KENTUCKY -19.5 vs. Miami (OH)

[onthewhat]

Game is Monday night at 7pm EST, broadcast on ESPN360.com.

LOVE this play, even more than my Morehead play. I had this capped at UK -25 but I love them to win by 30 in this game, or to flirt with that number.

HAMMER THIS AT ANY NUMBER!!!

[onthewhat]

Miami lost their opener to TOWSON by 10 points. Kentucky beat an NCAA Tournament team without their leading PG, who returns for the Miami game.

I ABSOLUTELY LOVE THIS PLAY...WOW!!!!!!!

Miami is going to slow it down to try to keep Kentucky within the 20 points, however John Calipari instructs his team to press against slowdown teams to force them to play quicker. Kentucky will cover this number EASILY!!! Get it early before it steams!

[onthewhat]

YTD: 1-0, +1.00 units

[onthewhat]

Anyone playing this

[fishmonger]

This...

is the football thread but hey i'll look in to it.

[Fishhead]

anyone playing this

yes

thanks onner

[lyon804]

Count me in. Already 1-0 playing your picks.

[onthewhat]

As I would predicted, the line would go up.

Currently -20.5, I wouldn't be shocked if it got to 22 by tip off. I hope some of you got on it at 19.5 like I said.

It is best to play these wagers at the openers when I post them, as I will be on the correct side of the line move over 80% of the time in Kentucky Basketball games.

[onthewhat]

Do the mods follow sports these days? This is college basketball, but it got cross posted to the college football forum from players talk.

[Deuce]

Trap Kentucky wins by 13

[TPowell]

with a gun to my head, I take Kentucky. Kentucky looked like trash though, Wall can't make the shots they need to make. If Miami or anybody gets hot or just makes open shots against Kentucky, they'll lose or at least get challenged

[TheBetBuysDanK]

I like this pick. a lot

[Enogsiwon]

Just booked it..

[Regul8er]

Looks like a good one onthewhat.......with UK's stiffling defense, and Miami's inability to score......I think UK will need to score 70 to cover the line.

[onthewhat]

Kentucky will score in the 80s most likely.

For those saying it is a trap, or UK will win by 14, or whatever: if you made this bet at UK -19.5 you now have a +EV wager on your hands, congrats!

[bigcat1]

i believe kentucky wins by 21 by no stretch its not a lock, but i think its a good gamble, one thing people need to know john wall nations number one recruit will be playing, tonigt, he didn't against morehead...so good luck, take the cats -20.5

[onthewhat]

bigcat are you going to the game?

I think Kentucky routs them, I think it's closer to 30 than 20.

[jayc88]

gl onner

[jayc88]

line down to -19,5

[bigcat1]

nope not going, but will def be watching, i put quiet a few dollars on it though, are you going

[Regul8er]

I don't get why the line is so low myself. I think Morehead St is more talented then Miami OH, and Kentucky beat them by 17 (was mid 20's late) without their top recruit and future lottery pick. They already have a game under there belt, and have gotten rid of whatever jitters come with such a high preseason national ranking.

Miami OH gave up 82 to Towson, and lost by 11 points. Miami is typically one of the top defensive teams in the nation, but allowed Towson to shoot 53% from the field, a team predicted to finish near the bottom of the Colonial. Remember, the RedHawks lost last years MAC player of the year (Michael Bramos) to graduation and two other starters.

I hope the line screams value and not trap. Goodluck tonight boys, and enjoy the game at Rupp onthewhat.

[onthewhat]

Yeah, I'm going bigcat.

Don't know why the line is coming back down....

[bigcat1]

how is the money movement Follow the money lol, from somerset, how bot you

[onthewhat]

L'ville.

[Regul8er]

It looks like just about every book has this game down to -18.5 except 5Dimes. I'm anxiously awaiting before I place my wager.

[teaserpleaser]

it is at 18.5 at 5dimes -105 (reduced juice)

[onthewhat]

I'm confused also. 5Dimes is standing pat at 19.5, but Pinny has Miami shaded at -110 at 18.5, so perhaps a move to 18 at the books is upcoming.

[onthewhat]

it is at 18.5 at 5dimes -105 (reduced juice)

Thanks. No clue where this damn line is going to move at this point.

[WINGZ]

[poker_dummy101]

Onner, we will be tailing you on this play.

Thanks

[onthewhat]

Line is back up to 19! Get 18.5 if you can!!!

[BUCKY]

Like the pick, tailing you on this one at 18.5

[Fed_42420]

Ky fan!

Next years #1 draft pick will make his college debut in this game for Ky. John Wall will be unstoppable all year and a little nervousness tonight will fire him up! I think Ky will cover easily! Wall and Bledsoe together for the first time should be running so fast on every missed shot they will get so many lay ups. And thats not even mentioning Patrick Patterson, Demarcus Cousins, Orton, ...... Ky covers!!!

[onthewhat]

Next years #1 draft pick will make his college debut in this game for Ky. John Wall will be unstoppable all year and a little nervousness tonight will fire him up! I think Ky will cover easily! Wall and Bledsoe together for the first time should be running so fast on every missed shot they will get so many lay ups. And thats not even mentioning Patrick Patterson, Demarcus Cousins, Orton, ...... Ky covers!!!

[MonkeyF0cker]

Thanks. No clue where this damn line is going to move at this point.

LOL. Shocking. People are waiting for you squares to put value back in a side.