Yankees in danger in not making it to post season

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  • slayer14
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-12-13
    • 22017

    #1
    Yankees in danger in not making it to post season
    How is this possible guy?
  • slayer14
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-12-13
    • 22017

    #2
    Comment
    • JAKEPEAVY21
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-11-11
      • 29306

      #3
      Loving every minute of the train wreck and watching them collapse...
      Comment
      • slayer14
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-12-13
        • 22017

        #4
        Comment
        • SBR Andy
          Administrator
          • 02-09-22
          • 3993

          #5
          Yankees +270 at DraftKings to miss the playoffs:

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          Comment
          • ByeShea
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-30-08
            • 8109

            #6
            Yankees continue to flail here for a short while - then start some timely winning to ultimately make and lose ALCS convincingly (5 games).

            That's the playbook. If I could bet that scenario exactly today, I would.
            Comment
            • JAKEPEAVY21
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-11-11
              • 29306

              #7
              Originally posted by SBR Andy
              Yankees +270 at DraftKings to miss the playoffs:

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              They must have an easy schedule the rest of the season as their starting pitching is weak...who do you trust on that staff currently with Cole done for the season?

              +270 seems like good value for them NOT to make the playoffs.
              Comment
              • franz555
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-13-14
                • 10765

                #8
                Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                Loving every minute of the train wreck and watching them collapse...
                This

                GO JAYS
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65603

                  #9
                  Originally posted by slayer14
                  How is this possible guy?
                  One word, pitching.
                  It begins and ends with pitching, and the NYY don't have it.

                  They don't have a Cole Hammel, a Skubal, a Skenes, a Garret Crochet...
                  And their bullpen is just a cut above pedestrian.

                  No team wants to face a Hammel, or a Skubal...
                  The Yankees don't have any starter that makes the opposition say "Oh crap, we have to face this guy..."

                  Ask yourself this: when was the last time a power-hitting team with little or mediocre pitching won a WS?
                  Bash Brothers? Nope, go up and down the line, bet you won't find many.

                  Long story short (which I am not capable of doing)
                  Pitching wins, almost always have, and almost always will.
                  Comment
                  • TommieGunshot
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 1607

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stevenash

                    One word, pitching.
                    It begins and ends with pitching, and the NYY don't have it.

                    They don't have a Cole Hammel, a Skubal, a Skenes, a Garret Crochet...
                    And their bullpen is just a cut above pedestrian.

                    No team wants to face a Hammel, or a Skubal...
                    The Yankees don't have any starter that makes the opposition say "Oh crap, we have to face this guy..."

                    Ask yourself this: when was the last time a power-hitting team with little or mediocre pitching won a WS?
                    Bash Brothers? Nope, go up and down the line, bet you won't find many.

                    Long story short (which I am not capable of doing)
                    Pitching wins, almost always have, and almost always will.
                    Yankees are allowing fewer runs per game than the Blue Jays, with near identical defensive efficiency. Toronto does play half their games in Rogers Center. If Yankees have had mediocre pitching this year, so does the division leader.

                    Yankees are clearly ahead of Toronto in run differential. The entire difference in the standings are that the Blue Jays are +5 in one-run games while the Yankees are -1. And in those 19 loses, it's the offense that's the problem, only averaging 2.68 runs scored.

                    Last year, the Dodgers won the World Series, giving up only slightly fewer runs than league average (4.23 compared to 4.39; 13th out of 30) while playing in Dodger Stadium and with the second highest defensive efficiency. That's pretty mediocre pitching.

                    Teams make the playoffs every year with equal or worse pitching than the Yankees have.
                    Comment
                    • TommieGunshot
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 1607

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SBR Andy
                      Yankees +270 at DraftKings to miss the playoffs
                      How much does DK take on these playoff bets?
                      Comment
                      • SBR Andy
                        Administrator
                        • 02-09-22
                        • 3993

                        #12
                        Originally posted by TommieGunshot

                        How much does DK take on these playoff bets?
                        Not entirely sure, may vary by account. Anyone have any insight placing these types of wagers at DK?
                        Comment
                        • slayer14
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-12-13
                          • 22017

                          #13
                          Guys did you ever think where slayer14 went?
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65603

                            #14
                            Originally posted by slayer14
                            Guys did you ever think where slayer14 went?
                            Yeah, from time to time, when I think about the old-timers who haven't been around.
                            Good to see you posting, all the best.
                            Don't be a stranger now.

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                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65603

                              #15
                              Originally posted by SBR Andy

                              Not entirely sure, may vary by account. Anyone have any insight placing these types of wagers at DK?
                              I reached out to the CS gang at DK. I was curious as well.



                              Hi William,

                              If you try to make a bet on the MLB's to miss the playoffs prop and the amount you are trying to wager is above your limit, you will see a message that tells you what your options are. Such decisions include various factors and we cannot disclose specific details on individual wagers.

                              General Rules:

                              4. Betting and Payout Limitations

                              The minimum bet amount is ten cents ($.10). DraftKings reserves the right to limit the maximum bet amount such that the net payout (the payout after the wager amount has been deducted) on any bet or combination of bets by one Authorized Account Holder does not exceed {$500,000}. This limit may be lowered by DraftKings in DraftKings’ sole discretion.

                              All bet selections are subject to pre-imposed limits set solely at DraftKings' discretion which may be lower than the limits mentioned in the Sport Specific Limits and/or mentioned elsewhere on DraftKings’ platform. Should this limit be reached, the Authorized Account Holder has the right to ask for it to be exceeded by means of a request effected through DraftKings’ platform. DraftKings reserves the right to accept (fully or partially) or reject the said request without any prior notice and further explanation.

                              For further information please visit: https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/he.../general-rules

                              Comment
                              • slayer14
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-12-13
                                • 22017

                                #16
                                Gonna post more guys from now on, and some bets plays.
                                Comment
                                • actiondan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-16-10
                                  • 3443

                                  #17
                                  who’s william?
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65603

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by actiondan
                                    who’s william?
                                    My given name is William, and my dad is William Sr.
                                    I went by Willie when I played scholastic ball; I now go by Bill.

                                    I thought about redacting that before I posted that DK response, but some of you regulars know my name, so it's no big deal.

                                    Comment
                                    • mjsuax13
                                      Moderator
                                      • 03-14-15
                                      • 25103

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by slayer14
                                      Gonna post more guys from now on, and some bets plays.
                                      We need you Slayer. Let’s do it.
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 25103

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by franz555

                                        This

                                        GO JAYS
                                        YESSSSS. Jays GO!
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65603

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SBR Andy
                                          Yankees +270 at DraftKings to miss the playoffs:

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                                          I've eliminated all teams that currently have less than a 50 percent chance of making the AL playoffs.

                                          The Yankees currently have a 67.9 percent chance of reaching the postseason.
                                          67.9 percent is 2/3 (not quite)implied odds -150.

                                          Who in their right mind would lay -285 (or whatever the number is now) on a -150 prop?

                                          (Source: Baseball Reference)


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                                          • JAKEPEAVY21
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-11-11
                                            • 29306

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by stevenash

                                            I've eliminated all teams that currently have less than a 50 percent chance of making the AL playoffs.

                                            The Yankees currently have a 67.9 percent chance of reaching the postseason.
                                            67.9 percent is 2/3 (not quite)implied odds -150.

                                            Who in their right mind would lay -285 (or whatever the number is now) on a -150 prop?

                                            (Source: Baseball Reference)


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                                            Texas gets the last playoff spot and leaves the Yankees on the outside looking in...Yankees starting pitching depth is pretty rough, I like Texas pitching much better. That is my hope anyhow, nasher.
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65603

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

                                              Texas gets the last playoff spot and leaves the Yankees on the outside looking in...Yankees starting pitching depth is pretty rough, I like Texas pitching much better. That is my hope anyhow, nasher.
                                              Texas at Cleveland, the final weekend of the season.
                                              Those three games should be interesting.

                                              I have no problem with Texas and all, but I'm all about the pitching. After de Grom and Eovaldi, the Rangers have pretty much nothing.
                                              I would have liked to see them pick up another starter before the deadline.

                                              Seattle's the team to beat out West.
                                              Kirby and Logan Gilbert are 100 percent healthy, and Bryce Miller joins the rotation again in 7 -10 days.

                                              These control numbers (WH/IP) are outstanding, and so is the SO: BB ratio.
                                              Their starters can carry a team if the hitting slumps.

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