(NFL) Week 11 plays

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37042

    #1
    (NFL) Week 11 plays
    Will post some notes later today.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37042

    #2
    1* San Fran 49ers +6 1.91: 1 to win .91
    ...Just like the 6. Can't imagine that the Purdy displacement is worth that much.
    ...McCaffrey back for the Niners. He seems to produce every week.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ThaWoj
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-09-10
      • 6752

      #3
      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
      1* San Fran 49ers +6 1.91: 1 to win .91
      ...Just like the 6. Can't imagine that the Purdy displacement is worth that much.
      ...McCaffrey back for the Niners. He seems to produce every week.
      Interesting observation that I saw last night...cmc is only -140 to score a td. Jordan Mason was -200 or so every week while cmc was out. Cmc was probably -200 or greater every week last year, at least the 2nd half of the season. With Purdy out you would think sf would be even more likely to use the running game. Yes GB has a decent defense but they are not world beaters. -140 is begging you to lay the wood or use in a parlay. Just doesnt make sense to me.
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37042

        #4
        Originally posted by ThaWoj
        Interesting observation that I saw last night...cmc is only -140 to score a td. Jordan Mason was -200 or so every week while cmc was out. Cmc was probably -200 or greater every week last year, at least the 2nd half of the season. With Purdy out you would think sf would be even more likely to use the running game. Yes GB has a decent defense but they are not world beaters. -140 is begging you to lay the wood or use in a parlay. Just doesnt make sense to me.
        Hi, Woj, thx for the note. I admit to being way out of the Player Prop pool.

        My angle on this play is just that all the injury adjustments seem to be too much:
        1) People talked about CMC not mattering. I disagree, he's one of the most well-conditioned RB in the league.
        2) If Purdy played on a low-end team like New Eng, his stats would likely be awful. Niners have a talented roster, so his arm-strength isn't exposed.
        3) Mentioned that I thought the Packers looked best this year when Lafleur changed the offense for Willis. I always feel like bettors are paying a premium to back the Packers WITH Love.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37042

          #5
          Also, +6 means the Packers have to win by 7+ to beat us. I'm willing to take that chance.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • str
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-12-09
            • 11641

            #6
            Love has thrown a pick in every game he has played this year.

            That catches up after a while.

            GL today Chucky.
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37042

              #7
              Originally posted by str
              Love has thrown a pick in every game he has played this year.

              That catches up after a while.

              GL today Chucky.
              Thx, str. GL to you (too).

              NFL has scrambled my brain this year. But I'm optimistic on this Niners play.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • str
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-12-09
                • 11641

                #8
                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                Thx, str. GL to you (too).

                NFL has scrambled my brain this year. But I'm optimistic on this Niners play.
                Lolol. You and me both.
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37042

                  #9
                  1* LAS VEGAS Raiders +6 1.83: 1 to win .83
                  ...Just think the # has moved too far.
                  ...Do the Broncos merit laying this #?
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • ThaWoj
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-09-10
                    • 6752

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                    1* LAS VEGAS Raiders +6 1.83: 1 to win .83
                    ...Just think the # has moved too far.
                    ...Do the Broncos merit laying this #?
                    I like this play also but the raiders play their super bowl vs kc on a short week on friday...
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 37042

                      #11
                      (Week) -2.00/2. Very tough nut to crack.
                      (Coll) -1.51

                      Ending 143.97
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
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