My picks for NCAAF, NFL, and NCAAB for the next 150 days...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1410

    #36
    Final Picks

    NCAAF 2024Week6 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
    7:00 PM Texas State 40 Troy 10 50 14.5 57
    9:00 PM Sam Houston State 34 UTEP 14 48 10 50
    7:00 PM Jacksonville State 29 Kennesaw State 14 43 14 49
    7:30 PM Houston 5 TCU 34 39 -16.5 50 Under 5*
    9:00 PM Michigan State 5 Oregon 35 40 -23.5 52.5 Under 5*
    9:00 PM Syracuse 28 UNLV 34 62 -4.5 58.5
    12:00 PM Pittsburgh 37 North Carolina 32 69 2.5 64.5
    12:00 PM SMU 22 Louisville 29 51 -6.5 57
    12:00 PM Wake Forest 36 North Carolina Sta 28 64 -5.5 55
    12:00 PM Boston College 19 Virginia 27 46 -3.5 50
    12:00 PM Massachusetts 10 Northern Illinois 35 45 -17.5 44.5
    12:00 PM Navy 34 Air Force 23 57 8.5 36
    12:00 PM Army 36 Tulsa 19 55 10 51
    12:00 PM Missouri 35 Texas A&M 16 51 -1.5 50
    12:00 PM UCLA 0 Penn State 42 42 -27.5 44.5
    12:00 PM Purdue 10 Wisconsin 30 40 -12.5 47 Home Minus 3*
    1:00 PM Tulane 31 UAB 18 49 14 55.5
    2:00 PM Western Michigan 29 Ball State 27 56 7.5 56.5
    3:30 PM East Carolina 38 Charlotte 13 51 7.5 46.5
    3:30 PM Auburn 11 Georgia 29 40 -23.5 52 Under 5*
    3:30 PM Mississippi 36 South Carolina 14 50 9.5 51.5 Away Minus 5*
    3:30 PM Miami (Ohio) 10 Toledo 26 36 -6.5 43.5
    3:30 PM Appalachian State 30 Marshall 32 62 -2 57.5
    3:30 PM Bowling Green 37 Akron 12 49 14 51
    3:30 PM Indiana 32 Northwestern 3 35 13.5 42
    3:30 PM Virginia Tech 28 Stanford 24 52 6.5 54
    3:30 PM Temple 10 Connecticut 42 52 -14 51
    3:30 PM Iowa 12 Ohio State 34 46 -20 44.5
    4:00 PM West Virginia 30 Oklahoma State 37 67 -4 65
    4:00 PM Rutgers 18 Nebraska 23 41 -7 43
    4:15 PM Alabama 35 Vanderbilt 7 42 23.5 54.5
    6:30 PM Colorado State 12 Oregon State 36 48 -13.5 47.5
    7:00 PM Clemson 36 Florida State 12 48 15 47
    7:00 PM Old Dominion 18 Coastal Carolina 32 50 -5 55
    7:00 PM Utah State 19 Boise State 48 67 -26.5 65.5
    7:00 PM James Madison 30 Louisiana-Monroe 3 33 14.5 48.5 Under 3*
    7:00 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 38 Southern Mississip 6 44 14.5 57
    7:00 PM South Alabama 39 Arkansas State 29 68 3.5 62.5
    7:30 PM Nevada 18 San Jose State 31 49 -7 48.5
    7:30 PM Tennessee 41 Arkansas 24 65 13.5 59.5
    7:30 PM Baylor 13 Iowa State 21 34 -12.5 46.5 Under 3*
    7:30 PM USC 31 Minnesota 10 41 8.5 52
    7:30 PM Michigan 6 Washington 24 30 -3 40.5 Under 5*
    7:45 PM UCF 39 Florida 20 59 -1.5 60.5
    8:00 PM Duke 20 Georgia Tech 21 41 -8 54.5 Under 5*
    8:00 PM Kansas 19 Arizona State 29 48 -3 50
    8:00 PM Hawai'i 22 San Diego State 12 34 -2.5 47
    10:30 PM Miami (Florida) 34 California 13 47 12.5 55
    11:00 PM Texas Tech 37 Arizona 32 69 -5.5 62.5

    Final Picks.

    Dave
    Mack the Teach
    Comment
    • usma1992
      SBR MVP
      • 08-02-11
      • 1410

      #37
      NFL Picks Week 5

      NFL 2024Week5 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
      Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
      8:15 PM TAMPABAY 20 ATLANTA 15 35 -1.5 43.5
      9:30 AM NYJETS 18 MINNESOTA 18 36 -2.5 40.5
      1:00 PM CAROLINA 17 CHICAGO 25 42 -3.5 42 Home Minus 5*
      1:00 PM BALTIMORE 23 CINCINNATI 20 43 2.5 51
      1:00 PM BUFFALO 21 HOUSTON 25 46 -1 47.5 Home Minus 5*
      1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS 22 JACKSONVILLE 19 41 -2.5 46
      1:00 PM MIAMI 16 NEWENGLAND 13 29 -1 35.5
      1:00 PM CLEVELAND 19 WASHINGTON 26 45 -3 44.5 Home Minus 5*
      4:05 PM LASVEGAS 13 DENVER 20 33 -3 36.5 Home Minus 5*
      4:05 PM ARIZONA 19 SANFRANCISCO 31 50 -7 50.5 Home Minus 5*
      4:25 PM GREENBAY 28 LARAMS 17 45 3.5 48 Away Minus 5*
      4:25 PM NYGIANTS 16 SEATTLE 29 45 -6 43.5
      8:20 PM DALLAS 20 PITTSBURGH 23 43 -2.5 43
      8:15 PM NEWORLEANS 22 KANSASCITY 20 42 -5 42.5 Away Plus 5*
      12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A
      12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A
      Comment
      • usma1992
        SBR MVP
        • 08-02-11
        • 1410

        #38
        My two college games were spot on by the numbers or damn close... but it said no bet.... I am looking into the algorithm to see if I can find a weakness to be able to add those wins to my program. The more data you interpret the harder it is to do because when you change the algorithm you change the past always and it isn't always favorable.

        I will keep working for sure. NFL game was a complete blowout... my numbers were wrong but my filters were right and said no bet. I am wondering if there is a sweet spot in my program where the numbers lead you one way but the filters say layoff and the bet is against my predicted numbers.

        I will investigate.

        Dave
        Mack the Teach
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1410

          #39
          Another strong start to the college football weekend... 2-0... and of the 5 games played... 3 of the final scores... were really close...

          Spending day with my son... tailgating... look forward to a fun weekend.

          Dave
          Mack the Teach
          Comment
          • usma1992
            SBR MVP
            • 08-02-11
            • 1410

            #40
            Looks like a 7-2 Weekend... haven't had a losing college weekend yet...

            I'll take it. I should never have bet the Michigan under. I thought I had a filter that tossed out under bets it the total is below 42... I will look.

            Hopefully, I don't give it all back on NFL.

            Dave
            MacktheTeach
            Comment
            • usma1992
              SBR MVP
              • 08-02-11
              • 1410

              #41
              Just added filter... which would have kicked Michigan under out... I'll take 7-2 regardless.

              29-17.... Up 12 Units in 3 weeks... 63%... I'll take it...

              Just need to get NFL in line.

              Dave
              MacktheTeach
              Comment
              • usma1992
                SBR MVP
                • 08-02-11
                • 1410

                #42
                Made some upgrades since Week 4... Predicted games 29-17 63%... with upgrades... 23-7 76%... I know that is after the fact... but my system is constantly evolving...

                All the upgrades will be used on future weeks... I'll take 63%... all day...

                Dave
                MacktheTeach
                Comment
                • usma1992
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-02-11
                  • 1410

                  #43
                  Had a monster weekend 7-2 College ... 5-1 NFL... 12-3 80%

                  Haven't had a losing college weekend so far since I started betting. Knock on wood. I fixed NFL system and tightened it up.

                  Obviously it worked. I was able to lesson the blow of week 4 after the fact to 1-3 vs. 3-8. A losing week still. Yes, I know that is after the fact. But, I am constantly trying to upgrade my system. I need to decide next week whether to wait until Week 5 to start betting pro.

                  Regardless...

                  29-17 NCAAF
                  8-9 NFL

                  with a bet going tonight.

                  I am current 58.7% with a terrible week 4 in the NFL.

                  Dave
                  Mack the Teach
                  Comment
                  • redrum448
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-23-24
                    • 24

                    #44
                    I went 9-2 on college (I accidently bet the friday games twice LOL)

                    Im in Atlanta so I may skip the Saints game as im not sure my hatred of saints out weighs my love of money
                    Comment
                    • usma1992
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-02-11
                      • 1410

                      #45
                      Nice mistake... what games did u play?

                      Dave
                      MacktheTeach
                      Comment
                      • redrum448
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 09-23-24
                        • 24

                        #46
                        oh i guess i went 11-2 (with the 2 extra bets on friday)

                        I played all your games on friday/saturday and all NFL yesterday

                        (thanks!)
                        Comment
                        • usma1992
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-11
                          • 1410

                          #47
                          Hey... don't get used to that type of return... I'm shooting for high 50s ... right around 60%...

                          I'm glad you won.

                          Dave
                          MacktheTeach
                          Comment
                          • redrum448
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 09-23-24
                            • 24

                            #48
                            So dont expect to go 16-3 every weekend? pfftttt
                            Comment
                            • usma1992
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-02-11
                              • 1410

                              #49
                              Ended 12-4... 7-2 college 5-2 NFL... 75%... Ill take it

                              Dave
                              MacktheTeach
                              Comment
                              • usma1992
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-02-11
                                • 1410

                                #50
                                Week 7 Preliminary Picks

                                NCAAF 2024Week7 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
                                Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                7:00 PM Florida Internatio 8 Liberty 40 48 -17.5 55
                                7:30 PM New Mexico State 15 Jacksonville State 43 58 -20.5 57.5
                                7:30 PM Coastal Carolina 22 James Madison 36 58 -9.5 62 Home Minus 3*
                                8:00 PM Middle Tennessee 12 Louisiana Tech 31 43 -5.5 49.5
                                8:00 PM UTEP 14 Western Kentucky 37 51 -19 57.5
                                7:00 PM Memphis 41 South Florida 21 62 7 59.5 Away Minus 5*
                                8:00 PM Northwestern 14 Maryland 35 49 -10 45
                                9:00 PM UNLV 45 Utah State 20 65 18.5 65
                                10:30 PM Utah 27 Arizona State 21 48 5.5 45
                                12:00 PM Missouri 42 Massachusetts 8 50 27 54
                                12:00 PM Ball State 39 Kent State 20 59 6.5 57.5 Away Minus 5*
                                12:00 PM Clemson 46 Wake Forest 25 71 20 60
                                12:00 PM Toledo 29 Buffalo 5 34 9.5 44
                                12:00 PM Georgia Tech 31 North Carolina 28 59 6 59
                                12:00 PM UAB 8 Army 44 52 -26 56 Home Minus 3*
                                12:00 PM Wisconsin 21 Rutgers 24 45 -2.5 40
                                12:00 PM South Carolina 14 Alabama 27 41 -21 50.5
                                12:00 PM Washington 20 Iowa 15 35 -3 41
                                2:00 PM Miami (Ohio) 17 Eastern Michigan 28 45 3 45
                                3:30 PM California 21 Pittsburgh 36 57 -3.5 59.5
                                3:30 PM Northern Illinois 29 Bowling Green 17 46 -3 47.5
                                3:30 PM Akron 18 Western Michigan 28 46 -9.5 53
                                3:30 PM Louisville 33 Virginia 22 55 7.5 54.5
                                3:30 PM Old Dominion 27 Georgia State 31 58 -1.5 55
                                3:30 PM Cincinnati 29 UCF 34 63 -3 59
                                3:30 PM Purdue 1 Illinois 32 33 -19.5 50
                                3:30 PM San Jose State 34 Colorado State 20 54 1.5 55.5 Away Minus 5*
                                3:30 PM Stanford 8 Notre Dame 32 40 -23.5 44.5
                                3:30 PM Texas 36 Oklahoma 6 42 14 49.5
                                3:30 PM San Diego State 22 Wyoming 10 32 0 42
                                3:30 PM Penn State 23 USC 21 44 5.5 48
                                4:00 PM Ohio 20 Central Michigan 26 46 3 47.5
                                4:00 PM Arizona 17 BYU 24 41 -4 49.5
                                4:15 PM Mississippi State 7 Georgia 42 49 -32.5 53.5
                                5:00 PM Southern Mississip 5 Louisiana-Monroe 14 19 -7 41.5
                                7:00 PM Florida 6 Tennessee 44 50 -15.5 54
                                7:00 PM North Texas 39 Florida Atlantic 22 61 7 59 Away Minus 3*
                                7:00 PM UTSA 31 Rice 23 54 4.5 48
                                7:00 PM Air Force 32 New Mexico 36 68 -6.5 54
                                7:00 PM Washington State 37 Fresno State 34 71 3.5 61.5
                                7:00 PM Arkansas State 19 Texas State 45 64 -14 63.5
                                7:30 PM Mississippi 38 LSU 23 61 2.5 64 Away Minus 5*
                                7:30 PM Appalachian State 25 Louisiana-Lafayett 40 65 -10.5 64.5
                                7:30 PM Ohio State 28 Oregon 20 48 3.5 53.5
                                7:30 PM Oregon State 31 Nevada 20 51 4 48.5
                                7:45 PM Vanderbilt 8 Kentucky 21 29 -14 46 Under 3*
                                8:00 PM Iowa State 27 West Virginia 21 48 3 51
                                8:00 PM Marshall 33 Georgia Southern 29 62 2.5 60.5
                                8:00 PM Syracuse 44 North Carolina Sta 19 63 4.5 54.5 Away Minus 5*
                                9:00 PM Minnesota 22 UCLA 3 25 5.5 40
                                10:15 PM Kansas State 26 Colorado 23 49 5 56.5
                                11:00 PM Boise State 35 Hawai'i 21 56 21.5 61.5
                                Comment
                                • usma1992
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-02-11
                                  • 1410

                                  #51
                                  Week 6 NFL
                                  NFL 2024Week6 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
                                  Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                  8:15 PM SANFRANCISCO 26 SEATTLE 25 51 3 47.5
                                  9:30 AM JACKSONVILLE 15 CHICAGO 27 42 -2.5 44 Home Minus 3*
                                  1:00 PM WASHINGTON 27 BALTIMORE 31 58 -6.5 52.5
                                  1:00 PM ARIZONA 21 GREENBAY 30 51 -5.5 50 Home Minus 5*
                                  1:00 PM HOUSTON 27 NEWENGLAND 10 37 7 38
                                  1:00 PM TAMPABAY 21 NEWORLEANS 23 44 3 42.5
                                  1:00 PM CLEVELAND 17 PHILADELPHIA 28 45 -9 43
                                  1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS 20 TENNESSEE 20 40 1 43.5
                                  4:05 PM LACHARGERS 31 DENVER 24 55 3 36 Over 3*
                                  4:05 PM PITTSBURGH 18 LASVEGAS 14 32 3 36
                                  4:25 PM ATLANTA 29 CAROLINA 17 46 6.5 47.5
                                  4:25 PM DETROIT 27 DALLAS 24 51 3.5 52.5
                                  8:20 PM CINCINNATI 26 NYGIANTS 24 50 3.5 49
                                  8:15 PM BUFFALO 18 NYJETS 20 38 2.5 41
                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A
                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A
                                  Dave
                                  MacktheTeach
                                  Comment
                                  • usma1992
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-02-11
                                    • 1410

                                    #52
                                    Need some feedback

                                    Is anyone actually using my picks other than redrum488

                                    Dave
                                    MacktheTeach
                                    Comment
                                    • asiagambler
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-23-17
                                      • 6827

                                      #53
                                      If you project Liberty 40-8 why isn't Liberty -16 a bet ?

                                      Also Under 56 ?
                                      Comment
                                      • veriableodds
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-22-17
                                        • 5093

                                        #54
                                        Great work Dave. Nice record to date
                                        Thanks for sharing
                                        Comment
                                        • usma1992
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-02-11
                                          • 1410

                                          #55
                                          I appreciate it...

                                          Dave
                                          MacktheTeach
                                          Comment
                                          • MrBig33
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-27-11
                                            • 405

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by usma1992
                                            Need some feedback

                                            Is anyone actually using my picks other than redrum488

                                            Dave
                                            MacktheTeach
                                            Hello, i have been following you! Thanks!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • usma1992
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-02-11
                                              • 1410

                                              #57
                                              I appreciate it... MrBig...

                                              Nice to start off 1-0... heading into the weekend.

                                              Dave
                                              MacktheTeach
                                              Comment
                                              • redrum448
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-23-24
                                                • 24

                                                #58
                                                Memphis - South Florida is on Saturday not Friday it seems (just a FYI)
                                                Comment
                                                • usma1992
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                  • 1410

                                                  #59
                                                  I saw.... not sure why the site I use had it differently. Week 7 Final Picks are the same as the preliminary. I didn't change anything.

                                                  Dave
                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                  Comment
                                                  • usma1992
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-02-11
                                                    • 1410

                                                    #60
                                                    Another solid week 8-4 ... 5-4 college and 3-0 pro...

                                                    Haven't had a losing week in college yet. 45-31 Up 14 units

                                                    59%

                                                    Dave
                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                    Comment
                                                    • usma1992
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-02-11
                                                      • 1410

                                                      #61
                                                      Week 8 College Football Picks

                                                      NCAAF 2024Week8 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
                                                      Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                      8:30 PM Troy 16 South Alabama 36 52 -11 57 Home Minus 3*
                                                      9:00 PM Kennesaw State 17 Middle Tennessee 28 45 -10 51
                                                      10:00 PM Louisiana Tech 35 New Mexico State 9 44 10.5 48.5
                                                      8:00 PM Western Kentucky 24 Sam Houston State 32 56 -3 55.5
                                                      10:00 PM Florida Internatio 25 UTEP 19 44 5 49.5
                                                      8:00 PM Georgia State 25 Marshall 30 55 -8.5 53.5
                                                      8:30 PM Boston College 14 Virginia Tech 21 35 -7 50.5
                                                      8:00 PM Florida State 8 Duke 26 34 -3 43
                                                      9:00 PM Oregon 51 Purdue 4 55 27 58.5
                                                      11:15 PM Oklahoma State 18 BYU 35 53 -9 55.5
                                                      11:30 PM Fresno State 30 Nevada 22 52 3 51
                                                      1:00 PM Wake Forest 25 Connecticut 43 68 -2 58
                                                      1:00 PM East Carolina 13 Army 35 48 -17 51.5
                                                      1:00 PM Miami (Florida) 38 Louisville 21 59 4 61
                                                      1:00 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 31 Coastal Carolina 19 50 3.5 56.5
                                                      1:00 PM Virginia 21 Clemson 43 64 -21.5 57.5
                                                      1:00 PM Arizona State 27 Cincinnati 28 55 -3 54
                                                      1:00 PM North Texas 27 Memphis 41 68 -10 66
                                                      1:00 PM UCLA 9 Rutgers 27 36 -6.5 40.5
                                                      1:00 PM Wisconsin 29 Northwestern 9 38 7 41
                                                      1:00 PM Auburn 14 Missouri 32 46 -6 52
                                                      1:00 PM Nebraska 12 Indiana 28 40 -6.5 50.5
                                                      1:30 PM UAB 23 South Florida 34 57 -13.5 58
                                                      1:45 PM South Carolina 20 Oklahoma 13 33 -2.5 40
                                                      3:00 PM Tulsa 32 Temple 23 55 -2.5 52
                                                      3:00 PM Central Michigan 26 Eastern Michigan 31 57 -2.5 54
                                                      4:30 PM Ohio 17 Miami (Ohio) 14 31 -4 44
                                                      4:30 PM Western Michigan 18 Buffalo 20 38 -1 49.5
                                                      4:30 PM Texas State 42 Old Dominion 17 59 10 61.5 Away Minus 5*
                                                      4:30 PM Charlotte 15 Navy 41 56 -17 56
                                                      4:30 PM Alabama 16 Tennessee 33 49 2.5 56.5
                                                      4:30 PM Notre Dame 25 Georgia Tech 18 43 8.5 49
                                                      4:30 PM Kent State 5 Bowling Green 39 44 -20.5 57
                                                      4:30 PM Toledo 17 Northern Illinois 26 43 -2.5 44.5
                                                      4:30 PM Michigan 13 Illinois 20 33 1.5 42.5
                                                      4:30 PM North Carolina Sta 12 California 29 41 -10 47.5
                                                      4:30 PM Houston 9 Kansas 22 31 -6.5 46
                                                      4:30 PM Rice 11 Tulane 35 46 -22.5 53.5
                                                      4:30 PM Florida Atlantic 23 UTSA 35 58 -4 55.5 Home Minus 5*
                                                      4:30 PM Hawai'i 23 Washington State 36 59 -19 55.5
                                                      5:00 PM James Madison 41 Georgia Southern 20 61 10 59.5 Away Minus 3*
                                                      5:00 PM Baylor 28 Texas Tech 37 65 -6.5 57.5
                                                      5:00 PM USC 34 Maryland 28 62 7 56
                                                      5:00 PM New Mexico 46 Utah State 42 88 2.5 78.5
                                                      5:00 PM Wyoming 11 San Jose State 37 48 -11.5 50.5
                                                      5:00 PM Colorado 26 Arizona 29 55 -3.5 56
                                                      5:15 PM Texas A&M 39 Mississippi State 15 54 14.5 55.5
                                                      8:00 PM Ball State 15 Vanderbilt 39 54 -26.5 58.5
                                                      8:00 PM LSU 29 Arkansas 35 64 3 57
                                                      8:00 PM Georgia 19 Texas 31 50 -3.5 56.5
                                                      8:00 PM Arkansas State 32 Southern Mississip 16 48 6 53.5
                                                      8:30 PM UCF 20 Iowa State 28 48 -13.5 48.5
                                                      8:30 PM Kansas State 28 West Virginia 24 52 3 54
                                                      8:30 PM Iowa 19 Michigan State 10 29 6.5 41
                                                      8:45 PM Kentucky 16 Florida 12 28 -2 42.5
                                                      9:00 PM Colorado State 26 Air Force 26 52 7.5 47
                                                      9:00 PM SMU 39 Stanford 13 52 14.5 55
                                                      11:00 PM UNLV 39 Oregon State 31 70 6 61
                                                      11:30 PM TCU 23 Utah 29 52 -6.5 51.5
                                                      Dave
                                                      MacktheTeach
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BCaldwell32
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-13-08
                                                        • 1027

                                                        #62
                                                        I'm with you, you're doing a great job this year!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • usma1992
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-02-11
                                                          • 1410

                                                          #63
                                                          I appreciate it

                                                          Dave
                                                          MacktheTeach
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mjsuax13
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 03-14-15
                                                            • 25094

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by usma1992
                                                            Need some feedback

                                                            Is anyone actually using my picks other than redrum488

                                                            Dave
                                                            MacktheTeach
                                                            A lot of people are viewing but many don’t comment. Appreciate the work.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mjsuax13
                                                              Moderator
                                                              • 03-14-15
                                                              • 25094

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by usma1992
                                                              Haven't had a losing week in college yet. 45-31 Up 14 units

                                                              59%

                                                              Dave
                                                              MacktheTeach
                                                              Good work!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • usma1992
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-02-11
                                                                • 1410

                                                                #66
                                                                I appreciate it... hard to know whether people are following. I get an occasional message but that is about it.

                                                                Dave
                                                                MacktheTeach
                                                                Comment
                                                                • usma1992
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                                  • 1410

                                                                  #67
                                                                  NFL... maybe to tight... Only one pick today...

                                                                  NFL 2024Week7 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
                                                                  Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                                  9:15 PM DENVER 20 NEWORLEANS 18 38 2 37
                                                                  10:30 AM NEWENGLAND 18 JACKSONVILLE 22 40 -5.5 42.5
                                                                  2:00 PM SEATTLE 28 ATLANTA 27 55 -2.5 51
                                                                  2:00 PM TENNESSEE 13 BUFFALO 19 32 -8 42
                                                                  2:00 PM CINCINNATI 25 CLEVELAND 16 41 5 43
                                                                  2:00 PM HOUSTON 26 GREENBAY 27 53 -3 47.5
                                                                  2:00 PM MIAMI 18 INDIANAPOLIS 20 38 -3 43.5
                                                                  2:00 PM DETROIT 26 MINNESOTA 20 46 -2.5 49.5
                                                                  2:00 PM PHILADELPHIA 24 NYGIANTS 21 45 3 42.5
                                                                  5:05 PM LASVEGAS 30 LARAMS 33 63 -5.5 43.5
                                                                  5:05 PM CAROLINA 20 WASHINGTON 34 54 -7.5 52 Home Minus 5*
                                                                  5:25 PM KANSASCITY 22 SANFRANCISCO 24 46 -1 46.5
                                                                  9:20 PM NYJETS 18 PITTSBURGH 16 34 1.5 37
                                                                  9:15 PM BALTIMORE 29 TAMPABAY 25 54 3.5 48
                                                                  10:00 PM LACHARGERS 25 ARIZONA 23 48 2.5 43.5
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  Dave
                                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • usma1992
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-02-11
                                                                    • 1410

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Well,

                                                                    I am torn about whether I loosen the model up a little to include more bets. If you look at the NFL bets... I find a disconcerting trend. My spread numbers are extremely close to Vegas on almost every game. In many games, they are the exact same. However, my Over/Under #s are off.

                                                                    I have one Over/Under pick in the last couple of weeks and it won but barely. I fear that I am calculating my point totals incorrectly which of course changes all my analysis, but my spreads are dead on.

                                                                    Right now, I am betting only 5 games this week.

                                                                    There are two bets in the NFL worth considering... Cincy giving 5 to Cleveland and LA Rams Over... my number is way off from Vegas and I think Vegas is more in tune than I am but it also says not to bet it.

                                                                    I found the parameter that kicked it out... If I make a small adjustment Rams Over is in. This is the process that I did on my college bball program and college football program.

                                                                    I am at 59% as I have stated... but I must constantly work to get better. I think next year based on the work I do this year... will be significantly better.

                                                                    I am leaving my NFL picks as is... but I am watching those two games specifically to see what happens. Any reasonable input is appreciated.

                                                                    Dave
                                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • usma1992
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-02-11
                                                                      • 1410

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Always like hitting the mid-week game... 1-0

                                                                      to start the weekend. Enjoy

                                                                      Dave
                                                                      MacktheTeach
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sharpwannabe
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 10-13-24
                                                                        • 1

                                                                        #70
                                                                        been following your posts for almost 3 weeks now and bet the full slip this past weekend, could of easily been another 2 dubs if a couple bad plays didnt happen in the ole miss and ball state game. i think you're killing it! and will be tailing the full slip this weekend too.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...