Nash 2026 NCAA Selections, analysis, game time talk...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 67731

    #1
    Nash 2026 NCAA Selections, analysis, game time talk...
    Saturday 8/29
    North Carolina +8.5

    The game is being played on a neutral field in Dublin.
    The feeling here is that if TCU were hosting the game in Fort Worth, the line would be sharp at 8.5
    The line at midnight was TCU -9.5; I've been liking NC all week; they were bet down to 8.5 earlier this morning.
    I wish I bought the 9.5 last night

    "Buzzy 'The Bookie '" once taught me years ago, back in the day when your pal Nasher had a full set of hair, and the T-Rex roamed in my daddy's back yard,
    Buzzy said to me, "As a rule of thumb, home field advantage is worth 3.5 points on the average. For powerhouse D1 home stadiums like Ohio State, Alabama, and about six other teams, their HFA is worth 4.5 - 5.5 points; TCU's home field rates a solid four points, or 4.5.

    On a neutral field, IMO, TCU is a six-point favorite in this matchup, not 8.5 or 9.5

    Value bet.
    TCU + 8.5
Search
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
Working...