Why I LOVE the UNDER tonight Ptt/Cleve...

lyon804 · 12-10-09, 01:48 PM

Sounds plausible to me Deuce. One thing to keep in mind about your no FG kicking theory is this... If they can't kick FG's than they will be in 4 down territory almost every time any team that passes the 40yd line leading possibly to more scoring if there are some conversions. All that being said I like your logic and analysis.

Deuce · 12-10-09, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by lyon804

Sounds plausible to me Deuce. One thing to keep in mind about your no FG kicking theory is this... If they can't kick FG's than they will be in 4 down territory almost every time any team that passes the 40yd line leading possibly to more scoring if there are some conversions. All that being said I like your logic and analysis.

Very good logic as well. It's now a mere coin flip between your logic as well as mine.

ZBOIZ · 12-10-09, 01:51 PM

Cleveland and the Under is the play!!

BGS 9.5 · 12-10-09, 01:52 PM

I agree, under is the play. googluck.

8badtuna · 12-10-09, 01:53 PM

i too will be on the under and cleveland

tblues2005 · 12-10-09, 01:54 PM

I think under 33 is risky though because that is awful low number. I have seen more overs on this kind of a number than unders in recent years.

durito · 12-10-09, 01:55 PM

the total already moved 5pts for the weather.

i played over 32.5

Deuce · 12-10-09, 01:56 PM

Also, Ward is beat up. I am a little cautious on Ben being a solid cold weather threat.

TomDwan · 12-10-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

Cleveland and the Under is the play!!

Zboiz, this concerns me greatly....The over 32.5 is my biggest play so far this month, are you sure?

B1GER1C828 · 12-10-09, 02:02 PM

got under 43 in my 3 team teaser..LOCK CENTRAL

james4512 · 12-10-09, 02:05 PM

no such thing as a lock with a line that low, a few funny bounces and it goes over before halftime. With wind like this picks are easier to come by and can be returned for tds, and with the wind teams will be going for it on 4th down so more tds could be scored. NO PLAY here but dont think its a lock BOL

Shahbucks · 12-10-09, 02:08 PM

Sean Rogers is out, along with how the game will be played, I have Mendenhall for a TD or two. I don't see anyone else as a huge factor scoring wise. I favor the under.

southpark79 · 12-10-09, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by B1GER1C828

got under 43 in my 3 team teaser..LOCK CENTRAL

Yeah no such thing as a lock man.

I am with you though, have under 43, Pitt -1/2 and Browns +20 1/2.

Best of luck man.

TomDwan · 12-10-09, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by james4512

no such thing as a lock with a line that low, a few funny bounces and it goes over before halftime. With wind like this picks are easier to come by and can be returned for tds, and with the wind teams will be going for it on 4th down so more tds could be scored. NO PLAY here but dont think its a lock BOL

Like maybe a couple Cribbs kick returns for TD's?.......Over....Over....Over for me........Over all day.

pavyracer · 12-10-09, 02:18 PM

This game ended 3-0 similar weather similar teams.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/48784-dolphins-steelers-game-thread.html

paco · 12-10-09, 02:18 PM

I'm on over, no analysis Duece, I just slways love overs

2daBank · 12-10-09, 02:22 PM

i never take overs so now that we get the most clear cut under of the year im taking the over. im looking for fumbles, 10yrd punts, going on 4th down, defenders slipping all over the place leading to big plays. all this and it still going to be hard for me to cash

..ov32.5 for me

roasthawg · 12-10-09, 02:23 PM

Cleveland and the over for me.

magynuck · 12-10-09, 02:29 PM

I love unders....I am am over 32.5
I also have cle 10
Posted a play

Razz_Donkey · 12-10-09, 02:30 PM

Like the under also, good luck guys.

Hoja Verdes · 12-10-09, 03:01 PM

Typical overreaction.

all the weather sites i've checked say 23-25mph winds...that's windy, but not that big of a deal. And remember snow benefits the offense much more than the defense, and both of these defenses are without their stars. And Cleveland's anemic offense was more due to Derek Anderson and then Brady Quinn getting into a rhythm, which he's obviously done lately.

This game goes over 33 easily.

Hoja Verdes · 12-10-09, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

This game ended 3-0 similar weather similar teams.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...me-thread.html

wrong...not just wrong, but dead wrong.

That was a torrential downpour, the field was a mudpit after steady thunderstorms all day and night.

There is only a 40% chance of precipitation tonight in Cleveland, and it will be 19 degrees. Have you ever seen rain when it's 19 degrees outside? And when there's only a 40% precipitation chance, that either means light snow or on-and-off snow throughout the night.

Final score tonight: 28-14. EASY over play here folks.

DwightShrute · 12-10-09, 03:09 PM

I agree. Both teams defense suck and the under is too obvious. It's such and under, it's an over!

Pittsburgh 23 Cleveland 22

pavyracer · 12-10-09, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by Hoja Verdes

Typical overreaction.

all the weather sites i've checked say 23-25mph winds...that's windy, but not that big of a deal. And remember snow benefits the offense much more than the defense, and both of these defenses are without their stars. And Cleveland's anemic offense was more due to Derek Anderson and then Brady Quinn getting into a rhythm, which he's obviously done lately.

This game goes over 33 easily.

http://weather.yahoo.com/united-states/ohio/cleveland-2381475/

Today: Blustery with snow showers. High around 20F. Winds WSW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50%. About one inch of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.
Tonight: Windy conditions and snow showers. Low 17F. Winds WSW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.

I wouldn't call 19F with 28 mph winds and snow ideal conditions for a football game. This is almost blizzard conditions.

Hoja Verdes · 12-10-09, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

http://weather.yahoo.com/united-stat...eland-2381475/

Today: Blustery with snow showers. High around 20F. Winds WSW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50%. About one inch of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.
Tonight: Windy conditions and snow showers. Low 17F. Winds WSW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.

I wouldn't call 19F with 28 mph winds and snow ideal conditions for a football game. This is almost blizzard conditions.

copy/pasted from your link:

Tonight: Windy conditions and snow showers. Low 17F. Winds WSW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.

Blizzard you say?

lakerboy · 12-10-09, 03:14 PM

Over

pavyracer · 12-10-09, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by Hoja Verdes

copy/pasted from your link:

Blizzard you say?

My guess is the field will be muddy like mush, the winds and white out conditions will make throwing the ball impossible to catch and the punters will be busy because the ball won't advance on running plays in muddy field and both teams abandoning the nickel packages and stuffing the line of scrimmage with the safeties on 8 man front lines.

WileOut · 12-10-09, 06:09 PM

interesting. maybe the game will go over, maybe it will go under. I wish I had tomorrow's newspaper today.

jjgold · 12-10-09, 06:29 PM

Deuce you better be right here or your going to get fukkin hammered.

SBR is a tough crowd

jonmic · 12-10-09, 06:38 PM

under looks good

sportsfun · 12-10-09, 06:41 PM

seems too low for me though and rothlesberger might light it up today.

vietgamble · 12-10-09, 06:45 PM

under is the right bet tonight,.... GL

Rich Boy · 12-10-09, 06:49 PM

Pit -9.5 baby

Bsters · 12-10-09, 06:54 PM

Yeah there aren't going to be a lot of points scored in this game