Anyone Taking the Twins Tommorrow?

pimike · 10-09-09, 12:04 AM

WHY?

Chi_archie · 10-09-09, 12:08 AM

I like Blackburn's stuff as of late. Burnett is always overpriced. Posada will not be playing and I love rooting against the yanks.... its baseball anything can happen I should be able to get +2.5 at almost even money

DrStale · 10-09-09, 12:09 AM

It's gotta be the Twins or nothing, I don't see value in Burnett at that price. Twins +900 to win the series, there's value there as well.

Deuce · 10-09-09, 12:10 AM

Small play on Minne +270, Blackie has been good lately. Burnett is whore shit.

pimike · 10-09-09, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

I like Blackburn's stuff as of late. Burnett is always overpriced. Posada will not be playing and I love rooting against the yanks.... its baseball anything can happen I should be able to get +2.5 at almost even money

I hear ya. but their bats are something else at home.

pimike · 10-09-09, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by DrStale

It's gotta be the Twins or nothing, I don't see value in Burnett at that price. Twins +900 to win the series, there's value there as well.

Where is ther value in Twins winning the series, when there is no way this could happen?

Chi_archie · 10-09-09, 12:15 AM

if the twinkies can steal one tomorrow..... they are going back to the metrodome 1-1 and anything can happen there.... very tough place to win in post season, maybe the toughest at +900 its worth a shot

DrStale · 10-09-09, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Where is ther value in Twins winning the series, when there is no way this could happen?

There is no way this can happen? The Twins have been on fire over the past month and would be charged up if they take the game tomorrow. Does it happen? Probably not. Does it happen 1 in 9 times? Yeah, I think it does. Hence, value.

wade3 · 10-09-09, 12:32 AM

i like the over.

pimike · 10-09-09, 12:37 AM

Yankees win tomorrow and twins will be lucky to win 1 game at home. Tigers almost and should have won in Minn, Yankees will not be bothered at all playing there.

I don't see it. I see money being thrown away.

Good luck guys if you play it.

DrStale · 10-09-09, 12:47 AM

So because the Tigers almost won a game against the Twins that means the Twins cant beat the Yankees? I dont get it. I don't know whether or not the Twins will win tomorrow, but the value is there IMO. Public all over the Yanks, who are more likely to win, surely but I think a play on the Twins RL is at least warranted. We will see tomorrow.

pimike · 10-09-09, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by DrStale

So because the Tigers almost won a game against the Twins that means the Twins cant beat the Yankees? I dont get it. I don't know whether or not the Twins will win tomorrow, but the value is there IMO. Public all over the Yanks, who are more likely to win, surely but I think a play on the Twins RL is at least warranted. We will see tomorrow.

Ok RL is completly in order, but not the series.

moses millsap · 10-09-09, 12:54 AM

good thing blackburn has been throwing well, because the yanks are going to slaughter him tomorrow imo

Rich Boy · 10-09-09, 12:57 AM

If you like Minny, take them -1.5. Odds are if they win, its in blowout fashion.

DrStale · 10-09-09, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Ok RL is completly in order, but not the series.

Well the RL is +130 and the series is +900. Obviously the RL is a lot more likely to happen, but that doesn't mean the value is better. If you pass on every wager that looks too big you're costing yourself money. If the Twins can cover + money tomorrow it means they are in a better position to win the game which means they are in a better position to win the series. If you concede that the Twins RL is good value then you would very likely concede that the Series price is good value.

Rich Boy · 10-09-09, 01:00 AM

As of now Minny has a 26.4% chance of winning tomorrow, they have a 19.9% chance of winning by 2 or more runs.

Therefore given Minny wins, there is a 93.5% chance they win by 2 or more runs.

moses millsap · 10-09-09, 01:09 AM

the powers to be will not rest until the yankees represent the AL in the world series; yanks tt over is the best way to approach this game imo, blackburn pitches to contact and it's gonna get ugly

pimike · 10-09-09, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by moses millsap

the powers to be will not rest until the yankees represent the AL in the world series; yanks tt over is the best way to approach this game imo, blackburn pitches to contact and it's gonna get ugly

I agree if you play it play the over.

Wrigley · 10-09-09, 02:27 PM

like the twins today