Capitals-1.5 for me Penguins are tired from yesterday
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sharpmoney
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-10
528
#7
These two teams have met only once this season with the caps winning 6-3. That game was alot closer then the score indicates. The game was tied after two periods of play at 3-3. Caps scored an early third period goal and then capitalized on a power play shortly after that to put the game out of reach. Should be noted johnson was in net that day for the pens and I would expect fleury tomorrow.
Lately a few of the caps wins haven't impressed me that much. The thrashers kept the game close for two periods the other night, caps won a shootout over the rangers and the panthers only lost a goal as well. Also look at who they have beaten. The struggling rangers, bruins, ducks pathetic on the road, islanders, low scoring teams in florida and tampa who could not keep up.
Pens looked horrible against the habs today. They sure did. Obvious look ahead spot to sundays matchup, we will see the pens best effort on sunday that is if there is a game.
Pens had some travelling issues as well. Look how well the thrashers did tonight and I believe they had travel issues as well.
Pens are currently getting around +155 in most offshore books at the moment. The pens don't have to win very often in this spot for it to be profitable. I figure they only have to win about 40% of the time for pens ml play to be profitable. Even less if you go in regulation. If you go with the +0.5 regulation play on the pens you would be paying little juice, pens win or game goes to extra time you win your bet. The moneyline play also looks attractive, not very often the champs will be getting 55 cents.
Just my two cents. Gl with whatever you decide on sunday.
sbr
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tltaylor89
SBR Posting Legend
06-19-09
19610
#8
back to back games for the Penguins take the over and the spread
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chrisharvard01
Restricted User
10-24-08
2943
#9
Originally posted by Apexas
This article should be of particular interest to bettors of this game:
Hardly dude. Maybe in years past but this is a different team.
Not to mention, the airports are still probably shut down from the massive amount of snow we got in the region this weekend. I'd imagine they had to drive at least 4 or more hours after their plane flight. That in itself has got to be exhausting.
I look for the caps to be dominant today and I look for Theo to be alpha once again if he's in the net.
sbr
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Soxsfan9
SBR MVP
11-30-08
3705
#12
Caps should roll in this one, however the pens looked like sh*t against the Habs yesterday afternoon. They might have been looking ahead to the big matchup today....or just playing like crap!
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Apexas
SBR High Roller
01-22-10
163
#13
Originally posted by sharpmoney
The game was tied after two periods of play at 3-3. Caps scored an early third period goal and then capitalized on a power play shortly after that to put the game out of reach.
Lately a few of the caps wins haven't impressed me that much. The thrashers kept the game close for two periods the other night, caps won a shootout over the rangers and the panthers only lost a goal as well.
Pens had some travelling issues as well. Look how well the thrashers did tonight and I believe they had travel issues as well.
Nothing personal but this sounds like a very inexperienced point of view. History demonstrates that travel issues typically mean trouble for that team the next day, the Thrashers were an exception to the rule not justification for betting against it.
Also, the theme you should be picking out here is not that the Caps have had close games and are unimpressive, but rather the opposite. This is clear evidence of the fact that they are an immensely strong 3rd period team that closes games out decisively. Many times during their current win streak they have opened the 3rd with multiple goals and never turned back, overcoming deficits and tie games with skill.
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tltaylor89
SBR Posting Legend
06-19-09
19610
#14
I like the Capitals and the Canadians to win tomorrow
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Bob Loblaw
SBR MVP
01-07-10
3508
#15
I've got the Caps PL as the last leg of a 3 teamer (Avs PL, Huskies -5 last night)
Maybe people don't agree with me, but why try to guess when the streak ends? If you want to bet this game put your money on the Caps or don't at all. You would have been right 13 times in a row. If you did it for their home games you would have been right 18 out of 20 times. Thats my thinking regardless of today's outcome. Ride the streak while you can. This has been one of the biggest moneymakers, if not the biggest, in all of sports over the last month and it hasn't ended yet.
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Frosh
SBR Sharp
12-14-09
343
#16
Originally posted by Apexas
Nothing personal but this sounds like a very inexperienced point of view. History demonstrates that travel issues typically mean trouble for that team the next day, the Thrashers were an exception to the rule not justification for betting against it.
Also, the theme you should be picking out here is not that the Caps have had close games and are unimpressive, but rather the opposite. This is clear evidence of the fact that they are an immensely strong 3rd period team that closes games out decisively. Many times during their current win streak they have opened the 3rd with multiple goals and never turned back, overcoming deficits and tie games with skill.
Now, that's a sharp post.
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stevek173
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-29-08
27598
#17
On them
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PDW
SBR Wise Guy
01-14-10
660
#18
I like the Capitals here
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AgiosGerasimos
Restricted User
01-07-10
152
#19
Capitals for me
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Flight
Restricted User
01-28-09
1979
#20
Capitals for me
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Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7761
#21
I got Caps -0.5 (-105)
Let's roll!
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bruceBRUCEbruce
SBR MVP
06-20-09
2560
#22
I've said it the last two weeks and it rang true-Mr. Bettman does not like the Pens losing on national TV.
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Frosh
SBR Sharp
12-14-09
343
#23
Pullled the trigger on the Caps. Hope the Pens drop one on Nat TY.
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geebert74
SBR MVP
09-03-09
2445
#24
Pitt will take this one for sure!
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blueghost
SBR MVP
09-11-09
1715
#25
pens in a shootout
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cecil127
SBR Hall of Famer
11-19-09
7312
#26
Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
I've said it the last two weeks and it rang true-Mr. Bettman does not like the Pens losing on national TV.
ya know what, i took your angle and made $. thanks. makes me hate the guins even more but thanks
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Mini19
SBR Sharp
12-28-09
294
#27
Me to Cecil.. Took the penguins today and looking good so far.. Crosby seems to be playing so motivated today
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Mini19
SBR Sharp
12-28-09
294
#28
Woooo 2-0 penguins
told you Crosby brought his A game today
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#29
Wild, wild game.
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sharpmoney
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-10
528
#30
Originally posted by Apexas
Nothing personal but this sounds like a very inexperienced point of view.
No offense taken.
History demonstrates that travel issues typically mean trouble for that team the next day, the Thrashers were an exception to the rule not justification for betting against it.
Pens didn't look like a very tired bunch today, caps looked like the team that had gotten in late. Just used the thrashers example to show that travel issues isn't as big as a deal as everyone may think.
Also, the theme you should be picking out here is not that the Caps have had close games and are unimpressive, but rather the opposite. This is clear evidence of the fact that they are an immensely strong 3rd period team that closes games out decisively. Many times during their current win streak they have opened the 3rd with multiple goals and never turned back, overcoming deficits and tie games with skill.
You could look at it as that way as well. Against a few of those teams the caps should have blown them out and shouldn't have been that close to begin the third periods anyways.
I don't know about you but I will take a +160 underdog with a two goal lead going into the third period anyday. It didn't work out in the end but I like the bet considering the caps never had the lead till the end.
The only thing that cashed was the caps ml play. You would have to be pretty foolish to lay that kind of juice. If you cashed on the caps today, congratulations square bettors managed to moose out yet another win.