Strategy For Late Night Games

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ZetaPsi808
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-18-08
    • 12119

    #1
    Strategy For Late Night Games
    I suspect that on days that have a big card for sports (usually friday, saturday and sunday) that a lot of bettors may be down money and units by late at night. as we know, a lot of people like to chase. now when people chase, they generally take the obvious pick, which is usually the public heavy favorite.

    I think the books take this into account when adjusting and setting lines for the 10:05 and 10:35 games. For example, the books know a fair line for a game would be -8 /+8. But since it is the last game on the night card, i think they make the spread 8.5 or 9 points, basically "over-chalking" the favorite. Over the long run, that 1 point makes a huge difference.

    Thoughts?

    P.S. The mods need to bring back BobbyFK. Guy was the 2nd best video poster ever, second only to JJGold.
  • Ravy Pacer
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-30-09
    • 279

    #2
    thoughts
    Comment
    • Shortstop
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 01-02-09
      • 27281

      #3
      In my opinion, the start time of a game is completely irrelevant.

      A late night game might be the first game of the day for someone in another part of the world.
      Comment
      • iceminers26
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-13-08
        • 15600

        #4
        I agree with your approach to a degree, but if you were going to go this route, I think you would be better off playing the late night unders.
        Comment
        • CAUTION
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-21-10
          • 100

          #5
          Betting on the late night games, where people are usually chasing their loses I like to bet on the underdogs. (Especially in the nba/ncaab)
          sbr
          Comment
          • ZetaPsi808
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-18-08
            • 12119

            #6
            Originally posted by CAUTION
            Betting on the late night games, where people are usually chasing their loses I like to bet on the underdogs. (Especially in the nba/ncaab)

            yeah i definitely agree.
            Comment
            • elchampion33
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-22-10
              • 218

              #7
              yeah jj gold was the man
              Comment
              Search
              Collapse
              SBR Contests
              Collapse
              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
              Collapse
              Working...