Fade SBR in Beat the Prick

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  • Immortality
    Restricted User
    • 12-20-07
    • 4599

    #1
    Fade SBR in Beat the Prick
    Anyone just take all the games against the consensus? I am thinking of just fading SBR by going against the grain.

    64 people on colts -3.5
    16 on the Titans.

    47 people one Jets -1.5
    20 on Dolphins

    40 on Carolina -3.5
    19 on Washington

    35 on Vikings
    10 on Rams


    I will have to think about whether to try this for a week.
  • Immortality
    Restricted User
    • 12-20-07
    • 4599

    #2
    Attached Files
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    • Mikail
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-19-09
      • 21689

      #3
      GL. You will probably go 2-2 maybe 1-3
      Comment
      • Immortality
        Restricted User
        • 12-20-07
        • 4599

        #4
        Originally posted by Mikail
        GL. You will probably go 2-2 maybe 1-3
        You are probably right.
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #5
          Titans will be my biggest bet tonight in a long time...
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • BeatTheJerk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-19-07
            • 31794

            #6
            Originally posted by SexyMit
            Titans will be my biggest bet tonight in a long time...
            Which is what ? 3-5 Dimes that's my guess ....................
            Comment
            • JamesGenius
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-30-09
              • 257

              #7
              Originally posted by SexyMit
              Titans will be my biggest bet tonight in a long time...
              I need some insite there
              Comment
              • SexyMit
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-06
                • 6139

                #8
                Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                Which is what ? 3-5 Dimes that's my guess ....................
                Pretty good guess actually. To be honest in that range yes... Indi won't win by more then 3. If they even win at all.
                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                Comment
                • SexyMit
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-06
                  • 6139

                  #9
                  It depends on how these high public games go today before the game tonight, on how much I do.
                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                  Comment
                  • SexyMit
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-06
                    • 6139

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JamesGenius
                    I need some insite there
                    LT Profits already posted this stat somewhere don't remember where but 0-4 teams coming into week 5 are 20-5 SU in week 5 since 2000. Thats a good enough number for me other then the fact that Tennessee is winless and Indi hasn't lost. Until last yr Indi was always favored by more then 7 coming into Tennessee, where last yr the Colts were slumping and Tennesee couldn't be stopped. Over 80% is on Indi and the line really hasn't moved a whole lot from the 90+5 that has been on them all week.

                    Just like Georgia yesterday I didn't fall for that game either. I have been around this business for a while and if Vegas Dave were here this would be one of his Philosophy plays just like the Tennessee game yesterday.
                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                    Comment
                    • Immortality
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-20-07
                      • 4599

                      #11
                      The record of SBR contestants
                      WLT: 3121-3318-36
                      Percent: 48.47 %
                      Units: -663.77

                      80% of the players that played this game picked Indy. That was enough for me to make it my best bet since I already liked the Titans.
                      Comment
                      • fiveteamer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-08
                        • 10805

                        #12
                        I took Carolina today in BTP.

                        Seemed like a square play.
                        Comment
                        • Immortality
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-20-07
                          • 4599

                          #13
                          Rams fade play not looking good.
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #14
                            I made Titans my BB tonight in BTP also
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • Immortality
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-20-07
                              • 4599

                              #15
                              The fade SBR experiment in Beat the Prick is a failure this week
                              Comment
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