Donnie Brasco, AKA Jerky, AKA Mr Miami

[DonnieBrasco23]

good stuff jerky woke up to extra 1800$ today forgot I even took pits.

Parlayed it with Over in new orleans game. now going all in on Detroit ml tonight

Panthers buried me today embarrassing oh well on to the next one.

[astrobloke]

Panthers buried me today embarrassing oh well on to the next one.

cant win em all. Love the attitude mang. We will crush the next one. The panthers got buried, I gotta say I was NOT expecting that, but then again this is NFL. LOL.

[biggie12]

Panthers buried me today embarrassing oh well on to the next one.

just stay away doesnt matter if they improved or not they still garbage.

I got lucky this weekend with pits and Detroit to seal off a good weekend.

[DonnieBrasco23]

2 units to win 1.82 units
NFL Miami -2.5 -110

No write up just a bet & a ticket. The better team is home in the South Florida hot weather and the line is under a field goal not gonna overthink it. This is a logical bet but not a lock.

[94dc4]

2 units to win 1.82 units
NFL Miami -2.5 -110

No write up just a bet & a ticket. The better team is home in the South Florida hot weather and the line is under a field goal not gonna overthink it. This is a logical bet but not a lock.

-1.5 -108 on Heritage, and I think I agree. I wish I had the balls! Why do I still not trust Tua?

[DonnieBrasco23]

-1.5 -108 on Heritage, and I think I agree. I wish I had the balls! Why do I still not trust Tua?

Yeah I got no money offshore right now, I'm strictly a cash money B&M sports bettor at this very moment in Sept. Hard Rock Bet my only option as well. I'm gonna have to pay Capital gain tax up the ass for my BTC sales from my sports-betting profits . So I need a break from that to end my year.

[DonnieBrasco23]

The line jumps back to -1.5 -110 right after I bet it lol, feel like I just got trolled hard unreal. If it lands on 2 I'll stop gambling high stakes it will be my sign from the Gambling Gods.

[94dc4]

The line jumps back to -1.5 -110 right after I bet it lol, feel like I just got trolled hard unreal. If it lands on 2 I'll stop gambling high stakes it will be my sign from the Gambling Gods.

lol I haaate when that happens.

[Eddy Munny]

The line jumps back to -1.5 -110 right after I bet it lol, feel like I just got trolled hard unreal. If it lands on 2 I'll stop gambling high stakes it will be my sign from the Gambling Gods.

How do you purchase your tickets? Do you just drop a bunch of bands on the counter every time?

Do they run it through the counter? Seems like it would be a time consuming process, especially when it's time to collect and they have to procure 20 racks or whatever. Is it a hassle or pretty straight forward?

[DonnieBrasco23]

How do you purchase your tickets? Do you just drop a bunch of bands on the counter every time?

Do they run it through the counter? Seems like it would be a time consuming process, especially when it's time to collect and they have to procure 20 racks or whatever. Is it a hassle or pretty straight forward?

I bring a backpack full of money and drop it on the counter. It is a little time-consuming but the sportsbook is 10 minutes away from my house. This is only my 4th bet this season. I’m very selective, so far I’m OK with the process. They put the money through a counting machine takes a couple minutes and they write down my players card number. I guess they track big bets.

[SundanceKid]

Early in the season but a must win spot for Miami. They have been dreadful against Allen and McDermott. In more ways than one this is Miami's season. 2nd quarter highest scoring quarter will be the play for me

[Headsterx]

Current trend: Primetime home favs 4-0 ATS so far this season. Fins pick looking good so far. Just watch out for Johnny.

[texhooper]

2 units to win 1.82 units
NFL Miami -2.5 -110

No write up just a bet & a ticket. The better team is home in the South Florida hot weather and the line is under a field goal not gonna overthink it. This is a logical bet but not a lock.

There are times with the local team where you just know. Seemed to work for you before

[DonnieBrasco23]

There are times with the local team where you just know. Seemed to work for you before

Good point, especially early on in a season. These are not homer picks, these are information picks.

[texhooper]

Good point, especially early on in a season. These are not homer picks, these are information picks.

Right for you and anyone else reading this, I’m not mistaking this for a homer pick, nor did I think the U pick was a homer pick.

However the closer you are to a team, there can be advantages. You’re just sort of naturally absorbing more about that team and what goes on around it, which can provide you an edge if you know how to process it all.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Right for you and anyone else reading this, I’m not mistaking this for a homer pick, nor did I think the U pick was a homer pick.

However the closer you are to a team, there can be advantages. You’re just sort of naturally absorbing more about that team and what goes on around it, which can provide you an edge if you know how to process it all.

I’m just in it to make money. The last time these two teams played in Miami I faded my Dolphins for a sizable bet as they were injured and trending downward, which was easy money.

[Eddy Munny]

Current trend: Primetime home favs 4-0 ATS so far this season. Fins pick looking good so far. Just watch out for Johnny.

They're 3-0 ATS.

The Eagles game was played on Neptune or something, which is not considered a part of Philadelphia.

[Headsterx]

They're 3-0 ATS.

The Eagles game was played on Neptune or something, which is not considered a part of Philadelphia.

Yes, but Philly was still considered the “home team” by NFL and as such were given the first choice colors to wear. They picked black and skipped wearing green which Packers wore. Crowd hates green (soccer rivalry team colors) and booed Packers. So it’s close enough to a “home crowd” as you can get in a foreign country. 😁

[astrobloke]

As the thread title states aka Mr Miami.

I'm not saying Miami wins. But Donnie would have put lots of work in before he made this sizable bet. To me this is important and key. It is early in the season so anything is possible.

The fact that home teams seem to be winning right now should not be used as a Bible. That can change fast as these teams get lots of match time and into the swung of things.

. Good luck all.

[DonnieBrasco23]

A little fun parlay for the weekend from a professional gambler, wish me luck because I’m not naïve to the fact that I will need it in order to cash this.

[Eddy Munny]

Yes, but Philly was still considered the “home team” by NFL and as such were given the first choice colors to wear. They picked black and skipped wearing green which Packers wore. Crowd hates green (soccer rivalry team colors) and booed Packers. So it’s close enough to a “home crowd” as you can get in a foreign country. 

Yeah but for the sake of the gambling trend you denoted, all those things are meaningless. You can designate anything you want, but both teams had to fly there, adjustment to the time change, and practice/play in an unfamiliar environment.

[94dc4]

A little fun parlay for the weekend from a professional gambler, wish me luck because I’m not naïve to the fact that I will need it in order to cash this.

I like the action. Scariest bet is the Jags IMO.

[DonnieBrasco23]

I like the action. Scariest bet is the Jags IMO.

Why you think the Browns are the proper side to be contrarian in that match up week 2 ?

[DonnieBrasco23]

Definitely not gonna hedge if it comes down to that last game and I can live with the result.

[94dc4]

Why you think the Browns are the proper side to be contrarian in that match up week 2 ?

Browns were THOROUGHLY embarrassed with a roster with about as much "talent" as any. Watson trade is almost cemented as the worst deal in NFL history. I think if the browns had won they'd be favored here. I would have to imagine if any team was going to come out this week with something to prove it would be them, they have the roster to do so and the "coach of the year" to boot. If Watson or his team care AT ALL about his legacy or the optics of the organization, he has to look good this game or they have to win. Bare minimum be competitive. I don't trust them but I feel like they have a lot on the line with this game given last week. Which really leads to the defense IMO. They heat up a turnover prone Lawrence and they win a grinder.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Browns were THOROUGHLY embarrassed with a roster with about as much "talent" as any. Watson trade is almost cemented as the worst deal in NFL history. I think if the browns had won they'd be favored here. I would have to imagine if any team was going to come out this week with something to prove it would be them, they have the roster to do so and the "coach of the year" to boot. If Watson or his team care AT ALL about his legacy or the optics of the organization, he has to look good this game or they have to win. Bare minimum be competitive. I don't trust them but I feel like they have a lot on the line with this game given last week. Which really leads to the defense IMO. They heat up a turnover prone Lawrence and they win a grinder.

You have a very strong stance on the Browns this weekend are you betting them or is this just an isolated hypothetical opinion ?

[Headsterx]

Yeah but for the sake of the gambling trend you denoted, all those things are meaningless. You can designate anything you want, but both teams had to fly there, adjustment to the time change, and practice/play in an unfamiliar environment.

NFL deemed Eagles as home team. So home won ATS.

[94dc4]

Lol def my hypothetical opinion. I try to stay away from games where I see potential for a ton of variance/outcomes. Gun to my head I don't know who I would choose in that game, might be the only game this week I feel that way about except tonight's game lol but I did tease the bills.

To answer your question, I have a plethora of parlays, teasers, etc. $10k+ worth. I didn't bet jags/browns in any fashion.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Lol def my hypothetical opinion. I try to stay away from games where I see potential for a ton of variance/outcomes. Gun to my head I don't know who I would choose in that game, might be the only game this week I feel that way about except tonight's game lol but I did tease the bills.

To answer your question, I have a plethora of parlays, teasers, etc. $10k+ worth. I didn't bet jags/browns in any fashion.

OK so I understand now that was your opinion to stay away from that game got it. I like how you take this thing that we do very seriously you seem rather sharp. You remind me of myself, how long you been betting on sports ?

[94dc4]

OK so I understand now that was your opinion to stay away from that game got it. I like how you take this thing that we do very seriously you seem rather sharp. You remind me of myself, how long you been betting on sports ?

Ha, yea I take it pretty serious. I'm not betting less than $1k usually unless it's an absolute long shot parlay. I'm also a high volume bettor, and very high volume live bettor. This is where I tend to profit the most, regularly. Understanding game management etc. But I do truly enjoy it too(football anyways). Basketball and baseball for action but a lifetime loser for sure, football I typically crush so thank god it's that time of the year!

I'm of the age of the golden years of Pokerstars and Full Tilt. Played a lotttt of poker over the years until they really made it impossible online in Idaho anyways maybe 2016. I still remember my first sports bet, 2018 Redskins Vs Saints. Saints moneyline I bet $500 to prove a point to a friend. Since then, millions of dollars worth no doubt. Heritage statement says 573 bets, $418k volume last month lol jesus.

[Eddy Munny]

NFL deemed Eagles as home team. So home won ATS.

Well you can dig your heels in and be hard-headed til you're blue in the face, but this "trend" won't be corroborated by any reputable trend source. This is just you saying stuff. The people that gather data and actually publish betting trends will not regard a game in Brazil as a home game for the Eagles. Period.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Well you can dig your heels in and be hard-headed til you're blue in the face, but this "trend" won't be corroborated by any reputable trend source. This is just you saying stuff. The people that gather data and actually publish betting trends will not regard a game in Brazil as a home game for the Eagles. Period.

agreed

[94dc4]

Well you can dig your heels in and be hard-headed til you're blue in the face, but this "trend" won't be corroborated by any reputable trend source. This is just you saying stuff. The people that gather data and actually publish betting trends will not regard a game in Brazil as a home game for the Eagles. Period.

10000%

[Headsterx]

Well you can dig your heels in and be hard-headed til you're blue in the face, but this "trend" won't be corroborated by any reputable trend source. This is just you saying stuff. The people that gather data and actually publish betting trends will not regard a game in Brazil as a home game for the Eagles. Period.

Damn right I’ll say it, 4-0… 🤣

[Eddy Munny]

Damn right I’ll say it, 4-0… 藍

You probably identify as a woman too.

The "true because I said so" faction.