              • 21562

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                              He was saying the line was fishy, that it should have been much higher than -3.5. Many times in these situations the dog covers or wins, following the theory that Vegas knows what is going to happen and is setting a trap for square bettors who see that juicy -3.5.

                                              Many bettors will take the other side in these situations. These bettors regard themselves as sharps. However, it just isn't that easy.
                                              I've learned this lesson far too many times this season than I care to admit
                                              Comment
                                              • Albabbie
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-02-15
                                                • 242

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                He was saying the line was fishy, that it should have been much higher than -3.5. Many times in these situations the dog covers or wins, following the theory that Vegas knows what is going to happen and is setting a trap for square bettors who see that juicy -3.5.

                                                Many bettors will take the other side in these situations. These bettors regard themselves as sharps. However, it just isn't that easy.
                                                A sharp isn't someone who just takes the contrarian side to the public's lean. As you said, there is much more to it.

                                                This late in the season, the dominant teams tend to pull away from the mediocre ones. Cin (-4.5), Ari (-3.5), and Sea (-14.5) were gifts. I'll admit, I passed on the PHI/ARI game fearing getting caught on the hook, but I should have known better.
                                                Comment
                                                • grease lightnin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-01-12
                                                  • 16015

                                                  #25
                                                  Pavy, and Albabbie, yes, I agree. But there are many who think contrarian = sharp, especially here.

                                                  Albabbie--good point about the more dominant teams, but I worry that these teams are prone to drop a game when they don't need the win. This and the fishy looking line caused me to stay away from AZ/Philly yesterday.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigdaddyQH
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-13-09
                                                    • 19530

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                    He was saying the line was fishy, that it should have been much higher than -3.5. Many times in these situations the dog covers or wins, following the theory that Vegas knows what is going to happen and is setting a trap for square bettors who see that juicy -3.5.

                                                    Many bettors will take the other side in these situations. These bettors regard themselves as sharps. However, it just isn't that easy.
                                                    Well said. Players, especially the wanna-be's in here, should not try to outguess Vegas, especially since none of them have the foggiest idea about how Vegas works. Sharps make money when they see a wager that is advantageous to them, no matter what Vegas does. What you clowns have to do is to try and figure out who actually has the better team, something that few of you can do. This is why few of you actually wager real money on these games and of the few that do, 85% or so lose over the season.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • goldust
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-29-15
                                                      • 861

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                      Pavy, and Albabbie, yes, I agree. But there are many who think contrarian = sharp, especially here.

                                                      Albabbie--good point about the more dominant teams, but I worry that these teams are prone to drop a game when they don't need the win. This and the fishy looking line caused me to stay away from AZ/Philly yesterday.
                                                      Yeah, I was concerned with Zona's motivation, but given their coach is Bruce Arians and he seems to always play to win and with aggression, I felt okay betting them. This won't be the case with other "dominant teams" these last couple weeks.

                                                      For example, even up 37-17 he was still throwing the ball late in the 4th. Backdoor covers are less of a problem with this team.
                                                      Comment
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