up in the air on this game, but im a degenerate on the holidays and wanna make a play. lets collectively cap the shit outta this game:
-the last 3 games den @ port have resulted in final scores of 191, 180, 193. all unders and well under the total today of 196. factor in the many missing offensive weapons tonight, and this seems like the play to me. the public bet % is about 50/50 right now per vegasinsider and the total has moved .5 point from 195.5. basically doing what it should.
-the under is 9-6 in denver road games this year
-the under is 9-5 in port home games
im up in the air on the side....roy is doubtful and oden/pryzbilla are done for the year. though i feel the home court advantage could negate the injuries and taking the home dog at +3 is a slight lean i have - esp if billups is a dnp. i preach not to fade a team cause a star player is out, but billups means a ton to denver.
thinking 2x under, 1x port
thoughts?
-the last 3 games den @ port have resulted in final scores of 191, 180, 193. all unders and well under the total today of 196. factor in the many missing offensive weapons tonight, and this seems like the play to me. the public bet % is about 50/50 right now per vegasinsider and the total has moved .5 point from 195.5. basically doing what it should.
-the under is 9-6 in denver road games this year
-the under is 9-5 in port home games
im up in the air on the side....roy is doubtful and oden/pryzbilla are done for the year. though i feel the home court advantage could negate the injuries and taking the home dog at +3 is a slight lean i have - esp if billups is a dnp. i preach not to fade a team cause a star player is out, but billups means a ton to denver.
thinking 2x under, 1x port
thoughts?