Philosophy Frog giving Tennessee +30 a look

[VegasDave]

I keep telling him that Florida will blow them out, but 30 IS an awful lot of points.

Who am I to go against the frog?

[pat venditto]

50% chance it covers. 50% chance it doesn't.

Your choice.

[bypp]

Florida just seems to be a team that consistently covers the spread. I'm told it's for alum and boosters but I don't actually know. 30 pts against tenn scares me a little bit but I def don't think I would bet against Florida

[VegasDave]

Florida just seems to be a team that consistently covers the spread. I'm told it's for alum and boosters but I don't actually know. 30 pts against tenn scares me a little bit but I def don't think I would bet against Florida

What it really comes down to is you know when you are betting Tennesee here you are getting more points then what the "true" line should be.

- Bettors will overreact Kiffin comments
- Bettors will overreact to Tennessee's loss over what is a respectable UCLA team
- Bettors will bet Florida at virtually any price, allowing the book to tack on an extra few points

This isn't to say that Florida won't cover; they may very well. But bookmakers had to know that no matter what they set the line at, Florida was going to get pounded... so even if the "true" line should be around say 23, they knew they'd get action at 29.

[pat venditto]

Nicky.

[onthewhat]

Pros will hammer an off number

Public does not set the lines, lol

[ZBOIZ]

I'm already on Tennessee

[CarpeDime]

Well if Florida's lines are inflated, they haven't been inflated enough recently. Florida is

1-0 ATS this year
10-2 ATS last year

have covered 10 spreads in a row dating back to last year

were even 8-4 ATS 2 years ago


Scary team to go against IMO, at this point in time

GL to anyone who bets this game

[DacBietViet]

BET FL ML

[CarpeDime]

BET FL ML

wow! Tennessee ML is a lock. Philosophy frog was right! Amazing.

[james4512]

if i had to bet id take tennessee. Florida only won by 24 last year and tennessee is 10x better than last year, but as i said there at least 5 games that are better than this so i will pass

[VegasDave]

I'm still thinking about it... board looks pretty dry this week.

[onthewhat]

I have UT +29.5 in beat the prick

too many points I think for an athletic team like that

crompton is awful though

[SexyMit]

I have a very good philosophy play for you Davey boy!

[diogee]

My hands are tied at +31...don't care much for having money on Crapton but 4tds and a fg is too much for me not to take.

[pat venditto]

s;jklnse i'll booke your actione god bless dioege..

[BadNina]

Dave, TN doesn't have the players yet to hang with Florida. Give them a couple of years I think Kiffin will bring them back to a respectable level. Kiffin accused Meyer's of cheating. Never in his history has Urban ever had a hint of scandal. So no matter how much he claims otherwise, this game is personal. I think Compton turns the ball over a couple of times and Florida takes them to the woodshed. I also think that in a couple of years, TN might use this game for payback. But in the here and now, Florida is a well oiled machine with a venegence. I think its gonna get ugly on Rocky Top. And since we Alabama fans hate TN more than any other school I will enjoy it. Shoot, I might even cheer for Auburn when they play them in a few weeks.

[Immortality]

Dave

Do you wish you would of captured Philosophy Frog and kept him as a pet?

[20Four7]

I say fvck the frog.... he's a slimy creature who doesn't know shit...... go with your heart Dave.

[flyingillini]

Never go against Mr. Toad~

[VegasDave]

Dave

Do you wish you would of captured Philosophy Frog and kept him as a pet?

Eh, yes and no. Frogs are difficult to keep as pets and if I fvcked up and accidentally killed Philosophy Frog by fvcking up his habitat or something I'd never forgive myself.

Furthermore, as someone who moved 1500 miles away from all of my friends and family, I know how lonely it can be to be uprooted. But at least it was my choice. Philosophy Frog deserves to be with his frog friends.

Lastly, who will guard the frog village if I take Philosophy Frog?

I'd take good care of him and would have loved to have him as a pet, but it would have been an insanely selfish of me.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

<--------dave what you think of my new special friend. my saying with him is

"as you can see he simply dosent give a fvck because the money's already in the bag"

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

we started off 3-0 +5 units today with the hog

[Blargh]

It makes a difference, Tennessee +30 is the free pick for Saturday from 888 Sports Picks who claim to have 79% free pick winners so says my Spam box.

[Intuitive_Edge]

I dont see a 1H play up at my book yet, but if i see Tenn at +14/+17 range i might pull it.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Shop around and try to cross the 31 if you play it, Dave.

[VegasDave]

Can't do it... can't place money on Lane Kiffin. http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...ob-planet.html

Good luck to those that do!

[VegasDave]

Should have trusted the frog!

[onthewhat]

Idiot

I called this