1. #1
    Doug Upstone
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    Thursday Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends

    By Doug Upstone

    The two biggest games in the NBA have not been altered a great deal, but the one involving the worst team in the league has, go figure. Also, we have three college basketball line moves which have been significant. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.

    NBA – (503) DENVER at (504) MILWAUKEE 8:05 E ALT, FSWI

    The Bucks are the worst team in the NBA by quite a margin, but because they are getting healthier and not very good defensively, they are 6-2-1 OVER since Jan. 29. Denver is beginning to resemble Milwaukee having lost five in a row and not having sniffed a cover in the same period because they have allowed points like snowflakes in the Midwest and East this winter at 118.2 per game. This is why basketball bettors have pushed the total up two points to 204 with a pair of untrustworthy defenses. With the Bucks 6-1 ATS this month, they are 15-2 OVER having covered four of their last five against the spread the last three seasons. Doug's Thoughts – Play Over

    CBB – (509) MID. TENN. STATE at (510) CHARLOTTE 9:05 E

    Middle Tennessee State is in a three-way tie for first place in Conference USA and tries to keep pace with the leaders on the road at Charlotte. The wagering public likes their chances, lifting them from -2 to -4.5; however, there is cause for consternation. Granted, Charlotte appears ripe for the taking having lost three straight (0-3 ATS), yet the Blue Raiders in spite of riding a seven-game winning streak are just 2-7 ATS in true road games this season. Here is something as frightful as Cleveland taking Johnny Manziel with their first pick, M.T.S. is 3-18 ATS in road games after playing as favorite. Doug's ThoughtsLean Charlotte

    CBB – (529) TOWSON at (530) NORTHEASTERN 7:00 E CSN-NE

    Towson might be in second place in the CAA behind Delaware; nevertheless, those betting basketball are playing the pedigree. Towson has lost six straight to Northeastern (2-4 ATS), including at home 57-54 as 5.5-point favorites this season and have gone from a Pick to +2. While we agree it is difficult to wager against such a streak, Northeastern comes with more baggage than a United flight. The Huskies are 3-7 and 1-7 ATS at Matthews Arena this season and off their upset victory against the College of Charleston, they are 0-10 ATS at home after a game where they covered the spread since last season. Doug's ThoughtsLean Towson

    CBB – (533) LOUISIANA TECH at (534) EAST CAROLINA 7:00 E

    Like Mid. Tenn. State listed above, Louisiana Tech is tied for the lead in C-USA action and is arguably the best team in the league with a 21-5 (11-8 ATS) overall record. The Bulldogs have gone to a more balanced approach in scoring, since top scorer Raheem Appleby was injured, with four different players at the top of the score sheet in their last five conflicts. With East Carolina floundering in conference play, basketball bettors felt compelled to raise Louisiana Tech two digits to -10.5. Off their 85-46 romping of Rice, the Techsters are 14-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less the last two seasons. Doug's Thoughts – Louisiana Tech covers

    Doug's Trendy Trends

    NBA Totals Trend

    Golden State is 10-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss as a favorite this season.

    CBB Totals Trend

    UC-Irvine is 10-0 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less this season.

    CBB ATS Trend

    Marshall is 1-18 ATS after one or more wins the last two seasons.

  2. #2
    Joe D. 416
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    Nice work Mr. Upstone!

  3. #3
    Doug Upstone
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    Thanks, Joe D. 416