I think im on to something...

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  • cakasmaloy
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-18-09
    • 265

    #1
    I think im on to something...
    I developed this "system" for picking college football winners and so far its extremely accurate...

    Basically, the theory works like so:

    -Look at only matchups where both teams are in small, non-bcs conferences
    -Neither team can be ranked
    -The game cannot be televised on national TV
    *If all these criteria are met, THEN:
    -Use SBRODDS.com to watch the PINNACLE line movement from the OPEN (on Sunday) until WED
    **IF the line shifts a FULL point in either direction from Sunday(open)-->Wednesday, then take the team in which the line moves with (i.e. TeamX opens as -4 favorites against TeamY... on Tuesday TeamX moves to -5, TAKE teamX) This works for favorites or underdogs...

    Over the last 2 weeks, this is how I have done: 9-3-1

    Week 5:
    E.Mich/Temple --> TEMPLE -6 W
    C.Mich/Buffalo --> Buffalo +8.5 W
    UL-Monroe/FlaInt --> UL-M -5 W
    Rice/Tulsa --> TULSA -15 W

    Toledo/Ballst --> BALLST +7(bought 1pt) PUSH
    ColSt/Idaho --> IDAHO +3 W

    Week 4:
    SanDiegoSt/AirForce --> SDST +17 W
    UNLV/Wyoming --> Wyo +4.5 W

    Akron/C.Mich --> AKR +14.5 L
    N.Ill/Idaho ---> N.Ill -17 L

    FlaAtl/UL-Monroe --> UL-Mon+3.5 W
    Troy/ArkSt --> ArkSt-3 L
    Toledo/FlaInt --> Tol -2 W

    I quickly reviewed the last couple weeks and may be missing a game here or there, but just figured i'd share these findings... i have been able to have some profitable weekends using this theory over the last 2 seasons. I will post the plays for this week if people have interest.
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