Sammy if you have lost as much as you have posted in your football thread...you do not have 20 units to bet on this game!
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Indy WANTS to go 16-0, THIS SEASON!!!!
What a WIN against the Pats, their toughest test this season.....
The game against Pats, will Motivate Indy....
Indy by 10+ pointsComment -
[COLOR=#000000 !important][/color][COLOR=#000000 !important]Colts were horrible last week. Bad coaching by Belichek made them look better but the Raven defense will rip Manning apart.
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Pavy, why am I NOT surprised by your belief that Belichek made a mistake going for it on 4th and 2. Your wrong about everything else so it only makes sense you're wrong about Belichek's call as well.[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]To all of you who mistakenly believe Belichek made the wrong decision by going for it, here is a lesson about calculating percentages which will make all you sheep better gamblers:[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]2 scenarios (its 4th and 2 on NEngland's own 28 with NE leading 34-28 with 2:08 remaining)[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]1st scenario:[/color]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Do exactly what Belichick did and go for it on 4th and 2.[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]What is the percentage chance that New England gains the necessary 2 yards and puts the game away? Considering how prolific the New England offense is, I put the chances of New England making the first down about 70X out of 100. However, so there is no dispute, lets say New England only makes the first down 60 times out of 100 (does not make the 1st down the other 40X).[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]What is the percentage chance Indy wins the game after New England fails to convert the 4th down attempt? When New England failed to convert that 4th down attempt, Matchbook's live betting market for the straight up had the Colts at +160 for massive volume which means you could have bought the Colts @ +160 to win the game at that point. This equates to the Colts having a 38% chance to win (NE 62% chance to win).[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]When you multiply these 2 events (40% chance of NEngland failing to get the 1st down X 38% chance of Colts winning the game at that point), the chances of the Colts winning the game were 15% once Belichick made the decision to go for it.[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]If Belichick punts the ball on 4th and 2 from NEngland's 28 yard line, what are the chances the Colts win the game in that scenario? [/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]Lets assume the Colts get the ball at their own 30 yard line (this assume no Indy blocked punt or big return as factoring in these things would make Belichick's decision look even better).[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]What are the chances the Colts win the game with 2 minutes to go starting from their own 30? Would you put the odds higher or lower than 15% of the time? Anyone who has watched Peyton Manning and the Colts knows the chances of Manning going down the field in that scenario are FAR BETTER than 15%.[/color]
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]Therefore, Belichick's decision to go for it on 4th and 2 was by far and away the right call.[/color]
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andy can you clean that post up or delete? Very hard on the eyes!Comment -
Good luck with your lock!Comment -
Right, because better teams always win in the NFL.
Just ask the Cowboys and Broncos.Comment -
Guy can't formulate his own opinion. He is pretty bad in copying and pasting too.Originally posted by G's pksComment -
andy the wacko, just delete ur idiotic post.Comment -
I'm up in NBA which is supporting this betOriginally posted by G's pksComment -
This thread is full of !swine, i will be on ravensComment -
Sammy this is a reckless bet amount when your average bet is 2 units and you still have been able to work your way to 40 units down! That is the point! So if you win the poor unit amount is hidden..and if you lose??? Sam sooner or later this style of betting is going to ruin you... I did the same thing years ago...Originally posted by SamsNCharge99Comment -
Colts were horrible last week. Bad coaching by Belichek made them look better but the Raven defense will rip Manning apart.
Rigggghhhhtttt! The Colts have only beaten the Ravens 6 in a row and all by more than a TD! Peyton occasionally gets impatient and struggles with teams that play the safeties really deep but the Ravens bring pressure and single cover receivers! In the Colts SB run...the Ravens held Indy to 15 pts but usually Peyton lights them up!
Some very interesting variables for this game to consider as well! The Colts have alot of young players and could easily have a letdown after the game-of-the year and all the hype that came with it! On the other side we have Baltimore and their fans who go ape$hit with anger every time the Colts come to town since the Horseshoes left them high-n-dry in what seems like 160 years ago! I'm speaking for all Indy residents when I say....GET THE FC OVER IT
I'm be playing the Colts small in this one just because of the matchups and the fact that Indy can load the box and not have to worry about the Ravens mediocre receivers! The Colts can only pull out so many squeakers though before a few don't go our way!Comment -
If the Colts are so dominant and the Ravens are so bad the line should have been -6.5. There is a reason Vegas wins all the time. They threw a dog bone for you with a pk line and you chewed it.Comment -
Indy all the way....Manning has been in playoff mode all season ...300+passing all season sans the game he wasnt needed ....he is on a mission!!!!
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indy wins this game- trust me.Comment -
Can I have a lollipop please I trust you I swearOriginally posted by anthonymarrero40
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THan why a line that would invite colt money and scare away even the biggest ravens fanOriginally posted by Mr HandicapableColts were horrible last week. Bad coaching by Belichek made them look better but the Raven defense will rip Manning apart.
Rigggghhhhtttt! The Colts have only beaten the Ravens 6 in a row and all by more than a TD! Peyton occasionally gets impatient and struggles with teams that play the safeties really deep but the Ravens bring pressure and single cover receivers! In the Colts SB run...the Ravens held Indy to 15 pts but usually Peyton lights them up!
Some very interesting variables for this game to consider as well! The Colts have alot of young players and could easily have a letdown after the game-of-the year and all the hype that came with it! On the other side we have Baltimore and their fans who go ape$hit with anger every time the Colts come to town since the Horseshoes left them high-n-dry in what seems like 160 years ago! I'm speaking for all Indy residents when I say....GET THE FC OVER IT
I'm be playing the Colts small in this one just because of the matchups and the fact that Indy can load the box and not have to worry about the Ravens mediocre receivers! The Colts can only pull out so many squeakers though before a few don't go our way!Comment -
You figure Indy not going undefeated - only 2 teams have done that. If you look over their remaining schedule this could be the loss, especially considering it could be a let down gameComment -
take the lions on sunday ,,,,they will roll against cleveland,,,also denver will roll against san diego,,,,,chicago+3 is a gift ,,,and last pick,,,the baltimore raven will roll against indy,,,,you want make money take those pick,,,,good luckComment -
I'm a SUCKER
betting on the COLTS at -1
so they can win me back what they lost me last week!
(had em at -1.5!!!)
GLComment -
The Over IMO is the play here. You know 18 will get his TD tosses and Addai scores one rushing. Joe Fukko should be able to move the ball against the Indy DB's and their Run D is suspect.
Let Vegas make thier money on the side ... I will take thiers on the total.Comment -
Originally posted by BrownTown
I LIKE IT!
Colts and the Over...Comment -
Indy is going to win. I got two words for you Peyton Manning. $500 on the colts 4 me.Comment -
I think most people here get it. If it looks to easy it's usually a trap.Comment -
lyon I agree. I thought the trap was the Eagles last week at SD. I thought SD should be favored by more than that and SD did win the game. Sometimes a trap line is not true.Comment -
Colts still want to lock up home field for the playoffs before the so called let down game. Colts WinComment -
18 is a friggen robot ... that guy will not allow his team (offense) to have let-down from a gift win last week. This guy will carve up the Ravens. And if they can get a running game going ... play action! Forget about it.Comment -
the colts know they played very badly last week and it should light a fire under their asses that they cant sleep walk through games. I do like the colts to a certain extent, i think they win but certainly not a big play. Flacco probably will continue to struggle after the good start and the ravens defense isnt as good as it was in years past and people dont realize this.Comment -
suggs being out worrrys me. if it wasnt for that id b on the ravens 4sure at this point i think im just laying off this gm. with this line i just cant c taking indy bal should b able to punish indy d with rice and that big o-line controlling the clock but as we have seen already this year you can do all that and payton still finds a way to win....if it gets up to 3 id probly take a shot w balComment -
Ravens have a short week plus the Colts ALWAYS BEAT THE RAVENS...having said that...I'm staying away...just take the Chargers...Rivers is on fire right now...Comment -
Sometimes people can overthink games. Indy will roll this subpar Balt. team.Comment -
Originally posted by Bread
I agree Pumpernickel Bread, Indy hasn't lost to Baltimore since before 2002, and the y usually cover, 4 - 1 since that time also, hell while I'm at it the under is 4 - 1 also. Don't be fooled by the Ravens shuting out the Clowns this past Monday, their defense isn't as good as it once was, and Peyton has been smoking them even when they where that good. It will be a Monday night hangover for the Ravens as the Colts beat them by 5 this week.Comment -
Ravens pull out a tight one at homeComment -
Last edited by andywend; Today at 08:28 AM.. Reason: When is SBR going to fix this "Color" bug they have in their systemOriginally posted by andywend
this is the second time I see you with this issue.
You are being watched.
bird bird da bird's da wordComment -
colts roll in this one. they own the ravens. suggs is out...heap is banged up. mathis destroys mr lifetime movieComment
