...Don't really like these older teams that are waiting to be put out to pasture.
...Feel like Belgium is a team that's past their peak. Now slightly overrated.
...The GK injury is significant to me.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#4
(Coll Base)
1* NC St 2.16: 1 to win 1.16.
...Fla is fairly popular today on the Msg-boards.
...Gators have more name recognition. Runner-up last year, and a star name in Caglianone.
...I mentioned in the last post that Gators are a little overrated. Team wasn't that good in the Reg Season, and their pitching is pretty bad.
...Star 1B Caglianone may get the ball to pitch today. They used their top reliever Jamison in last game. Don't think the Gators have many pitching solutions here.
...I'm happy taking NCSt as a Dog when I think they're > 50/50 to win this game.
2* TEXAS A&M 1.78: 2 to win 1.56.
...IMHO, the gap is wider than this. Kentucky not on an even playing field with the Aggies.
...The LHP I mentioned in last writeup (Prager) was not used in the opener. Good chance Prager gets the ball today. And he sports a 6/1 K/BB ratio.
...Texas A&M is a powerhouse team. I view this price as being cheap.
...Don't really like these older teams that are waiting to be put out to pasture.
...Feel like Belgium is a team that's past their peak. Now slightly overrated.
...The GK injury is significant to me.
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Euro) 1* France -1 1.91 (vs Austria): 1 to win .91.
...I view this as likely a Win or Push.
Good Luck!
Thanks for the plays Chucky.
GL
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#6
Originally posted by Tanko
Thanks for the plays Chucky.
GL
You bet, Tank. Good Luck. Hopefully I'm not shamed eight hours from now.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#7
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Euro) 1* France -1 1.91 (vs Austria): 1 to win .91.
...I view this as likely a Win or Push.
Good Luck!
Adding a unit on France -.75 (1.78): 1 to win .78.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#8
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Coll Base)
1* NC St 2.16: 1 to win 1.16.
...Fla is fairly popular today on the Msg-boards.
...Gators have more name recognition. Runner-up last year, and a star name in Caglianone.
...I mentioned in the last post that Gators are a little overrated. Team wasn't that good in the Reg Season, and their pitching is pretty bad.
...Star 1B Caglianone may get the ball to pitch today. They used their top reliever Jamison in last game. Don't think the Gators have many pitching solutions here.
...I'm happy taking NCSt as a Dog when I think they're > 50/50 to win this game.
2* TEXAS A&M 1.78: 2 to win 1.56.
...IMHO, the gap is wider than this. Kentucky not on an even playing field with the Aggies.
...The LHP I mentioned in last writeup (Prager) was not used in the opener. Good chance Prager gets the ball today. And he sports a 6/1 K/BB ratio.
...Texas A&M is a powerhouse team. I view this price as being cheap.
Adding a unit on NCSt 2.39: 1 to win 1.39.
...Line moved in our favor. And I'm not chickening out on this.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#9
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Adding a unit on NCSt 2.39: 1 to win 1.39.
...Line moved in our favor. And I'm not chickening out on this.
Adding a 3rd unit on Texas A&M 1.84: 1 to win .84.
...If it is Prager that gets the ball, then this is phenomenal value.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#10
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Adding a 3rd unit on Texas A&M 1.84: 1 to win .84.
...If it is Prager that gets the ball, then this is phenomenal value.
4th unit on Tx AM 1.85: 1 to win .85.
...I think the line has to do with these teams having similar rankings.
...But I disagree. I give the edge to TxAM.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#11
Day: 5.5-4 (1.5 = Push). Light profit on the day.
...Slovakia wins.
...FRA win by one. Small profit on FRA.
...NCSt loses by one. Wasted too many scoring chances.
...Prager comes thru huge. AM wins.
...Dall melts. Bad play?
...I view Georgia as an outsider. Surely GEO wouldn't make a 16-team field.
...Turks did win their group over Croatia. So, not bad.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#13
(Euro) Ukraine -0.5 2.18 (vs Slovakia): 1 to win 1.18.
...If you liked Ukraine at all b4 the tournament, this has to be a value spot.
...Go beyond the Scorelines from the opening-round games.
...UKR controlled the ball for a majority of the time. Just that ROM was deadly on finishing chances.
...On the flip-side, SVK capitalized on one Belgium miscue. And Belgium had two goals scrubbed out.
...Looks like a great reversal spot. I like the line value.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#14
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Day: 5.5-4 (1.5 = Push). Light profit on the day.
...Slovakia wins.
...FRA win by one. Small profit on FRA.
...NCSt loses by one. Wasted too many scoring chances.
...Prager comes thru huge. AM wins.
...Dall melts. Bad play?
Day: 1-0. Turks get lucky. GEO was clattering posts, and TUR gets an empty-net goal at the gun.
Week: 6.5-4
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#15
(Euro) 1* Croatia -1 1.80: 1 to win .80.
...Bounce-back candidate off Round One results. Spain capitalized on their scoring chances. Croatia couldn't break thru.
...One thing I can say about watching the former Yugoslavia nations. Teams like Serbia/Croatia know how to generate goals. I'm confident that they can get off the schnide.
...I thought that Italy looked really crisp in the opener. One throw-in gift-wrapped the early Albania goal. And that's all they got.
...Going back to Albania qualifying, I mentioned that they were a little lucky in the two key qualifying matches. Albania is out of their league, especially in this particular Group.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#16
(Euro) Poland +0.5 1.92: 1 to win .92.
...Line doesn't make any sense to me.
...I know people don't regard Poland anymore. Albania won Poland's qualifying group, but it took a couple outlier results for that to happen.
...I know that Austria has some good players. But the 1/2-goal looks too big when Poland has been ranked higher than Austria for most of the last decade.
...I'm luke-warm on this game, given the hefty price.
...Chance to back a powerhouse Vol team. They executed the huge 9th-inning rally vs Noles in the opener.
...TENN has a ton of pro talent at the top of their order. Offensive output should be a given.
...Noles have been playing thru the back-side. Bullpen could be worn out.
...I'm expecting the Pitching matchup to be: Sechrist (TENN) and his 4/1 K/BB ratio vs Arnold (FLASt).
...Arnold has had four days rest. Vols hit him pretty good. I think Vols will be happy to feast on him again.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#19
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
1* TENN 1.59 (vs FlaSt): 1 to win .59.
...I'm luke-warm on this game, given the hefty price.
...Chance to back a powerhouse Vol team. They executed the huge 9th-inning rally vs Noles in the opener.
...TENN has a ton of pro talent at the top of their order. Offensive output should be a given.
...Noles have been playing thru the back-side. Bullpen could be worn out.
...I'm expecting the Pitching matchup to be: Sechrist (TENN) and his 4/1 K/BB ratio vs Arnold (FLASt).
...Arnold has had four days rest. Vols hit him pretty good. I think Vols will be happy to feast on him again.
1* Tenn/FlaSt UND 12.5 (2.03): 1 to win 1.03.
...Playing the reversal on this. In the opener the offenses exploded. That's the game where Moore hit for the Cycle.
...I expect the pitching to be much better in this pivotal game. Expecting a more sane scoreline.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#20
2* TexAM 1.83 (vs Fla): 2 to win 1.66.
...Aggie pitching staff should be set up. Lumkin/Cortez/Aschenbeck should be available.
...Repeating my theme of FLA being overrated based on name recognition. I know they're off two wins.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#21
(MLB) 1* NYYankees 1.72: 1 to win .72.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#22
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(MLB) 1* NYYankees 1.72: 1 to win .72.
I'm using an old Horse Racing angle on this one. Cole gets his first start of the season.
As it relates to horses, I always thought horse-owners were very meticulous in getting a horse ready for that first start off a Layoff. They were groomed to perform well in that specific race.
The bigger problem comes in the SECOND RACE off Layoff. As much as you prep a horse to run, the energy expended during competition exceeds the sweat from a regular workout. So, I'd be more apt to fade a pitcher in the SECOND start off a Layoff.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#23
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Day: 1-0. Turks get lucky. GEO was clattering posts, and TUR gets an empty-net goal at the gun.
Week: 6.5-4
Day: 4-3.
...CROA were up by one. But they cough up the late goal.
...NYY lose.
...KY gets wrecked. Sechrist comes up huge for us. We get two wins in the TENN game.
...TexAM rolls. Sets up a heavy-wt matchup of Tenn vs TxAM.
Week: 10.5-7.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#24
(Euro) Serbia pk 1.32: 1 to win .32.
...This is going to look like the most gutless play. And maybe it is. Just an action play.
...I view Serbia as being more potent. They should win.
...This bet has to do with Slovenia's strengths + weaknesses. Gk Oblak is a stud. But they don't many attacking options, so I have a hard time seeing them winning this game.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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#25
(wnba) 2* Dal/Chi UND 162.5 (1.93): 2 to win 1.86.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#26
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Euro) Ukraine -0.5 2.18 (vs Slovakia): 1 to win 1.18.
...If you liked Ukraine at all b4 the tournament, this has to be a value spot.
...Go beyond the Scorelines from the opening-round games.
...UKR controlled the ball for a majority of the time. Just that ROM was deadly on finishing chances.
...On the flip-side, SVK capitalized on one Belgium miscue. And Belgium had two goals scrubbed out.
...Looks like a great reversal spot. I like the line value.
2nd unit: UKR (1h) pk 1.64: 1 to win .64.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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#27
(MLB) 1* Milw Brewers 2.00 (@SanDiego): 1 to win 1.00
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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#28
(Euro) 2* FRANCE (vs Neth). Splitting my risk like this:
(1h) pk 1.69: 1 to win .69.
(Gm) -0.5 2.24: 1 to win 1.24.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#29
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Day: 4-3.
...CROA were up by one. But they cough up the late goal.
...NYY lose.
...KY gets wrecked. Sechrist comes up huge for us. We get two wins in the TENN game.
...TexAM rolls. Sets up a heavy-wt matchup of Tenn vs TxAM.
Week: 10.5-7.
Day: 2-1 (1.0 Push)
...Serbia draws on the final kick. Push.
...WNBA total stays under.
...Brewers lose in Xtra Innings.
Week: 12.5-8.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#30
(Copa) Mexico -.75 1.82: 1 to win .82.
...Situational play. Might look like a Neutral site.
...Houston TX is filled with Mexican supporters. Hidden value on the HFA-support.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#31
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
2nd unit: UKR (1h) pk 1.64: 1 to win .64.
Adding a 3rd unit on UKR: (gm) pk 1.60: 1 to win .60.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#32
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Adding a 3rd unit on UKR: (gm) pk 1.60: 1 to win .60.
Two more units on Ukraine: (gm) -0.25 1.97: 2 to win 1.94.
...Going to cap it at 5 units of action.
...Just think the reaction to the Round One results is too much.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#33
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Euro) 2* FRANCE (vs Neth). Splitting my risk like this:
(1h) pk 1.69: 1 to win .69.
(Gm) -0.5 2.24: 1 to win 1.24.
3rd unit on FRA: (gm) pk 1.68: 1 to win .68.
...Even without Mbappe, this roster oozes with talent.
...I expect Kolo to start. Giroud may be the 2h sub.
...With the star-man out, chances for other guys to shine. They'll surely want a bite of the apple.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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ChuckyTheGoat
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#34
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
(Copa) Mexico -.75 1.82: 1 to win .82.
...Situational play. Might look like a Neutral site.
...Houston TX is filled with Mexican supporters. Hidden value on the HFA-support.