Fading KenPom College Hoops System

[onthewhat]

Going to play the 3 home dogs for sure, Towson, Santa Clara, and New Mexico State. Will wait for lines to start moving to see if any make a drastic jump before making a play though.

Not sure yet on any other plays in these games. Don't think I want to mess with the games like Murray State with a spread in the 20s, but not sure.

[onthewhat]

2-2, -0.20 ytd

[Chi_archie]

nice work


I think this will be profitable long term... it has to be


It is a lot of work

[onthewhat]

Here are today's plays:

Santa Clara +6
George Mason -5.5
Davidson -11
Cincinnati -4
Towson +12.5
New Mexico State +3.5

all of the others have had line moves where I don't feel comfortable playing them anymore

[jellobiafra]

Yeah I've got ODU and Harvard pretty big over the spread. None of the others really registered.

Also have St Peters and Manhattan, and two totals.... Drexel under 115 and SEMissou under 143.5.

Good luck with this but I know I will be against you on at least 1 or 2 a day. These programs are going to consistently have some identical plays.

[onthewhat]

Yeah, for some reason these models love Old Dominion....

[jellobiafra]

Harvard has been a play at least their last 2 games also. ODU has been a play at least 3 in a row. I think they split covering over the last two.

I just started using it to really wager with over the past couple weeks. ODU is a good squad and was the preseason favorite to win the CAA. I wish I payed more attention to them. I should because their campus is 15 minutes from my house. I even went to school there for 2 years, but I can't seem to muster much of an allegiance at all for the school. I want them to win, but I don't really care. I care about UVA.

[onthewhat]

Some of the lines have moved against me (probably the public backing these models) so I think for now on I'm going to wait until gametime to make plays since the lines will move against me more often than they move for me when using these types of systems.

[onthewhat]

0-4 so far on the night

Got fukked on Davidson line move so like I said, waiting until an hour to tip off or so to make plays tomorrow

[onthewhat]

Two games tomorrow

KenPom Line: Notre Dame +5 @ South Florida
Betting Line: Notre Dame -1.5

KenPom Line: San Diego State +1 vs. New Mexico
Betting Line: San Diego State -3

Will wait til gametime to bet them

[Chi_archie]

ND has moved to PK
SDS moved to -3.5

[onthewhat]

Too lazy to do this anymore, went 0-6 last night, every system will hit 50% in long run, can't win

[Chi_archie]

wow, seems like too much work to get 0-6 results even for the short term


good two day investigation though

[MrMonkey]

Rhode Island +1