president futures are paying big

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  • asiagambler
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-23-17
    • 6831

    #36
    Originally posted by DwightShrute
    Trump was +4500 in June 2015. I bet $200 on him at +4000. Should have bet more I know

    On election eve 2016, after Crooked won one or two small east coast States, Trump was getting +1100 on live betting. I know because I kept betting $20 and 3 different books. He fluctuated for a bit to +1000 then up a little then down to +800 and I continued to place bets. Then not to long after, when he was around +200, then it went to Trump -400 and kept on rising. I could be wrong but I think it actually went down to almost even money after Hillary looked as if she was gonna take a State, but that didn't last long.
    He was +2000 when it looked like he was losing Florida
    Comment
    • BriGuy
      SBR MVP
      • 12-06-11
      • 1556

      #37
      Originally posted by DanteNemonic
      Betting against MAGA is the gift that keeps on giving. 18' 20' 22' they just keep coming back with the same ole slop.

      Still adding 1K a month to the Dem Party + odds.
      I notice you left '16 off that list. How'd you do betting against MAGA that year?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37037

        #38
        Originally posted by BriGuy
        I notice you left '16 off that list. How'd you do betting against MAGA that year?
        Bri, how do you see this one playing out?

        You see any value on Trump -160?
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • homie1975
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-24-13
          • 15453

          #39
          Originally posted by DwightShrute
          I am hearing that Biden will resign on Monday.
          LOL

          Dwight you don't know anyone of consequence where you would get credible info LOL

          he should resign on Saturday after tomorrow night's interview with Mr. Snuffeluffelgus
          Comment
          • homie1975
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-24-13
            • 15453

            #40
            Originally posted by BriGuy
            I notice you left '16 off that list. How'd you do betting against MAGA that year?
            that was a long long long time ago when Trump was more of an unknown.

            now his shitt is known.

            and he facilitated the overturning of Roe, hence the big fizzle out in Nov 2022 in the midterms even though inflation was at a 40 year high.

            the red wave was a red dud. cannot believe the blue's kept the senate majority and stopped a full fledge house majority.

            poor k mccarthy
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37037

              #41
              Appreciate the responses in here.

              I don't care about the Politics. I'm all about +EV. Will bet +EV against anyone!
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • JohnGalt2341
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-31-09
                • 9138

                #42
                Here you go boys... this is yet another political Winner here. Bet on the Democrats to Win the Popular Vote at Bovada.




                They let me bet over $300 on this one(normally I can't bet more than $5 at Bovada, $25 max). This should be priced at AT LEAST -150 MINIMUM. Please keep in mind, I'm not saying the Dems are going to win the election, just the popular vote.

                After this Wins, some of you guys might come in here and say something like..."The only reason the Dems won the popular vote is because they bussed in 12 billion Mexicans to vote for Biden/Harris." OR perhaps, "16 billion dead people voted for Biden". If you already believe that, then lock this in while you still can! I don't give a rats ass about ANY of your rationalizations. Either this bet wins, or it loses. It's as simple as that. Check my political track record in the main political forum if you wish.
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37037

                  #43
                  Good one, John. Good Luck!
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27882

                    #44
                    Somebody post the list of odds so we can at least go over the longshots
                    Comment
                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-15-10
                      • 7719

                      #45
                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                      Here you go boys... this is yet another political Winner here. Bet on the Democrats to Win the Popular Vote at Bovada.




                      They let me bet over $300 on this one(normally I can't bet more than $5 at Bovada, $25 max). This should be priced at AT LEAST -150 MINIMUM. Please keep in mind, I'm not saying the Dems are going to win the election, just the popular vote.

                      After this Wins, some of you guys might come in here and say something like..."The only reason the Dems won the popular vote is because they bussed in 12 billion Mexicans to vote for Biden/Harris." OR perhaps, "16 billion dead people voted for Biden". If you already believe that, then lock this in while you still can! I don't give a rats ass about ANY of your rationalizations. Either this bet wins, or it loses. It's as simple as that. Check my political track record in the main political forum if you wish.
                      Ordinarily you'd be right but there's a decent chance that Biden won't bow out then look like a fool at the second debate, if that happens then the Repubs have a real shot at winning the popular vote. Have you taken that into account?
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 37037

                        #46
                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                        Somebody post the list of odds so we can at least go over the longshots
                        What is your longshot play?
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • Checkerboard
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-15-06
                          • 7799

                          #47
                          VP picks?
                          Comment
                          • actiondan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-16-10
                            • 3424

                            #48
                            Originally posted by DwightShrute
                            I am hearing that Biden will resign on Monday.
                            fancy a betpoints bet dwight?
                            i’ll take the NO
                            Comment
                            • actiondan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-16-10
                              • 3424

                              #49
                              Tuesday, Nov 05 2024
                              Collapse
                              Will Biden Complete Full First Term?

                              Yes
                              -350

                              No
                              +225

                              BET ONLINE odds
                              Comment
                              • Headsterx
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-03-16
                                • 22716

                                #50
                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                Somebody post the list of odds so we can at least go over the longshots
                                Or why don't you PM Chucky with the list and you guys can have a lovefest over potential upsets.

                                Comment
                                • asiagambler
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-23-17
                                  • 6831

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Headsterx
                                  Or why don't you PM Chucky with the list and you guys can have a lovefest over potential upsets.

                                  johnny is a political betting analyst now
                                  Comment
                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 05-21-15
                                    • 27882

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    What is your longshot play?
                                    Terry Crews
                                    Comment
                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 9138

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                      Ordinarily you'd be right but there's a decent chance that Biden won't bow out then look like a fool at the second debate, if that happens then the Repubs have a real shot at winning the popular vote. Have you taken that into account?
                                      As a matter of fact I have. This is my feeling, most people have VERY short term memories. E.g. Trump did NOTHING for 3+ hours when the Capitol building was being destroyed, and the people's lives who worked in that building were in grave danger. Trump could have made a public statement or even a tweet, but he did NOTHING. It was only after some prodding after several hours that he FINALLY made a very pathetic statement. I could name a thousand other examples, like his fake elector scheme just to name one. His supporters don't give a shit about any of that. Trump said he weighed 215lbs for Christ sake. If he lies about something that even his own supporters know he is lying about, what other stuff that is MUCH MUCH more important do you think he is lying about? His supporters don't give a shit.

                                      Biden is pathetic, this is true. But come election time, IMO the majority of this country will be voting either for or against Trump. People won't be thinking about how pathetic Biden was during the debates, nor how many lies Trump told during the debates for that matter.

                                      The only thing that I was hesitant about is pulling the trigger too soon on this. After the 2nd debate, there is a very good chance that the Dems Popular Vote price will be VERY nice. However, right before the election I believe it will be much closer to reality. These prices often move after debates or major events, but usually people soon forget about these things and the Lines move back the other way. Just my opinion. I guess we'll find out if I am right or wrong.

                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37037

                                        #54
                                        JohnG, I think you have a good bet. Dems have won the Popular vote 4x running. Hard to see that changing.

                                        The valid election debates center around the Swing states. Which states tilt an election?

                                        In the Trump vs Hillary election, I'm convinced that Hillary thought it was a Fait Accompli. She was ready to be crowned. Trump campaigned hard in the final weeks and stole some votes.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • JohnGalt2341
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-31-09
                                          • 9138

                                          #55
                                          Here's another thing worth mentioning. In 2016 Trump lost the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes. Many of his elderly supporters are dead now. AND, the younger voters that couldn't vote in 2016, but can vote now, are unlikely to be Trump supporters for the most part. I think it's extremely unlikely that Trump will do better(popular votewise) than he did in 2016. I could be wrong, but the math doesn't seem to support this IMO.
                                          Comment
                                          • str
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 11640

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                            As a matter of fact I have. This is my feeling, most people have VERY short term memories. E.g. Trump did NOTHING for 3+ hours when the Capitol building was being destroyed, and the people's lives who worked in that building were in grave danger. Trump could have made a public statement or even a tweet, but he did NOTHING. It was only after some prodding after several hours that he FINALLY made a very pathetic statement. I could name a thousand other examples, like his fake elector scheme just to name one. His supporters don't give a shit about any of that. Trump said he weighed 215lbs for Christ sake. If he lies about something that even his own supporters know he is lying about, what other stuff that is MUCH MUCH more important do you think he is lying about? His supporters don't give a shit.

                                            Biden is pathetic, this is true. But come election time, IMO the majority of this country will be voting either for or against Trump. People won't be thinking about how pathetic Biden was during the debates, nor how many lies Trump told during the debates for that matter.

                                            The only thing that I was hesitant about is pulling the trigger too soon on this. After the 2nd debate, there is a very good chance that the Dems Popular Vote price will be VERY nice. However, right before the election I believe it will be much closer to reality. These prices often move after debates or major events, but usually people soon forget about these things and the Lines move back the other way. Just my opinion. I guess we'll find out if I am right or wrong.

                                            My oldest son was one of those workers. I appreciate you mentioning that. It usually gets swept away whenever possible in hopes of those short memories continuing.


                                            I think your bet is a solid play. That’s a good price to speculate on IMO. Good luck !
                                            Comment
                                            • Itsamazing777
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-14-12
                                              • 12602

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                              Here's another thing worth mentioning. In 2016 Trump lost the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes. Many of his elderly supporters are dead now. AND, the younger voters that couldn't vote in 2016, but can vote now, are unlikely to be Trump supporters for the most part. I think it's extremely unlikely that Trump will do better(popular votewise) than he did in 2016. I could be wrong, but the math doesn't seem to support this IMO.
                                              You can spin it any way you want, but Biden has lost millions of voters. Many of Bidens elderly supporters are also dead. He has a horrible record to run now and has zero chance. Millions of homeowners pay higher rates now, then when Trump was in, and that's going to be the difference. Trump is a big of a lock you can find.
                                              Comment
                                              • Itsamazing777
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-14-12
                                                • 12602

                                                #58
                                                The latest odds. Trump an overwhelming favorite


                                                Comment
                                                • DwightShrute
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                  • 102758

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                  As a matter of fact I have. This is my feeling, most people have VERY short term memories. E.g. Trump did NOTHING for 3+ hours when the Capitol building was being destroyed, and the people's lives who worked in that building were in grave danger. Trump could have made a public statement or even a tweet, but he did NOTHING. It was only after some prodding after several hours that he FINALLY made a very pathetic statement. I could name a thousand other examples, like his fake elector scheme just to name one. His supporters don't give a shit about any of that. Trump said he weighed 215lbs for Christ sake. If he lies about something that even his own supporters know he is lying about, what other stuff that is MUCH MUCH more important do you think he is lying about? His supporters don't give a shit.

                                                  Biden is pathetic, this is true. But come election time, IMO the majority of this country will be voting either for or against Trump. People won't be thinking about how pathetic Biden was during the debates, nor how many lies Trump told during the debates for that matter.

                                                  The only thing that I was hesitant about is pulling the trigger too soon on this. After the 2nd debate, there is a very good chance that the Dems Popular Vote price will be VERY nice. However, right before the election I believe it will be much closer to reality. These prices often move after debates or major events, but usually people soon forget about these things and the Lines move back the other way. Just my opinion. I guess we'll find out if I am right or wrong.

                                                  Such nonsense. You seriously think those idiots who were rioting would have stopped and checked their social media accounts? "Ya hold on there for a sec Mr. Capitol Cop, let's stop punching each other while I check Twitter! Hold on. Ok still don't see anything saying we should stop this nonsense. Ok let's continue fighting. I guess. Now where were we? Were you about to pepper spray me or was I about to swing at your head?"

                                                  I guess those rioters in 574 separate riots all over the country a few short months before should have done the same thing rather than killing dozens of people, injuring thousands including several hundred cops, burning down buildings, looting, and caused over 2 billion in damage. "Look no messages to stop on Twitter or insta. Let me check Facebook ya never know. Nothing. woo hoo. Let's riot! errr I mean let the fiery but peaceful protests continue "

                                                  People will remember the debate. He might not even the democrat candidate because of it. He showed how brain dead he it. Biden lied during the debate like no other I have ever seen. It was a disgrace.

                                                  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Some of Bidens debate lies <a href="https://t.co/r9e2K6eD1y">pic.twitter.com/r9e2K6eD1y</a></p>&mdash; TINA Hillstrom (@TINAHILLSTROM1) <a href="https://twitter.com/TINAHILLSTROM1/status/1806901571403563205?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >June 29, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

                                                  They were rioting while Trump was still speaking and he wasn't even close to the Capitol.

                                                  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I think Im in a state of Shock. ��<br>Maddow actually admits a TRUTH! �� <a href="https://t.co/5ijS485Gmi">pic.twitter.com/5ijS485Gmi</a></p>&mdash; Yig (@yigsstarhouse) <a href="https://twitter.com/yigsstarhouse/status/1536048788158222337?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >June 12, 2022</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                  Last edited by DwightShrute; 07-05-24, 07:30 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 05-21-15
                                                    • 27882

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                    The latest odds. Trump an overwhelming favorite


                                                    Whitmer
                                                    Comment
                                                    • actiondan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-16-10
                                                      • 3424

                                                      #61
                                                      ray epps
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Itsamazing777
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-14-12
                                                        • 12602

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                        Whitmer
                                                        No shot. Democrats have Noone. The party is dead.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johnnyvegas13
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 05-21-15
                                                          • 27882

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                          No shot. Democrats have Noone. The party is dead.
                                                          I disagree Biden is dead not the party

                                                          not at all
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JohnGalt2341
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-31-09
                                                            • 9138

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                            You can spin it any way you want, but Biden has lost millions of voters. Many of Bidens elderly supporters are also dead. He has a horrible record to run now and has zero chance. Millions of homeowners pay higher rates now, then when Trump was in, and that's going to be the difference. Trump is a big of a lock you can find.
                                                            If he's such a lock, how about you post your wager in a screenshot, and I'll post mine. AND, I'll throw you 1 Betpoint for every dollar you wagered. You Trump supporters talk a big game, but rarely ever put your money where your mouth is. Sort of like how Trump is afraid to actually step on a scale. He's afraid of reality/the truth. It's easy to see why so many of you guys worship him.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Itsamazing777
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-14-12
                                                              • 12602

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                              If he's such a lock, how about you post your wager in a screenshot, and I'll post mine. AND, I'll throw you 1 Betpoint for every dollar you wagered. You Trump supporters talk a big game, but rarely ever put your money where your mouth is. Sort of like how Trump is afraid to actually step on a scale. He's afraid of reality/the truth. It's easy to see why so many of you guys worship him.
                                                              America has spoken. It's why Trump is a huge favorite. Noone cares about his weight. Are you 12?
                                                              I'm not interested in your worthless points. Go ahead bet your 5 dollars on some random women that have no chance. Trump is your President. The sooner you accept it the better.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Itsamazing777
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-14-12
                                                                • 12602

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                                Here you go boys... this is yet another political Winner here. Bet on the Democrats to Win the Popular Vote at Bovada.




                                                                They let me bet over $300 on this one(normally I can't bet more than $5 at Bovada, $25 max). This should be priced at AT LEAST -150 MINIMUM. Please keep in mind, I'm not saying the Dems are going to win the election, just the popular vote.

                                                                After this Wins, some of you guys might come in here and say something like..."The only reason the Dems won the popular vote is because they bussed in 12 billion Mexicans to vote for Biden/Harris." OR perhaps, "16 billion dead people voted for Biden". If you already believe that, then lock this in while you still can! I don't give a rats ass about ANY of your rationalizations. Either this bet wins, or it loses. It's as simple as that. Check my political track record in the main political forum if you wish.
                                                                They know it's a loser that's why. Trump will win the popular vote, AND the electoral vote. Most likely the biggest landslide since Reagan. America is tired of failed liberal policies.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83693

                                                                  #67
                                                                  It's gonna be Harris vs Trump. Bet on Harris if you are sold on thinking a Democrat will win now. Joe is so on the outs. He's still stumbling in these recent interviews. He said he's the first black women in the white house. Lol. That takes the cake! LOL..

                                                                  Can't make this shiit up anymore..


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Itsamazing777
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                                    • 12602

                                                                    #68
                                                                    George tells biden he's behind in the popular vote
                                                                    Biden says no that's wrong.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Thefix13
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-14-21
                                                                      • 664

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                                      As a matter of fact I have. This is my feeling, most people have VERY short term memories. E.g. Trump did NOTHING for 3+ hours when the Capitol building was being destroyed, and the people's lives who worked in that building were in grave danger. Trump could have made a public statement or even a tweet, but he did NOTHING. It was only after some prodding after several hours that he FINALLY made a very pathetic statement. I could name a thousand other examples, like his fake elector scheme just to name one. His supporters don't give a shit about any of that. Trump said he weighed 215lbs for Christ sake. If he lies about something that even his own supporters know he is lying about, what other stuff that is MUCH MUCH more important do you think he is lying about? His supporters don't give a shit.

                                                                      Biden is pathetic, this is true. But come election time, IMO the majority of this country will be voting either for or against Trump. People won't be thinking about how pathetic Biden was during the debates, nor how many lies Trump told during the debates for that matter.

                                                                      The only thing that I was hesitant about is pulling the trigger too soon on this. After the 2nd debate, there is a very good chance that the Dems Popular Vote price will be VERY nice. However, right before the election I believe it will be much closer to reality. These prices often move after debates or major events, but usually people soon forget about these things and the Lines move back the other way. Just my opinion. I guess we'll find out if I am right or wrong.

                                                                      Lot of thought into this. Still not seeing what Trump has done to push away his prior voters whereas Biden is losing favor with people that prefer a candidate that doesn't drool or have trouble walking, while his own party is looking for the exit door. Must be all those sleeper voters that aren't polled that are going to come out swinging for Biden. He has done a heck of a job winning over people, just not actual residents of this country.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • asiagambler
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 07-23-17
                                                                        • 6831

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Pinnacle has Trump -177 against the Field
                                                                        Comment
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