LSU +9 at HOME against FLORIDA!! ALSO LSU WILL PULL THE UPSET!!

[tbond10]

I didn't read the whole thread.... but is there any update on tebow's status? I don't know how you could bet this game without knowing this factor.

If he's playing, I'm large on Florida. If not, I stay away and STILL think FL covers... but those are my public/square thoughts on the game.

(disclaimer: don't know if I could stay away from the game, but definitely nothing more than something fun)

[ABEHONEST]

Hummm,where was FLORIDA when they played Tennessee ?
Didn't come close to covering "at" Tennessee,yet they are playing the # 4 at their den and Florida people still love them with or without Tebow ...hummmm ?

[ZBOIZ]

Saturday, October 10th, 8:00 p.m. (et)

The Sports Network
By Scott Haynes, College Football Senior Editor
GAME NOTES: The premiere matchup on the college football docket takes place in Baton Rouge this weekend, as top-ranked Florida and fourth-ranked LSU square off in a SEC cross-divisional clash of top-five foes.
The defending national champions are a perfect 4-0 on the season and have had an extra week to prepare for the Tigers thanks to last week's bye. Being idle was also fortuitous because of All-American Tim Tebow's status. The former Heisman Trophy winner suffered a concussion in Florida's big win at Kentucky on September 26th and has yet to be cleared to return to the field.
No one is being hounded more about Tebow's status than head coach Urban Meyer.
"I hide when I go out so it's cool. I've been asked a lot, especially by the people who matter to me, my family and the team. But he's around now, so the people that need to know know that he's doing good. But you're right, that's a big question nationally."
With the possible absence of Tebow this weekend, LSU has even more of an opportunity. Les Miles' team will take any edge it can get, although the team has played as well as any in the country, including a thrilling 20-13 win at nationally-ranked Georgia last weekend to move to 5-0 on the season, including 3-0 in the SEC. It was LSU's first win in Athens since 1987. LSU has won 32 consecutive night games in Tiger Stadium.
These two teams are meeting for the 56th time, with the Gators holding a modest 29-23-3 all-time lead. These two teams have combined to win the last three national titles.
The Gators are getting it done with a devastating ground game and of course Tebow making decisions under center. Florida is averaging a robust 7.0 yards per carry thus far, while putting out 307.5 yards rushing per outing. Jeff Demps (76.0 ypg, four TDs), Tebow (67.8 ypg, five TDs) and Chris Rainey (65.2 ypg) have been quite the trio on the ground.
If Tebow can't go, the Gators will go into battle with redshirt sophomore John Brantley. In limited action this year, Brantley has looked impressive, completing 73.3 percent of his passes (22-of-30), for 232 yards and four TDs. Meyer doesn't seem overly concerned if Brantley gets the start.
"I have a lot of confidence from what you see him do in practice. We would like to have him have more game reps at this point, but it's not like he's going in there by himself. He's got 10 other guys on offense to take care of him. The Pounceys, Riley Cooper and three backs will be there. He had a great week in practice. He gets the ball out real fast. Things will change a bit; its obvious. That doesn't mean we are going to abandon the running game which has been so good for us. He has strengths and he's very mature."
Both Riley Cooper (15 receptions, for 242 yards, two TDs) and Aaron Hernandez (15 receptions, 189 yards, two TDs) will provide options in the vertical game.
Nothing should change on the defensive side of things for Florida. The Gators have been flat out dominant on defense, holding foes to a mere 7.2 ppg (second nationally), shutting down both the run (92.8 ypg) and the pass (120.0 ypg), ranking first in the country in total defense at 212.8 ypg.
This is a unit chock-full of All-Americans. Ahmad Black (team-high 22 tackles, one INT) and Joe Haden (21 tackles, one INT) lead the way in the secondary. Brandon Spikes (21 tackles) and Ryan Stamper (21 tackles, one sack) pace the linebacking corps, while Carlos Dunlap (three TFLs, two sacks) commands the most attention along the defensive front.
The Tigers lack the star power Florida has, but the offense has been balanced in the first half of the season, gaining 135.4 yards per game on the ground and another 186.2 through the air.
Sophomore Jordan Jefferson has been decent under center, completing just over 65 percent of his passes, for 920 yards, with seven TDs and just two interceptions. What Jefferson does have, is a pair of standout pass catchers in Terrance Toliver (23 receptions, for 342 yards, two TDs) and Brandon LaFell (23 receptions, for 282 yards, five TDs).
The ground game does enough to keep defenses honest, but lacks that home run hitter that can take it to the end zone at any moment. Charles Scott however, has been effective, averaging 4.4 yards per carry.
While not the feared defensive unit that is become accustomed by the LSU faithful each year, the 2009 Tigers have made plays when needed. The Tigers are holding foes just under 15 points per game (14.8) and have done a nice job forcing turnovers with 11 on the year.
Senior Harry Coleman currently leads the team in tackles with 34 total stops. Junior Kelvin Sheppard (31 tackles) and senior Perry Riley (30 tackles, one INT, one fumble recovery) complete an active LB corps. Junior safety Chad Jones (23 tackles, two INTs) gets the job done in the secondary. Senior Rahim Alem has been the top defensive lineman in terms of getting upfield and making plays (team-high 4.5 TFLs, two sacks).
The Tigers aren't flashy, but have gotten the job done. Miles is certainly aware of the type of opponent his team will be facing this week.
"They are a tremendous team. They have a very talented offense, defense and special teams - all three phases. Coach (Urban) Meyer has done a great job. He prepares his team week-in and week-out to do all the things that gives them a chance to win. Certainly, we're saddened that (QB) Tim Tebow was injured. It's the worst thing about college football; you don't want injury. You don't want it for your opponent. You don't want it for yourself. I'm certain that they'll do the right things for him, and they'll have a great quarterback playing for Florida anyway."
With Tebow in the lineup, Florida is better on both sides of the football and would roll to victory. Without him, the Gators will probably still get the win thanks to the defense, but it will be a brawl for the full 60 minutes. Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Florida 27, LSU 23

[ZBOIZ]

Hummm,where was FLORIDA when they played Tennessee ?
Didn't come close to covering "at" Tennessee,yet they are playing the # 4 at their den and Florida people still love them with or without Tebow ...hummmm ?

Exactly and that was suppose to be a STATEMENT game for Florida after KIFFIN embarrased there program. Everyone knows if Meyer had the playmakers on offense they would have killed Tenny but they simply dont have the playmakers!

[stats13]

just jinxed it took LSU +7.5 good night

[Mac4Lyfe]

ZBoiz I agree with you that LSU is going to play this one close. Concussions are serious and it could affect players for a long time. They may not even play Tebow if he isn't feeling right. LSU had problems vs. Georgia and that concerns me because I do think Georgia is not that good at all this year. Even Floridas back up could possibly do well here also so I am probably going to take LSU in a teaser possibly and I just don't think that LSU can lose by more than 14 at home. They have too good of a home field to lose by that many.

I guess you don't know that UF plays LSU in Baton Rouge every other year and that UF has beaten LSU 10 out of the last 14 times in BR. Bama has lost to LSU only 4 times in the last 50 years in BR. Tell me again how good LSU's home field is?

UF should have beaten LSU in BR 2 years ago. It took 4 lucky ass fourth downs by Les the Riverboat degenirate to pull out the win over a UF team that was decimated by injuries and playing freshman at most positions. LSU almost lost to Troy at home last year as well. Most UF players have played at BR so this is not an unfamiliar place. UF aint scared of LSU nor death valley. Those of you shouting home field advantage need to look up stats once in a while. UF has owned LSU in their house.

[ImmaBammer12]

Z, I'm in now way saying Florida will win or lose this. I still say Tebow doesn't play and with the fact it's now been pushed to a game time decision just still says they're scared to take the chance. It's not Myer's decision no matter what, it's Tebow's doctors and how bad does he want to see his name and picture on the front page of every sports page if he ok's Tebow and he gets blindsided and hurt worse because they should have benched him rather than rush him back in.

So I say all this to ask this...even if Brantley has to play and will likely play a good portion of this game even if they Ok Tebow, can you name a recent BAD Florida QB that wouldn't be able to step in regardless of experience and perform to a level that would allow them to dominate a top ranked SEC team. They are a QB producing college it's just what they do.

Lastly, I ask this..who the PHUK has LSU played so far this season that makes you think they have a snowballs chance in hell to beat Florida. Please don't pin all your confidence on a pretty busted up, bad Georgia team which at this point is the best you've played.

I'll even tell you myself that truthfully Bama hasn't even played anyone of any caliber till this weekend and yep we could even get upset as well if Snead comes out and they play on all cylinders. It's sad that we are all having to find our true identities at week 6 rather than the usual week 3 like we all have in past seasons.

[stats13]

bama hasnt played anyone? vt

[mp5070]

Good Luck with your play...will make my decision on Saturday...

[tblues2005]

I sure like LSU in a teaser tomorrow with 14 1/2 points with a 7 point teaser. That does sound like that would be way too many points.

[mp5070]

At Phoenix, they took the game OFF. Any other books that did that?

[Mac4Lyfe]

I sure like LSU in a teaser tomorrow with 14 1/2 points with a 7 point teaser. That does sound like that would be way too many points.

LSU will lose by 20+ Bet accordingly

[ImmaBammer12]

bama hasnt played anyone? vt

Yeah, I agree they are the best team we've played..so far.. but they were also very busted up with injuries even with that first game. They may be #5 but you gotta admit there's A LOT of float factor in that as well where teams above them have just lost and they've moved up due to it.

As I said, we'll all know where we stand (in the SEC I mean) Sunday and I'm sure the top 5 will look quite a bit different by Sunday night. Best of luck to everyone

[BigdaddyQH]

There has been so much garbage said about this game, it is amazing how Joe Pub has followed it along. What we did was wait for the suckers to bite, and then middled the game. We got LSU at a whopping -11.5. Then, when the Tebow B.S. hit the presses and air waves, the line plummeted, so we took Florida -6.5. We have middled 7, 10, and 11. I have never seen so many people get suckered into play, on both sides, by a little news. The line is now currently -7to -7.5 in Vegas.

[wal66]

QH..you absolutely got great value for a middle. Unfortunately Florida by 13 in this game. Nothing's for certain but fairly confident.

[BigdaddyQH]

You know, no one is going to make a lot of money middling. Our goal is to make enough money to pay for the vig, which levels the playing field. We have hit one out of 7 so far, which puts us ahead. Sometimes we will middle a spread to a ML. The futures had Oregon +1 at UCLA. Oregon opened up at -6. UCLA was +185 on the ML at that time, so we middled the ML to our futures wager. Will we win a lot? No way. We will win between .25 and .35 of a unit, and our units are huge. We play the same amount on every game. There are several people in the group, so the money add up in a hurry. We just figure that we got between 2 and 3 plays minus the vig for that. In a game where every percentage point adds up at the end of the year, it helps.

[G's pks]

LSU has looked horrible in the highlights I have seen... Florida in a blowout!

[Cougar Bait]

Sorry Z...

[G's pks]

[Iwinyourmoney]

Betting fav teams will bury u

[wal66]

Blanket betting favs will certainly kill you. Calculated fav betting though is just as skillful and profitable as dogs.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I guess you don't know that UF plays LSU in Baton Rouge every other year and that UF has beaten LSU 10 out of the last 14 times in BR. Bama has lost to LSU only 4 times in the last 50 years in BR. Tell me again how good LSU's home field is?

UF should have beaten LSU in BR 2 years ago. It took 4 lucky ass fourth downs by Les the Riverboat degenirate to pull out the win over a UF team that was decimated by injuries and playing freshman at most positions. LSU almost lost to Troy at home last year as well. Most UF players have played at BR so this is not an unfamiliar place. UF aint scared of LSU nor death valley. Those of you shouting home field advantage need to look up stats once in a while. UF has owned LSU in their house.

Florida has now beaten LSU 11 out of the last 15 times in "Death Valley"... The big question really should be - who's advantage is Baton Rouge? Gators love playing in that stadium

[stats13]

are as many people in there now saying "nice call jackass" as there were who were giving zboiz fellatio after he called a 3 point "underdog" at home in the olemiss-socar game?

zboiz is the biggest attention whoring fraud on this site

[Intuitive_Edge]

are as many people in there now saying "nice call jackass" as there were who were giving zboiz fellatio after he called a 3 point "underdog" at home in the olemiss-socar game? zboiz is the biggest attention whoring fraud on this site

[20Four7]

This all I will say:

You people will be sadly mistaken. This will be a VERY close game !


But go back to PRAISING Florida!

Boizzzzzz I sure hope you got 10 or better because your 9 and 9.5 was NFG.

[jjgold]

ZBOIZ you need to stop gambling right now

[seaborneq]

LSU was the correct call, even though it lost. That's what the sharps always say. I took Florida -7.5, so I feel good being square.

[MartinBlank]

LSU was the correct call, even though it lost. That's what the sharps always say. I took Florida -7.5, so I feel good being square.

I love that line, and it is a good point.

I love it when a "sharp" loses, and says "it was still the right call". Yeah, well---if it loses----then it wasn't the right call.

Simple as that.

[A Mayland]

How can you say LSU was the right call even though it didn't hit? LSU was owned the entire game. They had 10 first downs before that last drive compared to Florida's 22. Florida should have blown them out. Two missed opportunities in the red zone and a missed 4th down allowed LSU to even remotely stay in this game. Also How can you say a team that scored 3 points was the correct bet?

[stats13]

they didn't a mayland

ZBOIZ = GIANT DOUCHE

[Dbldown11]

they didn't a mayland

ZBOIZ = GIANT DOUCHE

I told you not to follow his play on this....you have no one to blame but YOURSELF. Don't get on Z because his pick lost. Get on yourself for following the pick of a fool

[BigdaddyQH]

This is true. If you follow someone and lose, you have no one to blame but yourself. REmember, most LSU fans are blowhards anyways. You will not see him around for a while now. LSU was way over-rated going in, and certainly proved it last night. They are a 4th or 5th place Big 12 or Pac 10 team. Their game against Ole Miss will be for the "Most Over-rated Team of the Year" award. The loser will have earned that title.

[JamesGenius]

i am the man, i said the line would close somewhere around 12 even when florida was -7. The line closed at 11 (thegreek) and i took the 11 and won and i had the U46 which was a lock before the game started

[BigdaddyQH]

And you posted this when you made the wager, right?

[Mac4Lyfe]

And you posted this when you made the wager, right?

Don't you just love when brilliance comes to a post AFTER the games are played