betting football will fukk you in the end

paco · 09-20-09, 04:11 PM

i am striving to be in that 5% category

DrStale · 09-20-09, 04:14 PM

Somebody makes this post about every sport, every year. 95% of people are going to lose on everything, not just football.

hoopster42 · 09-20-09, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by DrStale

Somebody makes this post about every sport, every year. 95% of people are going to lose on everything, not just football.

i know, Dr, but football and basketball used to be my bread and butter, used to be much easier to find weak lines and whack them, now i can find those in basketball but the college foots and pro foots lines have become tighter than virgin pussy

hoopster42 · 09-20-09, 04:32 PM

just look at the big money line moves in college foots the past 3 saturdays, they got killed, like 80% of the big line moves

james4512 · 09-20-09, 04:36 PM

apprently im in the 5% ive had 3 straight winning NFL seasons

buztah · 09-20-09, 04:36 PM

Hoopster, you can't phucken win.com unless you have a WINNING MINDSET! Plus money is the rule, baby! PLUS PHUCKEN MONEY or no play, baby! Only way to win long term, son.

hoopster42 · 09-20-09, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by james4512

apprently im in the 5% ive had 3 straight winning NFL seasons

95% chances (19 to 1) are that at the end of each calendar year you are down because even if you win at the pro foots gm you likely lose more on other sports than you win in pro foots

hoopster42 · 09-21-09, 03:05 AM

you cant beat it long term, maybe 1 season you win, then youll lose the next 3, doesnt matter how much you do research and study the shit, too many things you cannot predict like coaching, refs mistakes, int's, fumbles, it is too much to overcome and the juice will kill you. but, most will continue betting and lose all their hard-earned or borrowed cash and get barreled in, its a fukken cycle

Regul8er · 09-21-09, 08:01 AM

I'm thinking about capping games, and picking the other side. I figure this way I may hit around 60%

hoopster42 · 09-21-09, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by Regul8er

I'm thinking about capping games, and picking the other side. I figure this way I may hit around 60%

great idea man, seriously. yrs ago there this guy scott wetzel (i think) on sportingnews radio and the guy would explain all the reasons why he liked a particular side in college or pro football, then at the end he would pick the opposite side, the whole point of this weekly piece on his show was that you cannot beat the sportsbooks because even when something looks too obvious or too easy in football, when everything points to one team, then the other team will rise up and cover

durito · 09-21-09, 03:30 PM

The lines are certainly sharper, but there lots of ways to make money.

Hit openers, find off market #'s, props, teasers, derivatives. There are so many betting options every week in football I love it.

hoopster42 · 09-21-09, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by durito

The lines are certainly sharper, but there lots of ways to make money.

Hit openers, find off market #'s, props, teasers, derivatives. There are so many betting options every week in football I love it.

unless you have a big bankroll, like maybe a million or more, it is not worth it to spend so much time on it. stock market and real estate completely blow away sports betting

durito · 09-21-09, 04:06 PM

I would say the opposite. At smaller bankrolls the returns from sports betting blow away what you can make in the market or real estate. But, the bigger your roll the lesser opportunities, whereas in stocks and real estate your probably need billions before having that issue.

illmatick · 09-21-09, 04:13 PM

good point durito, one must find a way to incorporate a few props into their betting strategy every week, easily the softest numbers to bet against, today I found one I really like, Chad pennington under 210.5 passing yards!

hoopster42 · 09-21-09, 06:03 PM

gamblers can pop all of the exotic props they can bet by january's end 95% will find themselves broke or down from their initial balance at the start of football season. books love football season cause they make a killing

Mudcat · 09-21-09, 06:57 PM

Football is the easiest sport to win. All the squares come out for football and it is reflected in the lines. I just wish there was more games. We need a 162 game schedule like baseball.

20Four7 · 09-21-09, 07:04 PM

LOL mudcat. a lot of squares do come out for football that's why things like reverse line movement, which way a line is moving is important. Finding the best number after these happen are also important.