Don't you think +195 is a little bit high for USA ML?

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  • Sawyer
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-01-09
    • 7761
    #1
    Don't you think +195 is a little bit high for USA ML?


    USA ML +195
    Canada ML -196

    All odds are taken from Matchbook.

    I know Canada is a superb hockey team but come on, USA National Hockey team is hot! They're playing with a great ambition. US have a good chance to beat Canada tomorrow, odds for US are valuable in my opinion.

    My line was US +140, CAN -160.

    Let's Go USA!

    Pick: USA ML +195
    Tags: None
    • Sawyer
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-01-09
      • 7761
      #2
      Pick 2: Canada Team Total Under 3½ -125 (1.80)
        Comment
        • FishFace5
          SBR MVP
          • 10-15-09
          • 1768
          #3
          Canada is rolling.
          This game is their superbowl.
          No way they lose twice to us in the same tournament. They beat russia 8 to 2!!!!!!
          I'm not betting on the canucks and will be cheering like hell for the USA but dont feel good about there chances in this 1.
            Comment
            • Jaug
              SBR MVP
              • 01-11-09
              • 3087
              #4
              Do you remember what the line was in the last game? I don't really remember but I think it was somwhere US +250.
                Comment
                • FishFace5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-09
                  • 1768
                  #5
                  Originally posted by Sawyer
                  Pick 2: Canada Team Total Under 3½ -125 (1.80)
                  Dont like that 1 either.
                  Those are very correlated picks.
                    Comment
                    • Sawyer
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 7761
                      #6
                      Yes, Canada is favourite here but Value Bet is USA ML here..

                      Canada %60
                      USA %40

                      Odds over 2.50 (+150) are valuable in my opinion.

                      If Odds x Winning Chance (based on my opinion/analysis) > 100 = Value Bet

                      2.95 (+195) x 40 (Winning Chance) = 118

                      118 > 100

                      Expected Value: +%18

                      This is a FINAL game guys. Everything can happen. Yanks have a chance to win tomorrow

                      GL All! It's gonna be a great game.
                        Comment
                        • odusmykal
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-30-07
                          • 3426
                          #7
                          I think its about right.. Not too high in my opinion against an excellant Canadian team.. I'm gonna place a little on the U.S.A., just because i'm gonna be pulling for them.. But it wouldn't surprise me if we lose this game..
                            Comment
                            • mr. leisure
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-08
                              • 17507
                              #8
                              Gimme the U.S. at +195


                              C`MON GUYS YOU CAN DO IT
                                Comment
                                • Powderguy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-18-09
                                  • 6939
                                  #9
                                  I'm not wagering on this, because deep down I feel like the Canadians will beat the US. But I will be pulling hard from US to win the gold!
                                    Comment
                                    • whatsgood5
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-13-09
                                      • 15359
                                      #10
                                      I personally think +195 is too low for us. I'm not betting on this, as I've stayed away from betting the olympics, but I honestly think the Canadians will win here. Don't get me wrong though, I'll be rooting like hell for the Americans though of course. USA! USA! USA!
                                        Comment
                                        • james4512
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-27-08
                                          • 3707
                                          #11
                                          Originally posted by Jaug
                                          Do you remember what the line was in the last game? I don't really remember but I think it was somwhere US +250.
                                          +325
                                            Comment
                                            • Sawyer
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-01-09
                                              • 7761
                                              #12
                                              Originally posted by Sawyer
                                              Pick 1: USA ML +195 LOST
                                              Pick 2: CANADA TEAM TOTAL UNDER 3½ -125 WINNER
                                              Great comeback (and effort) by United States but it was not enough..

                                              1W
                                              1L
                                                Comment
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