TPowell's Season Long NFL/NCAAF Thread

[TPowell]

****ing square as a box, 1-3 today, luckily my biggest play hit

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 9-3-1 (Up 15.85 units)
NFL: 1-3 (Down 2.38 units)
Total: 10-6-1 (Up 13.47 units)


PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

[TPowell]

Early Leans for NCAA

Texas (-3)
Iowa (-1)
Mississippi State (-3.5)
South Carolina (+17)
Virginia Tech (-3)
Washington (+4)
UConn (-12.5)

[TPowell]

2* Mississippi State -4.5 (-105)
3* Virginia Tech -3 (-101)

[Shortstop]

Good Luck T!

[TPowell]

thanks shorty, adding this quick play

1* South Florida ML (+115) at Matchy

[firedawg]

i agree

[TPowell]

Alright see a lot of NFL games I like

3* Arizona +3 (-110) at Matchy
2* Carolina -3 (-112) at BP
2* Minnesota -2.5 (-112) at BP
2* Atlanta -3.5 (+105) at Matchy
1* Kansas City +7 (-130) at 5D
1* Kansas City ML (+232) at Matchy

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 9-4-1 (+14.85 units)
NFL: 1-3 (-2.38 units)
Total: 10-7-1 (+12.47 units)


PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

2* Mississippi State -4.5 (-105) at BP
3* Virginia Tech -3 (-101) at Matchy
3* Arizona +3 (-110) at Matchy
2* Carolina -3 (-112) at BP
2* Minnesota -2.5 (-112) at BP
2* Atlanta -3.5 (+105) at Matchy
1* Kansas City +7 (-130) at 5D
1* Kansas City ML (+232) at Matchy

[TPowell]

1* Pittsburgh ML (-216) at Matchy

[TPowell]

3* Iowa +3 (-122) at BP
2* Texas -3 (-102) at BP
2* Washington +7 (-115) at BP
1* Minnesota +17.5 (+100) at Matchy
1* South Carolina +17.5 (-106) at BP

[TPowell]

alright mods, anyway we can add NHL to the thread name?

All TOTALS are 0.5 unit plays and all SIDES are 1 unit plays

Atlanta/New Jersey OVER 6 (+105)
Philly (-148)
New York Islanders/Buffalo UNDER 5.5 (-115)
Boston/Dallas OVER 5.5 (-117)
Edmonton (-135)
Calgary (-140)

[TPowell]

2* Arkansas +24.5 (-105) at BP
1* SMU +7 (+100) at BP

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 10-4-1 (+15.85 units)
NFL: 1-3 (-2.38 units)
NHL: 2-3-1 (-0.64 units)

PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

2* Mississippi State -4.5 (-105) at BP
3* Virginia Tech -3 (-101) at Matchy
3* Iowa +3 (-122) at BP
2* Texas -3 (-102) at BP
2* Washington +7 (-115) at BP
1* Minnesota +17.5 (+100) at Matchy
1* South Carolina +17.5 (-106) at BP
2* Arkansas +24.5 (-105) at BP
1* SMU +7 (+100) at BP
3* Arizona +3 (-110) at Matchy
2* Carolina -3 (-112) at BP
2* Minnesota -2.5 (-112) at BP
2* Atlanta -3.5 (+105) at Matchy
1* Kansas City +7 (-130) at 5D
1* Kansas City ML (+232) at Matchy

[ZetaPsi808]

T, if i can get iowa at +125 ML, would that be better EV than paying -122 for +3 points?

are those 3 points really worth about 47 cents in juice across the even money line?

[TPowell]

Quick check and I'm up just below 3 units so far. SMU is up 14 at around halftime, SC is down 6 at half, and Wazzu starts in less than an hour. Worst case scenario, I'm down close to 2 units. Best case, I'm up right arond 7 units!

[TPowell]

Zeta, obviously not pal. I knew it would low scoring (should have took under really) so I wanted the 3 just in case

[TPowell]

alright up 4.97 units on the day with Washington +7 for 2 units as my last play left. Game was 14-7 Arizona State at half

[TPowell]

5-2-1 record on the day, pretty happy with that. Big miss on the VA Tech game though

[ZetaPsi808]

Zeta, obviously not pal. I knew it would low scoring (should have took under really) so I wanted the 3 just in case

T, i'm not sure what you mean.

obviously it is hindsight, but for games of that sort (conference Rivalry, low scoring), is it better to take +3 -122 or dog ML approx +120? i always have a tough time choosing.

we also saw the same scenario play out in oklahoma/texas. those 3 points were huge.

[TPowell]

I always like playing it safe and taking the points

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 15-6-3 (+20.82 units)
NFL: 1-3 (-2.38 units)
NHL: 2-3-1 (-0.64 units)

PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

3* Arizona +3 (-110) at Matchy
2* Carolina -3 (-112) at BP
2* Minnesota -2.5 (-112) at BP
2* Atlanta -3.5 (+105) at Matchy
1* Kansas City +7 (-130) at 5D
1* Kansas City ML (+232) at Matchy

[TPowell]

up around 3.25 units as of now with Arizona +3 still going (24-3)

[TPowell]

up a little over 6 units right now. Would love to hit Atlanta -3.5 for a 5-1 day

[TPowell]

Cant believe nobody is in here congradulating me or coming forward with how they tailed me....

[TPowell]

5-1 +8.08 units on the day!

[TheSkeptic]

keep up the good work! Quietly posting a very good NFL season myself and get no love also! lol. What's better, the worship or the $$$ in the bank?

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 15-6-3 (+20.82 units)
NFL: 6-4 (+5.70 units)
NHL: 2-3-1 (-0.64 units)

PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

[TPowell]

cant figure out why nobody is posting in here, def. the feeling of superiority though. Can't beat that Monday morning after killing the books on Saturday AND Sunday!

[ZetaPsi808]

good job on the season so far T. do you use any sites with statistics to help pick winners?

[TPowell]

very rarely use actual stats to MAKE plays but I use them to judge whether to follow my initial leans. I use covers for the most part. Also collegeinjuryreport.com is great to find injuries

[TPowell]

NCAA Football: 15-6-3 (+20.82 units)
NFL: 6-4 (+5.70 units)
NHL: 2-3-1 (-0.64 units)

PENDING PLAYS (NFL in Red)

New York Rangers (+102)

[solobass]

nice weekend brother keep it up! sbr is just like the sportsbooks in vegas, the people making the most noise and losing the most money get the most attention.

[daggerkobe]

[G's pks]

Powell all these people that were following pags..heard he left...I never had a problem with the guy. They should be following you!

Good work...keep it up! Help the lost lambs win a little...
click this thread

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/250892-lot-people-ask-who-best-cappers-site-here-two.html

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.if it does not work check players forum best cappers..
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