The problem with fading yourself

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  • HotStreak
    SBR MVP
    • 05-12-09
    • 3235

    #1
    The problem with fading yourself
    The fact that you know you are going to reverse your picks, makes you pick differently.
  • Dank_Fire
    SBR MVP
    • 05-13-09
    • 2274

    #2
    Yea, this is true.
    Comment
    • hhsilver
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-07-07
      • 7379

      #3
      so the solution is to fade your fade
      Comment
      • Lost Angel
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-15-09
        • 856

        #4
        The primary challenge lies in 2 things:

        The discipline to fade the lines that scream "free money", the lines that look too easy.

        and, after success is had fading yourself, to not get greedy and see such lines where you would not have before....to force plays.

        Its hard. I fade myself well for 2 weeks then my picks come with self-fade sorta built in already and when I fade those I wind up back where I would have been pre-fade.
        Comment
        • Dunder
          Restricted User
          • 10-26-09
          • 3345

          #5
          I would expect that you are right. If you at the point of having to fade yourself, a coin flip is probably your best solution.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            When you fade yourself I can see how you will second guess therefore not a real fade.
            Comment
            • HotStreak
              SBR MVP
              • 05-12-09
              • 3235

              #7
              I was thinking of giving my local a set of Dungeons and Dragons dice. I would call in my card, and then he could perform a series of rolls to determine which picks are kept and which are reversed. He could then call me back with my revised card.





              He's a little old school though, not sure how this would go over. Just trying to stay on the cutting edge of capping!
              Comment
              • Sam Odom
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-30-05
                • 58063

                #8
                Unless you are a numbers guy and have a bad (losing) 'black box' model
                Comment
                • System XIII
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-01-09
                  • 287

                  #9
                  instead of wasting your time sweat and effort in trying to find a way to accurately fade your picks here is an idea..Start a website, claim to be professional handicapper and sell your plays so people can fade them (brandon lang). Not a bad idea ehh. lol who thought a guy like lang could make money from posting losers.
                  Comment
                  • HotStreak
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-12-09
                    • 3235

                    #10
                    Lang is my hero.
                    Comment
                    • Lost Angel
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 856

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HotStreak
                      I was thinking of giving my local a set of Dungeons and Dragons dice and then he could perform a series of rolls not sure how this would go over.
                      Keywords are bolded, I think its a stupid plan myself but Loco might be awrite with it long.....as you paid him upfront.

                      Maybe not though cuz I don't know your loco and we got like 3 cats that hold bag just on this forum any of which, those 3 dudes, would smack you in the side of your head for just even suggesting such a plan...fukkin whatever dice and he's gonna fukkin roll 'em . To the tres locos and maybe others they might weigh dice against alternatives and decide it be less time consuming just to shoot you.

                      God only knows how many more are beyond, same kinda nutjobs these fukkers are here that are up in here. Looks from your avatar like you already done been busted in the side of your face




                      You a golfer?





                      Yeah.



                      Golfers get their asses kicked by their women sometimes.






                      Anyway.....so either yeah its a bad plan givvin him the gayass roleplaying game dice cuz you just finished getting smacked in the side of your face wanna not get hit there again or getting smacked on the side of your head is not a big deal to so go ahead and try it Vagoo.
                      Comment
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