I am such a stats junkie (How I've been doing so far)

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  • JohnAnthony
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-30-09
    • 5110

    #1
    I am such a stats junkie (How I've been doing so far)
    I know the sample size is meaningless, but I found these stats interesting:

    • After 104 NBA plays (excluding live betting) - I am hitting over 61%.


    • After 87 Soccer plays (excluding live betting) - I am hitting a little over 54%.


    • A miniature sample size of 18 LIVE BETS shows I should probably STOP doing it - 27%.


    • After 282 straight wagers (excluding TEASERS (1) and PARLAYS (3) and including live betting) I am hitting JUST under 55% (54.96%)

    • Average price for ALL straight wagers: -107.

    ALL THESE BETS HAVE BEEN TRACKED IN EITHER OF MY (2) THREADS FOR PICKS (ONLY ONE ACTIVE)

    Two notes:

    1. Poker veterans usually bring a rookie who just won a huge tourney or pot back to earth by asking "but how much are you down lifetime?" - before you ask I'm going to say this: a lot. But nothing I cannot regain if I can do as nearly as good as I'm doing now.

    2. Look for these stats to start averaging down, especially after this thread has been made


    "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

    - D.H. Lawrence
  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #2
    Keep up the great work John.
    Comment
    • bobbyfk
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-19-09
      • 15218

      #3
      Comment
      • Shortstop
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 01-02-09
        • 27281

        #4
        Excellent job JA! Keep on rolling buddy!
        Comment
        • whatsgood5
          Restricted User
          • 10-13-09
          • 15359

          #5
          Very impressive, keep up the good work JA
          Comment
          • Jaug
            SBR MVP
            • 01-11-09
            • 3087

            #6
            I guess you are referring to Asian handicap for the soccer? The pure MLs don't say anything %-wise.

            gw on NBA.
            Comment
            • G's pks
              Restricted User
              • 01-01-09
              • 22251

              #7
              JA being up is all that matters. I bet a few games a week and usually each week is an up week at the end. Are you up or down all together?
              Comment
              • JohnAnthony
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-30-09
                • 5110

                #8
                Thanks for the kind words gentlemen let's hope I didn't just jinx myself now

                Originally posted by Jaug
                I guess you are referring to Asian handicap for the soccer? The pure MLs don't say anything %-wise. gw on NBA.
                Hmmm..what's the difference between X ML and X (-0.5)? I guess none. Can someone elaborate on Jaug's statement?
                "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                - D.H. Lawrence
                Comment
                • JohnAnthony
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-30-09
                  • 5110

                  #9
                  Jaug did you mean (pk) lines?
                  "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                  - D.H. Lawrence
                  Comment
                  • JohnAnthony
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-30-09
                    • 5110

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Jaug
                    I guess you are referring to Asian handicap for the soccer? The pure MLs don't say anything %-wise. gw on NBA.
                    I'm still looking for an answer on this:


                    Originally posted by Jaug
                    I guess you are referring to Asian handicap for the soccer? The pure MLs don't say anything %-wise. gw on NBA.
                    Originally posted by JohnAnthony
                    Thanks for the kind words gentlemen let's hope I didn't just jinx myself now Hmmm..what's the difference between X ML and X (-0.5)? I guess none. Can someone elaborate on Jaug's statement?
                    "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                    - D.H. Lawrence
                    Comment
                    • Extra Innings
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-26-10
                      • 15058

                      #11
                      Looks like your doing quite well John Anthony. Looks like you do better when you're not in the thick of it. Have you thought about doing a fade on your live betting? Hope your success with your NBA and Soccer continues....you're doing something right
                      Comment
                      • JohnAnthony
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-30-09
                        • 5110

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Extra Innings
                        Looks like your doing quite well John Anthony. Looks like you do better when you're not in the thick of it. Have you thought about doing a fade on your live betting? Hope your success with your NBA and Soccer continues....you're doing something right
                        That is absolutely right Extra Innings.

                        About live betting: I will try to be as cautious as possible with live betting, as it does seem very unprofitable. I am 3-1 in live betting since posting these stats, so I realize just like all of the other stats - the sample size is pretty small and I will have to continue pounding stuff I like, just with extra caution.

                        Thanks for your compliments!
                        "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                        - D.H. Lawrence
                        Comment
                        • SBR_John
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-12-05
                          • 16471

                          #13
                          Don't let it go to your head. You're doing what you're suppose to be doing; winning.
                          Comment
                          • JohnAnthony
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-30-09
                            • 5110

                            #14
                            Originally posted by SBR_John
                            Don't let it go to your head. You're doing what you're suppose to be doing; winning.
                            Will try my hardest Mr. Walker thanks!
                            "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                            - D.H. Lawrence
                            Comment
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