TNF Bills v Dolphins

blackHIPPY · 09-18-25, 05:30 PM

Bills -11.5

Mac4Lyfe · 09-18-25, 06:36 PM

I’m on the Bills -10 (-130). Not very confident they can cover the -11.5. The Dolphins stink, I think the Bills have won 9 of the last 10 but they know each other, which can be scary.

ddittie · 09-18-25, 06:41 PM

The contrarian in me thinks this is somehow going to be a game.
As long as I see lots of points I'll be happy.

klemopixx · 09-18-25, 07:02 PM

Not going anywhere near this one. Division games are always the hardest to predict.

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 07:10 PM

Bring out the tables! Bills by 2 TDS!

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 07:14 PM

This won’t be a pretty game to watch.

ddittie · 09-18-25, 07:25 PM

Starting good at least.

Dolphins 7-0

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 07:27 PM

Damn it! Bills have no defense. I should’ve taken that juicy over.

Optional · 09-18-25, 07:27 PM

Strong first drive from Tua

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 07:34 PM

Well, at least Dolphins don’t have any defense either.

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 07:48 PM

Wow, was not expecting the Dolphins to make it a game and have the game tied at end of 1Q.

ddittie · 09-18-25, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Wow, was not expecting the Dolphins to make it a game and have the game tied at end of 1Q.

I expect it to be a game for 3 quarters.

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by ddittie

I expect it to be a game for 3 quarters.

Would be impressive if Dolphins and hang around that long. 4 corners are out and now a defensive player is injured on the field. D is getting depleted.

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 08:12 PM

Wait, one play later and another defensive player is down.

Headsterx · 09-18-25, 08:15 PM

Damn, a lot kickers having missing FG very badly.

DwightShrute · 09-18-25, 09:22 PM

Its hard watching Tua play QB. He's a spazz in the pocket.

They could be an offensive powerhouse if they had a QB.

Optional · 09-18-25, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

Its hard watching Tua play QB. He's a spazz in the pocket.

They could be an offensive powerhouse if they had a QB.

Thought they might have hooked him for the backup during first half.

Originally posted by Optional

What have you got?

Just two boosted parlays for me

Waddle Under 51.5
Tyreek Hill Under 65.5
Shakir Over 43.5
+660

and this +105 to +200 boost at Bet365

Pay the sweep!

Mac4Lyfe · 09-18-25, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by Optional

Thought they might have hooked him for the backup during first half.

Pay the sweep!

Nice job

Mac4Lyfe · 09-18-25, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

I’m on the Bills -10 (-130). Not very confident they can cover the -11.5. The Dolphins stink, I think the Bills have won 9 of the last 10 but they know each other, which can be scary.

Spot on here…

ddittie · 09-19-25, 06:04 AM

Dolphins definitely didn’t stink though. Bills were pretty lucky to cover the 10. Was never a 10 pt game even haha

magpie878 · 09-19-25, 08:11 AM

How could the Bills, being -11.5 favorites (most likely at -110?) only be -130 at -10?

That said, and easy to say now, but if I'm buying it down and the odds are so little unchanged, going to -9.5 or -9 sounds better. But that's just a mix of 20/20 hindsight mixed with "how were the odds that reasonable buying a point and a half" ..

Mac4Lyfe · 09-19-25, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by magpie878

How could the Bills, being -11.5 favorites (most likely at -110?) only be -130 at -10?

That said, and easy to say now, but if I'm buying it down and the odds are so little unchanged, going to -9.5 or -9 sounds better. But that's just a mix of 20/20 hindsight mixed with "how were the odds that reasonable buying a point and a half" ..

I was very surprised to get -130 at Heritage. I don’t remember what 9 was but it must have been high because I didn’t really consider it.

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Sep 18, 2025 6:20 pm CSTStraight $0.00 G6810675 - Football - Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills / Game / Point spread / Buffalo Bills -10 -130

Mac4Lyfe · 09-19-25, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by ddittie

Dolphins definitely didn’t stink though. Bills were pretty lucky to cover the 10. Was never a 10 pt game even haha

I had a feeling the Phins would play it close but then beat themselves in the end. I wanted to take Phins first half but ended up wait n see. I was pretty lucky to get a push although if the kicker made that early FG, Bills would have covered. That miss also seemed to give Miami life. Fukkin kickers.

ddittie · 09-19-25, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

I had a feeling the Phins would play it close but then beat themselves in the end. I wanted to take Phins first half but ended up wait n see. I was pretty lucky to get a push although if the kicker made that early FG, Bills would have covered. That miss also seemed to give Miami life. Fukkin kickers.

Oh yeah, you're right, that miss swung the game.

Headsterx · 09-19-25, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

I had a feeling the Phins would play it close but then beat themselves in the end. I wanted to take Phins first half but ended up wait n see. I was pretty lucky to get a push although if the kicker made that early FG, Bills would have covered. That miss also seemed to give Miami life. Fukkin kickers.

That missed FG was just as bad as that San Jose State kicker in Texas game.

Mac4Lyfe · 09-19-25, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

That missed FG was just as bad as that San Jose State kicker in Texas game.

I can’t remember the last time I’ve seen so many FG/XP misses in the NFL? WTH is going on? Are the balls greased?

ddittie · 09-19-25, 07:29 PM

idk but that miss last night was wild. It wasn't even remotely close