LINE MOVE ALERT........MISSOURI +13.5 to +12.5 at PINNY

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  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #1
    LINE MOVE ALERT........MISSOURI +13.5 to +12.5 at PINNY
    Game at 13.5 still at many, many outlets.

    If you like Missouri, attack now!!
  • fsugolf
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-17-09
    • 6194

    #2
    attttttttttttack

    FH
    Comment
    • themajormt
      SBR MVP
      • 07-30-08
      • 3964

      #3
      Good Looks Fish!
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        that move is almost worthless
        Comment
        • Mudcat
          Restricted User
          • 07-21-05
          • 9287

          #5
          Lines actually move quite a bit. It's fairly routine.

          I hope we're not going to get a new thread every time there is a move like that.
          Comment
          • jayc88
            Restricted User
            • 12-30-07
            • 6785

            #6
            Originally posted by durito
            that move is almost worthless
            agree
            makes no sense to take +13.5 -110 at some books
            Comment
            • Fishhead
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-11-05
              • 40179

              #7
              I'm speechless(writeless) after posts 4-6 in this thread.
              Comment
              • durito
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-03-06
                • 13173

                #8
                If the fair line on a ncaaf game is +12.5 -106/-12.5 -104 as pinny has now, what is the fair price of +13.5? (ignore the total since there isn't one)
                Comment
                • Fishhead
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-11-05
                  • 40179

                  #9
                  I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

                  If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.
                  Comment
                  • durito
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-03-06
                    • 13173

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Fishhead
                    I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

                    If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their Sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.
                    lol

                    answer my question: what is that pt from 13.5 to 12.5 worth?
                    Comment
                    • Fishhead
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-11-05
                      • 40179

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Fishhead
                      I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

                      If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.

                      Anyone that was able to get +13.5 on Missouri(or hopefully better), has a superlative wager........WIN or LOSE.
                      Comment
                      • durito
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-03-06
                        • 13173

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fishhead
                        Anyone that was able to get +13.5 on Missouri(or hopefully better), has a superlative wager........WIN or LOSE.
                        lol

                        tell me, how often does the 13 push ?
                        Comment
                        • durito
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-03-06
                          • 13173

                          #13
                          anyone?
                          Comment
                          • fsugolf
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-17-09
                            • 6194

                            #14
                            .18456465%
                            Comment
                            • Fishhead
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-11-05
                              • 40179

                              #15
                              Ask yourself this Durito, why is Pinnacle at +12.5 and not +13.5.............and why are there not any +13.5's available any longer at the majority of shops since this post was initiated, which at the time there were many, many places where one could have snatched up +13.5........or better.


                              From there, do what I suggested in post #9.
                              Comment
                              • durito
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-03-06
                                • 13173

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Fishhead
                                Ask yourself this Durito, why is Pinnacle at +12.5 and not +13.5.............and why are there not any +13.5's available any longer at the majority of shops since this post was initiated, which at the time there were many, many places where one could have snatched up +13.5........or better.


                                From there, do what I suggested in post #9.
                                again, lol.

                                That point is worth less than 5 cents. 13 pushes less than 1% of the time.

                                13.5 -110 is virtually the same as 12.5 -105

                                Beating the closing # is irrelevant if the points you get aren't worth anything.

                                Don't believe me? Look at the pinnacle drop downs.
                                Comment
                                • Fishhead
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-11-05
                                  • 40179

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by durito
                                  again, lol.

                                  That point is worth less than 5 cents. 13 pushes less than 1% of the time.

                                  13.5 -110 is virtually the same as 12.5 -105

                                  Beating the closing # is irrelevant if the points you get aren't worth anything.

                                  Don't believe me? Look at the pinnacle drop downs.

                                  Do you know who your talking to????



                                  My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.
                                  Comment
                                  • durito
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-03-06
                                    • 13173

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Fishhead
                                    Do you know who your talking to????



                                    My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.
                                    Comment
                                    • Fishhead
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-11-05
                                      • 40179

                                      #19
                                      A move at PINNY at 8am ET on a Tuesday whether it be from 13.5 to 12.5 or 20.5 to 19.5 is much more then just about what percentage of a game falls on a certain number .......(but make not misake about it, EVERY HALF POINT one can get is gravy).........especially when this game opened at 14.5 some shops and there were still a few +14's out there in the world.


                                      Again, and I obviously cannot stress this to you and others enough, do as I suggested in post #9.

                                      I actually like Missouri in this spot to go along with the line movement........I'm on Mizzou at +14 as just ONE of my MANY plays for this coming weekend. I would have to believe that Texas will have some type of letdown after the Red River Valley tussle and who knows, perhaps McCoys bad thumb could be worse then first anticipated.

                                      It's been a great CFB season thus far, both as a fan and sportsbettor!



                                      Best of luck,
                                      FH
                                      Comment
                                      • durito
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-03-06
                                        • 13173

                                        #20
                                        you ever see pinny move from -3.5 +110 to -3 -115 NFL and go jump on +3.5 -125 at another book?
                                        Comment
                                        • durito
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-03-06
                                          • 13173

                                          #21
                                          Yea I really don't have any idea what I'm doing. Which books are your referring to? Hopefully sharp sports betting is one. Perhaps you should re-read the chapter on half points.
                                          Comment
                                          • durito
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-03-06
                                            • 13173

                                            #22
                                            You should read this too: http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...tml#post250260

                                            Maybe then you might stop scalping props with $200 limits
                                            Comment
                                            • Fishhead
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-11-05
                                              • 40179

                                              #23
                                              Again, do you know who I am?????

                                              By the way, nobody on this board knows how I successfully wager year in and year out and the MANY methods I use in my madness.......not Billsfan, not The General, not you, nor any sportsbook in the world.

                                              However, if you read many of my articles on the internet and in print, you may come somewhat close. In fact, some of things you may be reading and take to heart may have actually be written by me, and you don't even realize it.



                                              ps- Off to MOE'S for a durito, I mean a burrito.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDaddy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-01-06
                                                • 8378

                                                #24
                                                LOL!

                                                "do you know who i am"

                                                LOL!
                                                Comment
                                                • Fishhead
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-11-05
                                                  • 40179

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BigDaddy
                                                  LOL!

                                                  "do you know who i am"

                                                  LOL!

                                                  .....damn kids.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MonkeyF0cker
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-12-07
                                                    • 12144

                                                    #26
                                                    Holy fuk. Fishhead is such a fukkin square.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dwaechte
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-27-07
                                                      • 5481

                                                      #27
                                                      LMAO. Oh dear God this thread makes me so happy. I needed a good laugh.

                                                      Fishhead, keep your posts in JJ and otw's threads and save yourself the embarassment.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tomato
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 1251

                                                        #28
                                                        It moved from 13.5 to 12.5! Right through 13!

                                                        OMG TOMATO MUST BET NAO!!! I GOTTA BEAT 13!!!

                                                        Comment
                                                        • JohnnyC
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-27-09
                                                          • 504

                                                          #29
                                                          This thread just shows why Fishead is still scalping at age 60
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fishhead
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 08-11-05
                                                            • 40179

                                                            #30
                                                            Ok, taking +12.5 is better then taking +13.5(or +14)...........me bad.

                                                            EVERY FREAKING HALF POINT IS IMPORTANT, NO MATTER HOW SMALL!!

                                                            Secondly, this has much more importance then just getting the best number and if anyone can't figure that out I once again recommend you do what I recomended in post #9 in this thread.

                                                            I have a fantastic suggestion for those not interested or not seeing relevance in this information,........ "ignore it"..........your certainly not obligated to do ANYTHING with it and you shouldn't have to. I can certainly respect that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MonkeyF0cker
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-12-07
                                                              • 12144

                                                              #31
                                                              The point is, Fishhead, that if someone bet +13.5 -110 and the line closes at +12.5 -110, they STILL have a -EV wager and they DIDN'T actually beat the closing number...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • InTheHole
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-28-08
                                                                • 15243

                                                                #32
                                                                These are classic threads.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fishhead
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 08-11-05
                                                                  • 40179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                                                                  The point is, Fishhead, that if someone bet +13.5 -110 and the line closes at +12.5 -110, they STILL have a -EV wager and they DIDN'T actually beat the closing number...

                                                                  May I recommend to you a double scotch on the rocks............

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • InTheHole
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-28-08
                                                                    • 15243

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Fishhead


                                                                    Do you know who your talking to????



                                                                    My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fishhead
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-11-05
                                                                      • 40179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by InTheHole
                                                                      These are classic threads.

                                                                      I've started about 5,434 of them in my posting career.
                                                                      Comment
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