Did "beating" the closing line help anyone today yet?
We always hear all this talk about how betting a better number than what the line closes at is this enormous edge in the long run. Did that help anyone today? I've got 7.5 instead of 7 on the Rams and it sure as hell won't help!
pat venditto
SBR Posting Legend
05-07-07
14347
#2
Reload beating the closing line means you've done your job. It doesn't mean you will profit over the course of a day,week or even a month. It's a grind but if you beat the closing number you will win long term. (If you don't go all in every other play. Bet sizing is very important.)
Comment
durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#3
lol
Comment
pat venditto
SBR Posting Legend
05-07-07
14347
#4
Durito are you lol'ing at me? Am I wrong?
Comment
20Four7
SBR Hall of Famer
04-08-07
6703
#5
Patty summed it up very well. I had denver +218.... I think the line finish around +190...
I bet the closer in half my games. and so far I've won exactly half my games. Up money due to the money lines I play which are usually dogs but do have Arizona going at -245..... it finished at -230.....
Comment
Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#6
Beating the ML means you'll lose less.
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#7
yep washington beating the closing number about to come in it looks like
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82906
#8
Beating the closing number is irrelevant of the outcome of the game.
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#9
unreal giants can just take a knee
Comment
Matt Rain
SBR Hall of Famer
02-13-07
5001
#10
Patty, I assume that durito is lol'ing at the OP.
durito, please quote-lol in the future, thanks.
Comment
Matt Rain
SBR Hall of Famer
02-13-07
5001
#11
Originally posted by pavyracer
Beating the closing number is irrelevant of the outcome of the game.
And since the outcome of the game can't be predicted with any kind of accuracy, the best you can do is get your money in with the best of it. By beating the closing line.
Comment
ZXCVBNM
SBR MVP
09-17-08
1027
#12
Very interesting this thread was made because the Giants have beat the Redskins by 6.. some people got the line at 5.5, some at 6, some at 6.5
Comment
onthewhat
Restricted User
05-14-08
15411
#13
Giants closed anywhere from 5.5 to 6.5
If you got a good number on either side you won the game
Line shopping is important, and so is beating the closing number
Comment
durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#14
-5.5 -110 was not a +ev based on the closing line at pinnacle. (neither would -5, or -4.5 or -4)
The score doesn't matter. Not all points are created equal.
Comment
R3Sports
SBR MVP
03-21-07
3167
#15
Skins closed at +6 for me, had that (6 1/2) this morning tho!
It's alright....
Comment
pat venditto
SBR Posting Legend
05-07-07
14347
#16
Durito I had redskins +6.5 +180 in the 1st quarter. God bless.
Comment
Karayilan9
Restricted User
01-10-09
3742
#17
Originally posted by Matt Rain
And since the outcome of the game can't be predicted with any kind of accuracy,
Why you think that?
Comment
Matt Rain
SBR Hall of Famer
02-13-07
5001
#18
Originally posted by Karayilan9
Why you think that?
Cause I'm not a billionaire and neither are you.
Comment
InTheHole
SBR Posting Legend
04-28-08
15243
#19
Yes...all the time.....sitting on Green Bay @ -3.5
Difference between a winner and a loser more often than not.
Attached Files
Comment
InTheHole
SBR Posting Legend
04-28-08
15243
#20
Originally posted by pat venditto
Durito are you lol'ing at me? Am I wrong?
This is Durito's MO
Comment
Justin7
SBR Hall of Famer
07-31-06
8577
#21
Originally posted by ZXCVBNM
Very interesting this thread was made because the Giants have beat the Redskins by 6.. some people got the line at 5.5, some at 6, some at 6.5
And some got Skins at 7.5 -112.
Comment
Nicky Santoro
SBR Posting Legend
04-08-08
16103
#22
beating the closing # is the ONLY way to have any chance at making money in this business. i don't care how much you know.
IF you are not beating that closing line on a consistent basis, you might as well quit while you're ahead cause you have ZERO chance at coming up ahead at the end.
save your money now while you still have some..
Comment
Kaps
SBR MVP
09-09-06
3272
#23
if you didnt have enough outs to find nyg-5.5 or wash +6.5
you should consider giving up
save your money
Comment
Rich Boy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-09
9714
#24
Beating the closing number isnt enough, you need to beat the closing NO JUICE number.