Obviously there is no easy way to cap games like these but that's why I hope everyone can say their piece and we might come to some sort of consensus.
Here's the rosters:
For the Rooks
DeJuan Blair: San Antonio F-C 6-7 265 Pittsburgh
Omri Casspi: Sacramento F 6-9 225 Yavne, Israel
Stephen Curry: Golden State G 6-3 185 Davidson
Tyreke Evans: Sacramento G 6-6 220 Memphis
Jonny Flynn: Minnesota G 6-0 185 Syracuse
Taj Gibson: Chicago F 6-9 225 USC
James Harden: Oklahoma City G 6-5 220 Arizona State
Brandon Jennings: Milwaukee G 6-1 169 Italy
Jonas Jerebko: Detroit F 6-10 231 Kinna, Sweden
and the Sophs:
Michael Beasley: Miami F 6-9 245 Kansas St.
Marc Gasol: Memphis C 7-1 265 Barcelona, Spain
Danilo Gallinari: New York G-F 6-10 225 Italy
Eric Gordon: L.A. Clippers G 6-3 222 Indiana
Brook Lopez: New Jersey C 7-0 260 Stanford
Kevin Love: Minnesota F-C 6-10 260 UCLA
O.J. Mayo: Memphis G 6-4 210 USC
Derrick Rose: Chicago G 6-3 190 Memphis
Russell Westbrook: Oklahoma City G 6-3 187 UCLA
Obviously the Sophmores have the superior roster and should completely dominate the first years. Looking at the matchups the Sophs have a definite advantage in size and will control the boards wtih Lopez and Gasol inside. Of course the game will be played with more run n gun but I don't think the game will be as high flying as some might expect.
PREVIOUS NBA ROOKIE CHALLENGE WINNERS
1994 - Phenoms 74, Sensations 68
1995 - White 83, Green 79 (OT)
1996 - East 94, West 92
1997 - East 96, West 91
1998 - East 85, West 80
2000 - Rookies 92, Sophomores 81 (OT)
2001 - Sophomores 121, Rookies 113
2002 - Rookies 103, Sophomores 97
2003 - Sophomores 132, Rookies 112
2004 - Sophomores 142, Rookies 118
2005 - Sophomores 133, Rookies 106
2006 - Sophomores 106, Rookies 96
2007 - Sophomores 155, Rookies 114
2008 - Sophomores 136, Rookies 109
2009 - Sophomores 122, Rookies 116
The OU at 245.5 is definitely right where it should be I reckon. However, I expect the majority of public to be on the Over. Remembering that this game is 2 20 minute halves makes a huge impact on the final point total. I want to play the over, as it makes sense 250 points will be scored, but I know that's how everyone is thinking and the bookmakers know this as well. I have no doubt that this game will be Under and will cap that large.
What does everyone think?
Here's the rosters:
For the Rooks
DeJuan Blair: San Antonio F-C 6-7 265 Pittsburgh
Omri Casspi: Sacramento F 6-9 225 Yavne, Israel
Stephen Curry: Golden State G 6-3 185 Davidson
Tyreke Evans: Sacramento G 6-6 220 Memphis
Jonny Flynn: Minnesota G 6-0 185 Syracuse
Taj Gibson: Chicago F 6-9 225 USC
James Harden: Oklahoma City G 6-5 220 Arizona State
Brandon Jennings: Milwaukee G 6-1 169 Italy
Jonas Jerebko: Detroit F 6-10 231 Kinna, Sweden
and the Sophs:
Michael Beasley: Miami F 6-9 245 Kansas St.
Marc Gasol: Memphis C 7-1 265 Barcelona, Spain
Danilo Gallinari: New York G-F 6-10 225 Italy
Eric Gordon: L.A. Clippers G 6-3 222 Indiana
Brook Lopez: New Jersey C 7-0 260 Stanford
Kevin Love: Minnesota F-C 6-10 260 UCLA
O.J. Mayo: Memphis G 6-4 210 USC
Derrick Rose: Chicago G 6-3 190 Memphis
Russell Westbrook: Oklahoma City G 6-3 187 UCLA
Obviously the Sophmores have the superior roster and should completely dominate the first years. Looking at the matchups the Sophs have a definite advantage in size and will control the boards wtih Lopez and Gasol inside. Of course the game will be played with more run n gun but I don't think the game will be as high flying as some might expect.
PREVIOUS NBA ROOKIE CHALLENGE WINNERS
1994 - Phenoms 74, Sensations 68
1995 - White 83, Green 79 (OT)
1996 - East 94, West 92
1997 - East 96, West 91
1998 - East 85, West 80
2000 - Rookies 92, Sophomores 81 (OT)
2001 - Sophomores 121, Rookies 113
2002 - Rookies 103, Sophomores 97
2003 - Sophomores 132, Rookies 112
2004 - Sophomores 142, Rookies 118
2005 - Sophomores 133, Rookies 106
2006 - Sophomores 106, Rookies 96
2007 - Sophomores 155, Rookies 114
2008 - Sophomores 136, Rookies 109
2009 - Sophomores 122, Rookies 116
The OU at 245.5 is definitely right where it should be I reckon. However, I expect the majority of public to be on the Over. Remembering that this game is 2 20 minute halves makes a huge impact on the final point total. I want to play the over, as it makes sense 250 points will be scored, but I know that's how everyone is thinking and the bookmakers know this as well. I have no doubt that this game will be Under and will cap that large.
What does everyone think?