Bettors Anonymous

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  • ddittie
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-12
    • 819

    #1
    Bettors Anonymous
    Alright, here we go—welcome to the first installment of Bettors Anonymous. Let’s keep it 100% honest: I’m an NFL betting enthusiast through and through. I live for those Sundays, and nothing else gets me going quite like NFL action. But, let’s be real—I’m a degenerate. I bet on everything all year round, but the NFL is where my heart (and wallet) truly lie.


    Here’s the ugly truth: I started the season with a little luck, found myself up, and then Week 1 happened. Not only did I lose those winnings, but I’ve also managed to dig myself into a $900 hole already. So, I’m kicking off this series to log my plays, keep myself accountable, and maybe, just maybe, have a bit of fun while doing it.


    But wait, there’s more! To ensure I don’t miss a single game, I’ve gone all-in on subscriptions—Disney+, Amazon, Peacock, YouTube+, you name it. That’s another $600 out of pocket, bringing my starting deficit to a cool $1,500.


    Now, here’s the kicker: every week, we’re going to make one headline bet—the “Get Even Bet of the Week.” This is the bet that will either save my ass or dig me deeper, but hey, that’s the fun of it, right?


    So, let’s penetrating go. Week 2 is here, and we’re not messing around anymore. I’ll be posting my plays shortly, so stay tuned and let’s ride this rollercoaster together.
  • ddittie
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-12
    • 819

    #2
    1. Chiefs (-6) vs. Bengals
    2. Bills (+1) at Dolphins
    3. Texans (-7) vs. Bears
    4. Eagles (-6½) vs. Falcons
    5. Chargers (-5) at Panthers

    I have already posted these plays in another thread, but I'll be focusing my efforts here from now on. Including a GET EVEN PLAY OF THE WEEK. Which will be a play that essentially get's me even or as close as I'm willing as possible (I'm most confident in).

    Let's penetrating GO!
    Comment
    • ddittie
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-15-12
      • 819

      #3
      Bettors Anonymous: Week 2


      But I’m not just here to talk to myself and hold myself accountable—I want your opinions! My favorite “Get Even Bet of the Week” isn’t locked in until it’s LOCKED THE penetrate IN. So, let’s discuss, and feel free to help me get even with your own analysis.


      Current Lean: Rams +1.


      I get it, Puka Nacua is banged up, but let’s not forget—Stafford is still a beast. They went toe-to-toe with a Super Bowl contender last week, and now they’re up against the Cardinals? Come on. Goff might not have the legs of Murray, but he’s got the brain and the arm to slice up that defense. The Cardinals aren’t running another kickoff back, and Stafford isn’t coughing up the ball in enemy territory.


      And let’s talk big picture—0-2 is a tough start for any team with playoff aspirations. The Rams aren’t about to let that happen.


      So, what do you think? Should we lock in the Rams +1, or is there a better play on the board? Let’s hear it—because this week, we’re getting even.
      Comment
      • ddittie
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-15-12
        • 819

        #4
        I put out 5 plays, and we’re going big with one of them. Here’s the deal:


        1 Play to Go to the Bank With: This one is our heavy hitter. It counts for 5 plays, and it’s the one we’re riding all the way to the bank.
        4 Plays to Ride: These are solid plays, but they each count as 1. We’re confident, but not all-in.
        Get Even Bet of the Week: The one bet that can dig us out of the hole or make it even deeper. It’s the headliner.
        Parlay to Get Rich: This is where we take all 6 plays and roll them into one parlay, aiming for a perfect 6-0 week.


        So, which one are we taking to the bank? Which 4 are we riding? Let’s lock these in and have some fun with it. We’re going for a 6-0 week, baby—let’s make it happen.

        See ya'll Wednesday-Thursday!
        Comment
        • Headsterx
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-03-16
          • 22706

          #5
          Good luck this week as week 2 already looks hard and we just started the season.
          Comment
          • ddittie
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-15-12
            • 819

            #6
            So, my Get even bet of the week is actually going to be a 4 team parlay:
            Lions ML -355
            Ravens ML -410
            Missouri (cfb) ML -625
            Oklahoma (cfb) ML -550
            4 team parlay is +118
            Comment
            • ddittie
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-15-12
              • 819

              #7
              those odds are on DK
              Comment
              • ddittie
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-15-12
                • 819

                #8
                Goto the bank with the Eagles at -6.5
                Comment
                • mjsuax13
                  Moderator
                  • 03-14-15
                  • 25020

                  #9
                  I like this guy. Good luck!
                  Comment
                  • 2Sweeet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-31-22
                    • 1169

                    #10
                    Eagles aint covering Monday. Subscribe to a porn site and save your money. I been an Eagles fan for 40 yrs
                    Comment
                    • mcaulay777
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-10
                      • 1768

                      #11
                      My wife has Amazon Prime so there is Thursday i get netflix because my wife loves The Circle Lincoln Lawyer and others and i get Peacock with Ads because Premier League and playoff games have commercials anyway and get DIRECTV sports pack that has red zone.I dont mind paying because that is my entertainment im retired and home about 355 days a year except maybe for a week trip here and there dont go out to eat because all of Des Moines and upper central iowa restaurants all suck!So tv my number 1 form of entertainment and Sirius xm for music!Plus remember it is freezing cold here for 4 months of the year
                      Comment
                      • mcaulay777
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-10
                        • 1768

                        #12
                        Sorry needed a bet i took the Giants ml and played a 4 team teaser,Ravens,Giants,Saints,Bucs
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61050

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ddittie
                          So, my Get even bet of the week is actually going to be a 4 team parlay:
                          Lions ML -355
                          Ravens ML -410
                          Missouri (cfb) ML -625
                          Oklahoma (cfb) ML -550
                          4 team parlay is +118
                          Does get even mean this one is to win $1500?
                          .
                          Comment
                          • ddittie
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-15-12
                            • 819

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Optional
                            Does get even mean this one is to win $1500?
                            Yes & no. If I had the roll to blast 1500 then yeah, but I only am risking $300, sadly.
                            Comment
                            • ddittie
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-15-12
                              • 819

                              #15
                              Was in jail... hah

                              Anyways, catching back up from missing a few weeks, my 'get even bet' of the week is going to be Buffalo O21.5 pts vs the Ravens.
                              They've scored over 21 pts in every game, the Ravens have allowed 21+ in every game, what could go wrong? Everything... but let's roll with the Bills being hard to stop. Raven's aren't stopping the Bills from scoring, but I guess they could hold them to lots of FGs.
                              Comment
                              • ddittie
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-15-12
                                • 819

                                #16
                                theres supposed to be some rain, if it's light, like forecasted, we should be 90% solid.
                                Look for the Bills to score 14+ in the first half.
                                Comment
                                • ddittie
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-15-12
                                  • 819

                                  #17
                                  Been silent, but wanted to test this. This graph represents the average pts scored, allowed, and where the total is at atm from ESPN (blue line), the over or under is based on the analysis that the average margins are either over more often or under. Have fun with it. My all-in bet of the week is going to be Baltimore & Pittsburgh.
                                  Comment
                                  • ddittie
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-15-12
                                    • 819

                                    #18
                                    Sorry Bal & Pitt OVER
                                    Comment
                                    • ddittie
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-15-12
                                      • 819

                                      #19
                                      Some alternative bets:
                                      Jags O16.5, they scored 17 or more in 60% of their games and the Lions have allowed 17 or more in 55.5% of theirs.
                                      Titans O16.5, they scored 17 or more in 60% and Vikings have allowed it in 55.5%.
                                      Vikings O21.5, they scored 22 or more in 66% of their games and the Titans have allowed 22 or more in 55.5%.
                                      Raiders O17.5, over in 66% and Dolhins have allowed 18+ in 55%.
                                      Rams U23.5, they've scored 24+ in 33% of their games, and the Pats have allowed 24 or more in only 30% of theirs.
                                      Colts O19.5, they've gotten 20 or more in 70% of their games, and the Jets have allowed 60% of their opponents to score 20 or more.
                                      PIT O21.5, they get to 22 or more 55% of the time but the Ravens have allowed opponents to score 22+ in 80% of their games.
                                      DEN U23.5, they get 24 or more 40% of the time and the Falcons have allowed 24 or more 40% of the time.
                                      SF U27.5, SF has scored 28+ in only 44% of the games, and the Seahawks have allowed opponents to get there 44% of the time.
                                      SEA O20.5, conversely, Seattle has scored 21 or more in 66.6% of their games and the 49ers have allowed 21 pts or more 66.6% of the time.
                                      DAL O16.5, this ones unique due to Dak's injury, but Dallas has scored 17+ in 77.7% of their games, and the Texans have allowed 17 or more in 90% of their games.

                                      Additionally, the Chargers have not allowed anyone to score 24 or more points this season, and the Bengals beat that 60% of the time. So go where you want with that knowledge.
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 25020

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ddittie
                                        Was in jail... hah

                                        Anyways, catching back up from missing a few weeks, my 'get even bet' of the week is going to be Buffalo O21.5 pts vs the Ravens.
                                        They've scored over 21 pts in every game, the Ravens have allowed 21+ in every game, what could go wrong? Everything... but let's roll with the Bills being hard to stop. Raven's aren't stopping the Bills from scoring, but I guess they could hold them to lots of FGs.
                                        What did you do pal? Conference me in as your representation! I’ll My Cousin Vinny that shit!
                                        Comment
                                        • mjsuax13
                                          Moderator
                                          • 03-14-15
                                          • 25020

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ddittie
                                          Some alternative bets:
                                          Jags O16.5, they scored 17 or more in 60% of their games and the Lions have allowed 17 or more in 55.5% of theirs.
                                          Titans O16.5, they scored 17 or more in 60% and Vikings have allowed it in 55.5%.
                                          Vikings O21.5, they scored 22 or more in 66% of their games and the Titans have allowed 22 or more in 55.5%.
                                          Raiders O17.5, over in 66% and Dolhins have allowed 18+ in 55%.
                                          Rams U23.5, they've scored 24+ in 33% of their games, and the Pats have allowed 24 or more in only 30% of theirs.
                                          Colts O19.5, they've gotten 20 or more in 70% of their games, and the Jets have allowed 60% of their opponents to score 20 or more.
                                          PIT O21.5, they get to 22 or more 55% of the time but the Ravens have allowed opponents to score 22+ in 80% of their games.
                                          DEN U23.5, they get 24 or more 40% of the time and the Falcons have allowed 24 or more 40% of the time.
                                          SF U27.5, SF has scored 28+ in only 44% of the games, and the Seahawks have allowed opponents to get there 44% of the time.
                                          SEA O20.5, conversely, Seattle has scored 21 or more in 66.6% of their games and the 49ers have allowed 21 pts or more 66.6% of the time.
                                          DAL O16.5, this ones unique due to Dak's injury, but Dallas has scored 17+ in 77.7% of their games, and the Texans have allowed 17 or more in 90% of their games.

                                          Additionally, the Chargers have not allowed anyone to score 24 or more points this season, and the Bengals beat that 60% of the time. So go where you want with that knowledge.
                                          I like it. Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • ddittie
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-15-12
                                            • 819

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                            What did you do pal? Conference me in as your representation! I’ll My Cousin Vinny that shit!
                                            public intox and trespass. Was pretty bullshit if you ask me. I was having a great night, having won a bet and was finishing eating at a restaurant and watching Georgia pull off their win (they were favored by a lot but barely won). I had some margaritas and was happy and chose not to drive home so I walked over the a bar that I go once a month. The bartender refused to serve me, (he doesn't like me and has done this multiple times), said it was for my safety, blah blah. I said that's cool how about I buy some drinks for everyone at the bar then, and he said nope. I asked if I could get some quarters then to play pool and he said he was going to have to ask me to leave or he'd call the police. i told him to go penetrate himself and left. I was outside, off the bars property about to walk home, but I dropped my phone (this is around 11pm), it was in a non-lit grassy area next to a road, and while I was looking for my phone the police arrived and detained me after asking me two questions, (what was i doing, and why.). They talked to the bartender for maybe 10-15 minutes, had him come over and tell me he was going to trespass me for my own safety, and then they took me to jail. Reading through the municipal laws, when they officially 'trespass' you like that, it allows them to tow your vehicle and make you responsible for payment. But, my truck wasn't there, as I had walked, so joke is on them. Plus, I wasn't on the property which their body cam footage will show. Just a money grab by the city, I've found they do this often, and state and city law says the maximum fine is $100, yet they are telling ppl its $1500.
                                            Comment
                                            • mjsuax13
                                              Moderator
                                              • 03-14-15
                                              • 25020

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ddittie
                                              public intox and trespass. Was pretty bullshit if you ask me. I was having a great night, having won a bet and was finishing eating at a restaurant and watching Georgia pull off their win (they were favored by a lot but barely won). I had some margaritas and was happy and chose not to drive home so I walked over the a bar that I go once a month. The bartender refused to serve me, (he doesn't like me and has done this multiple times), said it was for my safety, blah blah. I said that's cool how about I buy some drinks for everyone at the bar then, and he said nope. I asked if I could get some quarters then to play pool and he said he was going to have to ask me to leave or he'd call the police. i told him to go penetrate himself and left. I was outside, off the bars property about to walk home, but I dropped my phone (this is around 11pm), it was in a non-lit grassy area next to a road, and while I was looking for my phone the police arrived and detained me after asking me two questions, (what was i doing, and why.). They talked to the bartender for maybe 10-15 minutes, had him come over and tell me he was going to trespass me for my own safety, and then they took me to jail. Reading through the municipal laws, when they officially 'trespass' you like that, it allows them to tow your vehicle and make you responsible for payment. But, my truck wasn't there, as I had walked, so joke is on them. Plus, I wasn't on the property which their body cam footage will show. Just a money grab by the city, I've found they do this often, and state and city law says the maximum fine is $100, yet they are telling ppl its $1500.
                                              Wow. They definitely are crooks looking for a cash grab. Glad it wasn’t something more serious. They love to tow the car and really stick it to people. That’s happen to me before. Cost like $1200 to retrieve the vehicle. Such shit.
                                              Comment
                                              • ddittie
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-15-12
                                                • 819

                                                #24
                                                Okay, how's about an actual ALL-IN play?

                                                Chargers O19.5 -270 $600
                                                Comment
                                                • ddittie
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-15-12
                                                  • 819

                                                  #25
                                                  Cashed it, +222.
                                                  Down $3789.85
                                                  Current BR $822
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ddittie
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-15-12
                                                    • 819

                                                    #26
                                                    Panthers +11 vs KC
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ddittie
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-15-12
                                                      • 819

                                                      #27
                                                      Cashed it, +454.55
                                                      Down $3,335.30
                                                      Current BR $1,276.55
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ddittie
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-15-12
                                                        • 819

                                                        #28
                                                        $1,000 on Raiders to O14.5 here. It pays Even when I got the bet in.

                                                        Every losing team's super bowl is trying to beat the Chiefs. Early mistakes and late backdoor prevent defenses says 10 free points, I'm taking a gamble here. Don't tail
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ddittie
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-15-12
                                                          • 819

                                                          #29
                                                          Regret this so much in the 3rd quarter. Cashed it tho!

                                                          +1,000
                                                          Down 2,335.30
                                                          Current BR $2,276.55
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ddittie
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-15-12
                                                            • 819

                                                            #30
                                                            This next bet is a 6 game parlay.
                                                            HOU O13.5
                                                            TEN O9.5
                                                            MIN O13.5
                                                            CIN O15.5
                                                            PIT O15.5
                                                            PHI O16.5
                                                            Current payout is +137 in a parlay. I will be driving to make this wager in AM, pretty sure the odds will change, but wanted to at least post. Bet amount will be $1,000. Image for entertainment.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • ddittie
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-15-12
                                                              • 819

                                                              #31
                                                              +1,357.82
                                                              Down $977.48
                                                              Current BR $3,634.37
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ddittie
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-15-12
                                                                • 819

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ddittie
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-15-12
                                                                  • 819

                                                                  #33
                                                                  A lot of these ai prediction models go against what i think, so im not going to risk betting them, but I actually predict:
                                                                  GB @ DET - Under
                                                                  JAX @ TEN - Over
                                                                  NYJ @ MIA - Under
                                                                  ATL @ MIN - Under
                                                                  NO @ NYG - Over
                                                                  CAR @ PHI - Under
                                                                  CLE @ PIT - Over
                                                                  LV @ TB - Over
                                                                  SEA @ ARI - Under
                                                                  BUF @ LAR - Under
                                                                  CHI @ SF - Over
                                                                  LAC @ KC - Under
                                                                  CIN @ DAL - Over

                                                                  Posting just to see how well I do. My favorites are the KC/LAC Under, DAL/CIN Over, might actually bet those.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ddittie
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-15-12
                                                                    • 819

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Pulled the trigger:

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ddittie
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-15-12
                                                                      • 819

                                                                      #35
                                                                      1k to win $5,670.58
                                                                      Down $977.48
                                                                      Current BR $3,634.37
                                                                      Comment
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