What do you think the winning % is for BTP's best bet?

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  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #1
    What do you think the winning % is for BTP's best bet?
    Anyone follow any of the BTP best bet stats? Anyone bet them or fade them?
  • onthewhat
    Restricted User
    • 05-14-08
    • 15411

    #2
    50%
    Comment
    • konck
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-17-06
      • 12554

      #3
      35% BTP BB's are a great fade
      Comment
      • Mudcat
        Restricted User
        • 07-21-05
        • 9287

        #4
        I know this isn't exactly answering the question but here is something I posted last year somewhere around the midway point relating to the group results.


        Originally posted by Mudcat
        I was getting a vibe that the overall results were freakishly good, so I just did a check and here is my conclusion:

        The overall results are freakishly good.

        In something like this, I always expect the group to basically have coin-flip results but that is not the case this year so far. The competition has been impressively strong.

        According to my calculations:

        Overall record of everyone:

        2080 - 1920

        So that is +160 games over .500. And using the weighted scoring where the Best Bet counts double, the group as a whole is:

        +231




        Obviously that is not an in-depth analysis. Juice is not factored in. But still, what's up with that? That's pretty fekkin good.



        That whole discussion if anyone is interested
        Comment
        • SBR_John
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-12-05
          • 16471

          #5
          Wow! You calculated all those best bets???

          An oddity of sorts is a lot of guys were on the same game but different sides. I'd like to track the win% of BB's of everyone who has a winning record. I need someone to write me a script.
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #6
            I think I was 11 or 12 of 14 BB! I might be wrong but it was a high number. Alot of the guys BB on the BTP that were at the top had a strong BB total!
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • 20Four7
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-08-07
              • 6703

              #7
              I kept track one year and believe he hit 40% or maybe a bit more.

              OHHHHHHHH I thought you meant the pricks best bets......
              Comment
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