The 2010 BCS Championship on Thursday pits the two top-ranked teams against each other, No. 2 Texas and No. 1 Alabama. The weather forecast for Pasadena is for mild weather with temperatures in the 60s, low wind and a 0% chance of rain.
Both teams were undefeated this year with records of 13-0, but the Crimson Tide were a profitable bet going 8-5 ATS, while betting the Longhorns was actually a losing proposition overall, as they ended the regular season 5-7-1 ATS.
It goes without saying that both teams are strong all around, with only very minor weaknesses if any, and tons of depth. Perhaps most importantly, both teams feature absolute elite defenses. Alabama’s defense is second in the country both overall and against the run, while Texas’ D is third in the country overall, and #1 against the run.
The two teams ended the year in markedly different fashion, however. The Crimson Tide finished the regular season with a dominating statement win and cover over Florida in the SEC title game, while the Longhorns escaped with close wins over imperfect Big 12 teams in their final 2 games, losing both ATS by double digits.
Justin7 ran the stats through his model to help shed some light on who might have an edge. Texas’ run game stalled at times during the regular season, while Alabama’s offense has a less than ideal balance. The matchup of the two offenses against the respective premiere defenses they will face has Justin with a small lean on a side.
I LIKE THE UNDER 
