Post here your questions for the SBR.tv Dr. Bob Thursday 11/5 Q&A

[SBRPicks]

Dr. Bob will again be doing his weekly Q&A on SBR.tv with Peter Loshak, answering questions about upcoming games or bets.

Thanks to all who have posted questions previously.

Post here to have your questions answered this week! Questions such as those concerning the impact of yayo usage on the implementation of his handicapping strategies probably won't get chosen, but feel free to ask anyway.

If we use your question, we'll throw you 10 points.

[MilfDriller]

How much will Oregon cover by in their next 2 games:

@ Stanfd
Arizona St

[Slim]

Is your pecker less than 4 inches?

[mgoblue313]

Could you explain why Houston is not favored to win? I just cant figure this one out Iam all over Houston +2 how safe is this. I know Houston plays like ass on the road but Tulsa to win? Thanks for your time guys.

[wal66]

Doc.......I created my own program the begining of last season. I used it all season and it hit 66% for college football. It wasn't as good during the bowl games but still turned a profit. This year it's still slightly above 60% so it's still a success.
My program generates an estimated line. I select games that are +/- 3.5 points of the opening line and then I research the games from that point forward.
So I guess I am asking if this is a true computer model or merely just a filter? It doesn't matter because it's creating a proven track record and that's all that counts but it would be nice to be able to explain it to others and be informed.
Oh and the best part about my program is the difference it has made in the games I play. Before I would always play the favorites I thought had the best advantage of covering the line, now I am able to find the most advantaged underdogs and even the most oppertuned ML winners.
It has turned a .500 gambler into a better than 60%+ investor.

[pavyracer]

Why is North Carolina favored by 10 points to Duke? My model has this game as pk.

[mmike032]

Bob,
what tout service do you consider to be the most profitable?
I'm looking for a service thats picking greater than 50% winners this year.
TIA

[wal66]

While on the subject of models or filters or whatever they may be called. With the way I use mine I have determined I need a +/- 3.5 point differential in order to feel safe to move forward with my analysis. So if my program suggest a game and then my research supports the program I make a play on the game. I generally don't concern myself with line movement because I have the built in value I stated above. However in certain situations as with this week's Houston vs Tulsa game there is such abnormal line movement that had I been on this game I would have serious concerns.
My question to you is do you also have a built in cushion? Do you concern yourself with line movement or simply trust your model?

[Fishhead]

DR. BOB........will you finally admit that USC was HIGHLY overrated at #4 when you consider the folllowing......

1. The LOST to Washington
2. Surrendered 36 pts to Oregon St
3. Got blown out by Oregon

Will they lose again before the season is through???

[BrownTown]

DR Bob,
Are you of the mindset that Boise St this year has a better chance than years past to make a run at a National Championship? I reralize the Oregon situation, but give that Florida and Alabama will either or possibly each have 1 loss and the potential for Texas to lose in its conferance championship ... could Boise be there at the end?

The bigger question, as it relates to the lines ... should we expect huge wins due to the importance of style victories going forward? 21 this week is a lot, but if BSU understands it has to roll teams from here on out, this could be a 35 point W?

Your thoughts?

Thanks

[big joe 1212]

Can LSU beat Alabama?

I think the Tiger defense can completely shut down the weak Alabama offense. I see a 12-9 kinda game.
The +7.5 is a gift! What do you guys think?

[ackem19]

With Navy getting back Ricky Dobbs, do you think Navy can win outright against ND? Seeing how ND may be caught in a look ahead game with Pitt coming up next week and Navy coming off a home loss to Temple.

[billsfan12]

DR Bob,
Are you of the mindset that Boise St this year has a better chance than years past to make a run at a National Championship? I reralize the Oregon situation, but give that Florida and Alabama will either or possibly each have 1 loss and the potential for Texas to lose in its conferance championship ... could Boise be there at the end?

The bigger question, as it relates to the lines ... should we expect huge wins due to the importance of style victories going forward? 21 this week is a lot, but if BSU understands it has to roll teams from here on out, this could be a 35 point W?

Your thoughts?

Thanks

They have 0.0039% of making the title game............WTF?

[poker_dummy101]

LOSHAK!!!!!!!!!

I've asked this question all over SBR and get different answers each time.

I want to know:

If lines come out early in the week for college football that Saturday coming up.... early movement is sharps most of the time. Then the lines hold steady all week and right before gametime you might see some games move up or down a full point right before it starts! Who creates this movement? Sharps? Squares? Public? Sportsbooks? Why? What is it?

So ex:
Line comes out at -6. early on it goes to -4 with sharps on underdog.
Right before gametime it moves to -5. WHo creates that movement?
What if it moves to -3. Who creates that?

[Reload]

Dr. Bob - One stat you tend to focus on for both offense and defense is "yards per play". Can you expand on the usefulness of this particular stat when it comes to handicapping?

[311]

why does anyone care what this guy thinks.. hes an absolute clown!

[daneblazer]

Why is everyone jumping on the LSU bandwagon this week? This is a team that had a lot of problems offensively until they suddenly got better against (at the time) a struggling Auburn team and ran up the score against Tulane throwing play action passes under two minutes left. This offense struggled to put up points against a bad Georgia team and looked like it was stuck in mud against a Florida defense that is as good as Alabama's.

Alabama has given up more than 14 points one time this season and has held their opponents to 10 points or less in five games this season. Give Nick Saban two weeks to prepare and it's going to get ugly. I think Alabama comes out, makes a statement, and wins this game by double digits. Do you agree?

[xxxvince]

looks like vikings gonna play the saints for nfc title... will the vikes have a chance against drew breese?

[wal66]

why does anyone care what this guy thinks.. hes an absolute clown!

Well duh!.........I thought it was obvious.......we want the 10 points.

[ohiostate]

OSU vs PSU...

Go bucks!

[blackbart]

In the past few years your pic's in College football have caused quite a bit of line movement. In the last couple of weeks i noticed very little or no line movements associated with your pics. Of course the last couple of weeks the pics were not successful, which is correlated to the closing number, but the numbers have not been moving at release time like in the past. Do you have any ideas on why the change all of a sudden?

[HoulihansTX]

What are your thoughts on situational analysis?

Such as; Letdown spots/ Look-ahead games, multiple road games in a row, TV games, etc... Do you use it, or do you rely solely on math?

Also if you do, what are some situations that you use, and some that are overlooked?

Three situations that I see for the week;

Indiana in a letdown spot, due to blowing it against Iowa. Arkansas did this last week, after failing to beat Florida in a close game.

Oregon not be fully focused coming into Stanford, as they beat the most hunted team on the west-coast. Also they have a first year head coach who is in spot that is foreign to the whole Oregon program... possible Natl championship bid.

Navy playing out of their mind in a Rivalry game against Norte Dame. Norte Dame's D looks ripe for the picking when facing anything that can run or pass. Navy still hungry after almost getting shocking the world against Ohio State.

Thanks ahead of time.