Going gangbusters on 4 team parlay -1.5 home moneyline favs and the overs!!

[BrentCrude]

For two years now I have been playing small recreational 4 team parlays taking the home team moderate moneyline favorite betting them at -1.5 and then taking the over.It's like stealing candy from a baby beating the bookies on this bet!It stands to reason why this should be an attractive bet.All the big hometown moneyline favorite has to do is to win by 2 runs instead of 1 and if the over is on the low end the winning by 2 runs works in unison where the over is easier to win on.

I don't have a computer program to tell me the percentages of these bets winning the past two years since I have been playing this bet so maybe it's just dumb luck???A $10 winning bet always pays me $220-$260.

Any computer stats nuts care to go over even the last weeks worth of games and see what you would have made by betting these scenarios?

[ProlinePlayer]

I have no problem believing this will produce a +ev.

I've never tried it because I just assumed that no book would accept such an obviously correlated play. Perhaps I was mistaken.

[Ganchrow]

For two years now I have been playing small recreational 4 team parlays taking the home team moderate moneyline favorite betting them at -1.5 and then taking the over.It's like stealing candy from a baby beating the bookies on this bet!It stands to reason why this should be an attractive bet.All the big hometown moneyline favorite has to do is to win by 2 runs instead of 1 and if the over is on the low end the winning by 2 runs works in unison where the over is easier to win on.

I don't have a computer program to tell me the percentages of these bets winning the past two years since I have been playing this bet so maybe it's just dumb luck???A $10 winning bet always pays me $220-$260.

Any computer stats nuts care to go over even the last weeks worth of games and see what you would have made by betting these scenarios?

Most books don't allow parlaying same game run-lines and totals. Where have you had success placing these bets?

[BrentCrude]

I can't say and blow my cover where the well runs dry!

Yup,almost,and I say almost all books will not let you play these bets but a tiny minority do and I can't disclose that info.because I don't want these books to take a beating from 1000 people reading this who would make those bets there where they discontinue taking the bets.I like making easy $$$$$$$$$$$$$$ too much.It would be like running to town from the river where I found tons of gold and blabbing to everyone where I found it.hehe!

[BigDaddy]

Yup,almost,and I say almost all books will not let you play these bets but a tiny minority do and I can't disclose that info.because I don't want these books to take a beating from 1000 people reading this who would make those bets there where they discontinue taking the bets.I like making easy $$$$$$$$$$$$$$ too much.It would be like running to town from the river where I found tons of gold and blabbing to everyone where I found it.hehe!

well you just did dumbass but i agree with you i wouldnt tell either but i also wouldn't make a stupid post bragging about it either


keep up the good work