Ced's soccer, road to a couple extra bucks

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  • Ced's shadow
    SBR MVP
    • 11-27-09
    • 2986

    #1
    Ced's soccer, road to a couple extra bucks
    Me good fellow posters! Three weeks ago from today I started thinking about how to make easy money with a well disciplinated system betting in my strenght sport, soccer.

    The "system" I've been thinking of it's been profitable so far, but of course haven't tried this with real money, just testing it with points until I confirm it's profitable on what I expect it to take awhile to see it but in the end some prfit, mid-term profit you may call it.

    This consists of gathering 10 and only 10 games in a single week and dividing the balance that way, into the 10 different games. These games I've been only taking the over (full game) and only if it's 2½ or 3 (allowing the push option).

    Based on what I've been analyzing, the most common score in offensive leagues such as the Spain La Liga when having a high rank team vs a low rank it's almost all the time at least 2-1, followed by our enemy 2-0 and any other high or lo total score, while on defensive leagues such as the Italian Serie A it's almost always the other way around having very high scores on differently raked teams and almost no goals most of the times between H vs H and L vs L.

    Premier league, Bundesliga and Dutch Erevidise are examples of what a friend described as blowout leagues, in Premier league soccer level is high as well as having technician players very well spreaded amongst teams, Bundesliga and the Erevidise come to be to the real fanatic movers and while the two of them are considered offensive leagues there's no point of comparison with the La Liga since these do no have the army of quality attackers La Liga has, so, we'll be considering just a couple of their games per week.

    Champions league since it'll start very soon will not be considered that much, it'll be really rare specially since it's going to hit 2nd phase. But every now and then I'll add a Champions game if I think it may come to an over score.

    Backing up the experiment with numbers, 2 weekends ago I started with a balance of 100 points, this weekend I already have 193 without adding up any points of the posting account, the ones I transferred were used in the slots, hehehe. As of today, I will not transfer anymore points to the point book to have clear numbers to analyze.

    The goal of this experiment; reaching at least 1000 points to see if risking real money this way is profitable at some point and therefore make a couple extra bucks every now and then, which is certaily good for all of us.

    That been said, I present you to the results and ask you fellow posters to wish me good luck with this new "project". Enjoy.

  • tonyhomo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-10-10
    • 749

    #2
    you can't compare the dutch league to the bundesliga,
    bundesliga is the third best league in the world and they are getting better every year, but the only difference just seem to be the top teams. Spain has madrid sevilla and barcelona, while england has teams chelsea, arsenal, manu, .... .
    The Bundesliga only has one team, which should be considered as on of the elite teams in europe and that team is bayern munich.
    But there are still a lot of teams with quality players like stuttgart, wolfsburg, hamburg, leverkusen, bremen which are all among the best in europe.

    Gl with your plays
    Comment
    • ol'Tex
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-08-10
      • 318

      #3
      ill stick around i like bucks!
      Comment
      • Ced's shadow
        SBR MVP
        • 11-27-09
        • 2986

        #4
        As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

        Saturday, January the 30th

        Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

        Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

        Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

        Sunday, January the 31st

        Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52

        Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27

        Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07

        Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10

        Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

        Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

        Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95

        Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen
        Comment
        • Ced's shadow
          SBR MVP
          • 11-27-09
          • 2986

          #5
          Originally posted by tonyhomo
          you can't compare the dutch league to the bundesliga,
          bundesliga is the third best league in the world and they are getting better every year, but the only difference just seem to be the top teams. Spain has madrid sevilla and barcelona, while england has teams chelsea, arsenal, manu, .... .
          The Bundesliga only has one team, which should be considered as on of the elite teams in europe and that team is bayern munich.
          But there are still a lot of teams with quality players like stuttgart, wolfsburg, hamburg, leverkusen, bremen which are all among the best in europe.

          Gl with your plays
          I agree on the quality of the league itself, it's remarkable and a fun one to watch yet this does not necessarily means it's profitable, we're looking for disparity between teams since we're betting on over scores. Let's see what happens though. Gl to you as well Tony.
          Comment
          • JohnAnthony
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-30-09
            • 5110

            #6
            Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!
            "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

            - D.H. Lawrence
            Comment
            • Ced's shadow
              SBR MVP
              • 11-27-09
              • 2986

              #7
              Originally posted by JohnAnthony
              Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!
              Thank you very much and GL to you as well John. Will check your card in a bit on my way home.
              Comment
              • Shortstop
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-02-09
                • 27281

                #8
                Best of Luck Ced!
                Comment
                • Ced's shadow
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-27-09
                  • 2986

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JohnAnthony
                  Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!
                  Bud, that spreadsheet's looking good, and you're having very good time betting, good profit sir. Fellows this spreadheet's a solid one to tail yet I do have a suggestion for you, please don't take me wrong good fellah. If you are a little more specific on the lines it's way easier for posters to differ on whom to take, takes a little more work but hey, it's more than enough to know we're helping each other. Buddy, good luck on your future plays and keep up the good work.

                  Originally posted by Shortstop
                  Best of Luck Ced!
                  Thanks Shorty, hopefully this one'll come out.
                  Comment
                  • Ced's shadow
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-27-09
                    • 2986

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                    As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

                    Saturday, January the 30th

                    Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

                    Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

                    Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

                    Sunday, January the 31st

                    Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52

                    Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27

                    Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07

                    Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10

                    Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

                    Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

                    Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95

                    Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen
                    Well folks, I first need to apologize for an error when posting the lines first time, today there were only 3 of the 10 games, I copied the lines from the pointbook and they had 'em on the wrong dates when I took them probably last Wednesday or Thursday, not sure what day it was. Today it was a 1-2 day, not bad considering tomorrow we'll have a lot of good games in play and 7 of them I'm sure will cover those losses. Good luck to y'all and God bless.
                    Comment
                    • Club
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-18-09
                      • 703

                      #11
                      Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • Ced's shadow
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-27-09
                        • 2986

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Club
                        Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • squintz4
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-04-09
                          • 374

                          #13
                          Good luck with you system Ced. I will be checking back regularly to see how you are doing.
                          Comment
                          • Jimmy0607
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-09-09
                            • 7785

                            #14
                            Good luck Ced
                            Comment
                            • odusmykal
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-30-07
                              • 3426

                              #15
                              Ced, you're a soccer sharp.. Hope this all goes well.. I'll be tracking your progress and see if you've found something here..
                              Comment
                              • Ced's shadow
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-27-09
                                • 2986

                                #16
                                Originally posted by squintz4
                                Good luck with you system Ced. I will be checking back regularly to see how you are doing.
                                Originally posted by Jimmy0607
                                Good luck Ced
                                Thanks fellows, good luck to you 2 as well in your picks
                                Comment
                                • Ced's shadow
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-27-09
                                  • 2986

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by odusmykal
                                  Ced, you're a soccer sharp.. Hope this all goes well.. I'll be tracking your progress and see if you've found something here..
                                  Odus, thank you very much my man, hopefully I have and we'll all take some advantage of it
                                  Comment
                                  • tltaylor89
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 06-19-09
                                    • 19610

                                    #18
                                    GL ced
                                    Comment
                                    • JOHON8
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-28-10
                                      • 7712

                                      #19
                                      I'll be checking back regularly too. I'm in the process of creating my own strategy as well, I'll share it once I finish.

                                      GL with your picks.
                                      Comment
                                      • Shortstop
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 01-02-09
                                        • 27281

                                        #20
                                        How'd you do Ced?
                                        Comment
                                        • Ced's shadow
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-27-09
                                          • 2986

                                          #21
                                          Thanks TL and JOHON

                                          Shorty, considering the fact it was a three game day due to the fact the pointbook had the dates incorret it's not that bad yet it's still a losing day, 1-2, Barcelona didn't cover I don't really know why, good stuff Real Madrdi did so and I was afraid they didn't, sure of their catala counterparts and happenes completely different, hopefully no more surprises today and that'll lead me to a positive day.
                                          Comment
                                          • Shortstop
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 01-02-09
                                            • 27281

                                            #22
                                            I wish you nothing but the best Ced! You deserve it!
                                            Comment
                                            • Ced's shadow
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-27-09
                                              • 2986

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Shortstop
                                              I wish you nothing but the best Ced! You deserve it!
                                              Thank you very much Shorty, same wishes for you
                                              Comment
                                              • Shortstop
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 01-02-09
                                                • 27281

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                                                Thank you very much Shorty, same wishes for you
                                                Comment
                                                • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-29-08
                                                  • 9285

                                                  #25
                                                  Comment
                                                  • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-29-08
                                                    • 9285

                                                    #26
                                                    good luck cedrick
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ced's shadow
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-27-09
                                                      • 2986

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                      What?

                                                      Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                      good luck cedrick
                                                      Thanks buddy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JohnAnthony
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-30-09
                                                        • 5110

                                                        #28
                                                        Not a big day today, got anything on Sunderland/Stoke?
                                                        "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                                                        - D.H. Lawrence
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bigboyfosho
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-19-09
                                                          • 1576

                                                          #29
                                                          good luck with this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ced's shadow
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-27-09
                                                            • 2986

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                                                            As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

                                                            Saturday, January the 30th

                                                            Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

                                                            Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

                                                            Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

                                                            Sunday, January the 31st

                                                            Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

                                                            Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

                                                            Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

                                                            Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10 LOSS

                                                            Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10 WIN

                                                            Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10 N/A CANCEL / POSTPONED

                                                            Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95 LOSS

                                                            Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen
                                                            Terrible weekend fellows, cancelations killed me but I'd lost more anyways, not give trustworthy data, but I'll keep the experiment, same system, probably make some changes varying them depending on the league, let's see what happens. Started with a balance of 193 points, it's currently at 151... Won't give up though

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Ced's shadow
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-27-09
                                                              • 2986

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by JohnAnthony
                                                              Not a big day today, got anything on Sunderland/Stoke?
                                                              No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system, weird soccer weekend though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JohnAnthony
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-30-09
                                                                • 5110

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                                                                No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system, weird soccer weekend though.
                                                                Fair enough. I see value in betting the draw there.
                                                                "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                                                                - D.H. Lawrence
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ced's shadow
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-27-09
                                                                  • 2986

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by JohnAnthony
                                                                  Fair enough. I see value in betting the draw there.
                                                                  Something may come out of that, lots of draws this weekend
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JohnAnthony
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-30-09
                                                                    • 5110

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                                                                    Something may come out of that, lots of draws this weekend
                                                                    I see Stoke surprising with a goal within the first 38 minutes and Sunderland getting the draw in the late 60's to mid 70's.
                                                                    "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                                                                    - D.H. Lawrence
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • odusmykal
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-30-07
                                                                      • 3426

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Ced's shadow
                                                                      No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system,
                                                                      Keep researching Ced, you will find us an angle one day.. And when you do, i'll follow you in with my money as well..
                                                                      Comment
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