Considering scalping UFC 103 picks, help?

[chubber911]

Hey guys, I got my bets down on UFC 103. Since placing them the lines have dramatically changed, and now I am able to make an arbitrage(?) if I want to.

I took Junior Dos Santos at -127, now his opponent Mirko Filipovic is at +137.

I took Cole Miller at +144, now his opponent Efrain Escudero is at -133.

Is it worth making an equal sized bet on the other sides to guarantee a profit? If the Santos bet was made to win 1 unit, how many units should I bet on Cro Cop to guarantee an equal profit regardless of the winner? Same question, with Miller, but the bet was 1 unit to win 1.44 units.

Thanks!

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

so u have 2 bets 1.27 to win 1. and 1 to win 1.33

so if you'd like to hedge you will do this

on your first match

bet 0.95/1.30 on Mirko Flipovic +137. your other bet is 1.27 to win 1. in any case you win money

on your second match

you have a 1.0/1.44 so take efrain escudero 1.40/1.07

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

is it worth it? with such a small hedge in this situation if you bet anything under the thousand range your not making much out of the hedge. I usually hedge in 10-15 cent lines( the movement) which im getting about 5 cents on each side. with 1k wagers your profiting about 50-55 bucks off the hedge. In your case id ride it out because you would benefit much. If youd liek to pm me the actual bet sizes i can plug in the numbers and tell you what kind of hedge amount youd be looking at.

[illmatick]

not worth it unless you have a large amount on these guys, hard to get big money down on mma wagers with the bullshit limits set by most online books, 500 is the most I can get down, if anyone knows where I can put down more please do tell,Ufc by far would be the easiest sport to scalp for me

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

sent u a PM GL with your future endeavors

[chubber911]

Thanks for your help.

[Bread]

I think Dos Santos is an easy winner tonight so I'd just pocket that one. The other one who knows.

Just my opinion. GL.

[chubber911]

I bought 5 more units of Santos at -138 this afternoon and already the line has moved so much that I'm able to pick up Cro Cop at +146.

I'm going to check these lines again at 9:45, if Cro Cop is selling for more than +150 I'm probably going to hedge 3 of the 6 total units I bet on Santos, so I'm getting a very good price on his play.

[j0hnnyv]

junior dos santos is one tough son of a bitch!! but it is crocop....vintage crocop will win but watch out for the uppercut!! i'd take junior.