Watched the line movement...made the decisions...And they tanked

[mdemps9190]

So I've been betting with line moves a lot lately. Tonight I watched the movement and watched late money come in on a few teams I took these games where this occurred (or so I thought)
Louisville -4
Providence +8
Lakers -6 (bad line, bodog)
Suns +6
Texas Tech +6 (sorta)
Portland - 7

These games were 2-4 yet most of them were looking VERY solid at the half. I bet heaviest on louisville and providence and they both were winning at the half. Is this intended? Should I start betting these line moves on 1H lines? I don't know where I'm going wrong here. Maybe this belongs in the think tank but let me know what you guys think so I don't have another rough night like tonight.

[Glitch]

suns and portland hit- you gotta make the analysis first and then you can go to line movement. texas tech is a big disapointment and k state is ballin hard this year- i wouldnt advise betting against them again- nor syracuse.

ive been burnt about 4 times goin against georgetown this year so its easy for me to lay off playin against them now. keep us updated if you decide to look more into the 1h/movemente correlation.

[WileOut]

Your sample is too small. You cant judge on one nights results. Not even a week.

[pavyracer]

A successful gambler knows which days to follow line movements, which sharps and which squares.

[mdemps9190]

is that serous comment pavy? What do you mean by which days?

[sharpcat]

blindly following line movements is a mistake!!!!

first off teams like the lakers are very likely to take on a lot of square action late due to their popularity.

secondly linesmakers will some times move lines in an attempt t draw action to the wrong side of the game, maybe you should do some research on reverse line moves and try to learn to spot which line moves are sharps, which are squares, and which are intended by the books to draw action to the wrong side of the game.

[THE PROFIT]

Sound advice Pavy!!!!

a good gambler is supposed to know what teams are gonna win on what night! Until you know that you're gonna lose

[mdemps9190]

i sense sarcasm from the profit, at least i hope I do. And I'm also considering percentages as well as other factors but still.

[pavyracer]

is that serous comment pavy? What do you mean by which days?

My point is do not follow line movements blindly. Look for RLM, look for sharp plays like home dogs getting +8 points or more, small chalk square plays, traps, etc.

[paco]

Shit happens. I missed 2 overs by half point each. Lakers over 2nd half (pushed at 96). ( Cleveland over 200.5 missed with the hook)

[THE PROFIT]

Line movement will hit when you dismiss it & miss when you follow it. I think there is no way to really get a grasp on it unless you work answer the phone & make the moves! Just cap the game & go for it!

& yes, that was sarcasm.