Going against public tonight

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  • THE PROFIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-09
    • 17701

    #1
    Going against public tonight
    This is common knowlwdge but seems to be more prevalent in the NBA. On todays early games even. Cavs-10 had 65% of the pub on them and won by 8. Heat-6 had 63% of pub & lost SU by 10. Tonight I'm playing every NBA game for the same amount going against 60% or more public. These games I'm playing are

    wizards+6
    Toronto+3.5
    hornets-2.5
    bulls+3.5
    grizzlies+8
    golsenST+4

    All of these teams have 40% or less public money
  • SamsNCharge99
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-22-08
    • 41242

    #2
    gl

    On the Hornets myself
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    • UntilTheNDofTimE
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-29-08
      • 9285

      #3
      You have to beable to identify your edge and beat the number. Long term this will fail as any other derived system will.
      Comment
      • THE PROFIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-09
        • 17701

        #4
        I know it's not a long term system or anything. I just feel tonight it will win money without cappin a damn thing!
        Comment
        • S.K.M.
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-09
          • 1115

          #5
          What about Milwaukee and Sacramento? Two of the best plays out there imo.
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          • UntilTheNDofTimE
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-29-08
            • 9285

            #6
            Sac flew out of LA around 12, got to their room at 5-6 am went to bed woke up to play a 5 o clock game after a major let down. Dallas is the play here
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            • namwen1
              SBR Hustler
              • 12-25-09
              • 61

              #7
              Originally posted by S.K.M.
              What about Milwaukee and Sacramento? Two of the best plays out there imo.
              r u saying sacramento can cover +5.5 against dallas after that draining performance against the lakers last night?...well maybe i guess if dallas shoots the ball as shitty as they did against houston
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              • MV
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-06-09
                • 290

                #8
                i wouldnt say losing to a KB24 buzzer beater at staples is a letdown.. if anything it should give them more confidence coming into todays game.
                Comment
                • S.K.M.
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-09
                  • 1115

                  #9
                  So they are on a b2b and they had what? A one hour flight? This is already accounted for in the line anyways. Ill take a home dog with a 2 point RLM any day of the week.
                  Comment
                  • S.K.M.
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-06-09
                    • 1115

                    #10
                    Originally posted by namwen1
                    r u saying sacramento can cover +5.5 against dallas after that draining performance against the lakers last night?...well maybe i guess if dallas shoots the ball as shitty as they did against houston
                    Everyone knows they played and lost last night including the oddsmakers. All of these things are already factored in the line. If Sac was rested they would probably only be 2 or 3 point dogs. I am saying this a play based on line movement and public percentage. There has been a 2 point rlm here with over 60% on Dallas.
                    Comment
                    • Glitch
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-08-09
                      • 11795

                      #11
                      interesting.....i hope you lose hahahaaha



                      at least half of those.
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