(Plays 4/1 - 4/7)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Venue a pretty big deal for the championship game

gl tonight

Fair comment, John. And honestly, maybe I'm not fully grasping that.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NBA play = OKC +11 (1.97). 2 to win 1.94.
...Gilg-Alex Out.
...And Jaylin Williams replaces Jalen Williams in the starting lineup. Try to figure out that one.
...Can't imagine Boston feels too motivated. Other than just staying sharp.
...I view OKC as a good young team. Like grabbing the pts here.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NBA play = OKC +11 (1.97). 2 to win 1.94.
...Gilg-Alex Out.
...And Jaylin Williams replaces Jalen Williams in the starting lineup. Try to figure out that one.
...Can't imagine Boston feels too motivated. Other than just staying sharp.
...I view OKC as a good young team. Like grabbing the pts here.

Take this FWIW: *They've only lost by 12+ 6x all season.

[johnnyvegas13]

I like it chuck

i got a small play on okc ml

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I like it chuck

i got a small play on okc ml

Thx, John. GL to us.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA play for THUR:
2* HOU +4 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.
...Playing the Rockets on the opener.
...This line makes no sense to me.
...GoldSt on a 5-game win streak and off a great win over DALL. But the four previous wins were vs injury-riddled teams.
...GoldSt has now built a 3-game cushion for the 10-seed. Makes this an elimination game for the Rockets.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NBA play = OKC +11 (1.97). 2 to win 1.94.
...Gilg-Alex Out.
...And Jaylin Williams replaces Jalen Williams in the starting lineup. Try to figure out that one.
...Can't imagine Boston feels too motivated. Other than just staying sharp.
...I view OKC as a good young team. Like grabbing the pts here.

Adding a 3rd unit. 1* OKC +12 (1.90). 1 to win .90.

Good Luck, everyone.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I like it chuck

i got a small play on okc ml

Johnny, if you like this stuff, I'll give you a game to watch tonite. Tor at Min.

*Tor has a ton of injuries.
*MIN has some key injuries. Towns/Conley out.
...I almost played Tor +16.5.
...One reason is that I think TOR could have the advantage at Pt Guard. I rate Quickley as better than Conley's backup.
...Then I looked at the Center matchup. You want to see the biggest mis-match possible? Gobert vs Toronto backup C Gueye.
...Gueye sucked in college. The Eiffel Tower is going to make this guy's life miserable tonite.
...I pass the game.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Gonna take some time off after the NCAAs. My read is not too good right now.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Johnny, if you like this stuff, I'll give you a game to watch tonite. Tor at Min.

*Tor has a ton of injuries.
*MIN has some key injuries. Towns/Conley out.
...I almost played Tor +16.5.
...One reason is that I think TOR could have the advantage at Pt Guard. I rate Quickley as better than Conley's backup.
...Then I looked at the Center matchup. You want to see the biggest mis-match possible? Gobert vs Toronto backup C Gueye.
...Gueye sucked in college. The Eiffel Tower is going to make this guy's life miserable tonite.
...I pass the game.

I believe TOR got two points out of their Center position. Tough nite at the office.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding a 3rd unit. 1* OKC +12 (1.90). 1 to win .90.

Good Luck, everyone.

Bad day. Back to the Drawing Board:

(NBA 0-4) = 0-4. Week = 3-15.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Still have a few plays pending on: NBA/NCAA/NIT.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA play for THUR:
2* HOU +4 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.
...Playing the Rockets on the opener.
...This line makes no sense to me.
...GoldSt on a 5-game win streak and off a great win over DALL. But the four previous wins were vs injury-riddled teams.
...GoldSt has now built a 3-game cushion for the 10-seed. Makes this an elimination game for the Rockets.

Adding 3rd unit. HOU Rockets +4 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

2* LA CLIPPERS +3 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding 3rd unit. HOU Rockets +4 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

2* LA CLIPPERS +3 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.

3rd unit on: Clippers +4 (1.90). 1 to win .90.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3rd unit on: Clippers +4 (1.90). 1 to win .90.

Bumping both NBA plays up to 5* status. Adding two units each:

2* HOU +3.5 (2.04). 2 to win 2.08.
2* CLIP +4.5 (1.88). 2 to win 1.76.

...Love both of these spots.
...GoldSt off 5 wins and maybe off their best showing in a month.
...HOU showed camaraderie during the 10-game win streak. They should give it their all here.

...The Clip play is more of an over-reaction to the Leonard injury. Cmon, he's a big name but he's not at his peak.
...Also like the travel angle. Nuggets go from altitude to sea-level and laying > 3 against a playoff team.
...Zubac is having a good season. Should offer some resistance to Jokic.

[stevenash]

Chucky.
The Gafford prop, OVER 18.5 combined points and rebounds looks extremely juicy.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chucky.
The Gafford prop, OVER 18.5 combined points and rebounds looks extremely juicy.

Nice. GL.

[stevenash]

Back at ya Chuck, good luck.

You have a lean on this NIT Final.
I've been watching the total steam down for the last hour.
Hmm, interesting.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Back at ya Chuck, good luck.

You have a lean on this NIT Final.
I've been watching the total steam down for the last hour.
Hmm, interesting.

See posts 33 + 36.

I'm on SHall +3.5.

[stevenash]

See posts 33 + 36.

I'm on SHall +3.5.

I like Seton Hall and the under.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* Phi Sixers +3 (1.95). 2 to win 1.90

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chucky.
The Gafford prop, OVER 18.5 combined points and rebounds looks extremely juicy.

Nashy, the NBA Reg Season has been ho-hum. At times, it's sucked.

That said, I'm really looking fwd to the NBA Playoffs. West should be fantastic. East COULD be a foregone conclusion, we'll see.

I honestly think they should implement the 3-game mini-series for 7/10 and 8/9. Cut off 6 games from the Reg Season. These guys are falling apart, via the Injury Rpt.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Great game in the NIT Final. Both teams sold out.

The Hall win it all. Payback for 1989. When Rumeal Robinson got a phantom foul call to shoot the two winning FTs.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA play for THUR:
2* HOU +4 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.
...Playing the Rockets on the opener.
...This line makes no sense to me.
...GoldSt on a 5-game win streak and off a great win over DALL. But the four previous wins were vs injury-riddled teams.
...GoldSt has now built a 3-game cushion for the 10-seed. Makes this an elimination game for the Rockets.

My read on the Rockets has been bad. A few observations:
1) Their 10-game win-streak was mostly versus Tomato Cans and Banged-up Teams.
2) Do they miss C Sengun that much? Maybe they do.
3) Whatever the case, I whiffed. That's their Save the Season effort?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Bad day. Back to the Drawing Board:

(NBA 0-4) = 0-4. Week = 3-15.

(Coll 3-0) + (NBA 7-5) = 10-5. Week = 13-20.

...4 Dogs: 3 SU winners + one no-show. Split on the 5*'s.

[stevenash]

Great game in the NIT Final. Both teams sold out.

The Hall win it all. Payback for 1989. When Rumeal Robinson got a phantom foul call to shoot the two winning FTs.

That game was as good as it gets.
Glued to the edge of the sofa pretty much the whole second half.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3* NBA play for FRI = Minn Twolves +4 (1.95). 3 to win 2.85.
...Conley expected to return. Was held out for precautionary reasons.
...Wolves have plenty to play for. 1-seed up for grabs.
...Wolves are a tough team to beat by margin.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3* NBA play for FRI = Minn Twolves +4 (1.95). 3 to win 2.85.
...Conley expected to return. Was held out for precautionary reasons.
...Wolves have plenty to play for. 1-seed up for grabs.
...Wolves are a tough team to beat by margin.

2* OKC +5.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* OKC +5.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

OKC off a blowout loss. In my mind, this # can't be correct.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NY Knicks +1.5 (1.95). 2 to win 1.90.
...Knicks have had some choppy performances. But I can't see how this isn't value.
...Some concern about starters playing extended minutes last nite. But the bench looks good, should contribute here.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* Sac/Bos OVER 226 (1.94). 1 to win .94
...Just a hunch. Boston officially locked up the league-wide 1-seed. Could see them being very loose tonite.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3* NBA play for FRI = Minn Twolves +4 (1.95). 3 to win 2.85.
...Conley expected to return. Was held out for precautionary reasons.
...Wolves have plenty to play for. 1-seed up for grabs.
...Wolves are a tough team to beat by margin.

Adding 2 units: MINN +4.5 (1.90). 2 to win 1.80.
...Think the TWolves will be very tough to beat.
...Capping it at 5 units.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* OKC +5.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

Adding a 3rd unit. +6.5 (1.97). 1 to win .97.

1* CHA Hornets +13 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

[macoeric]

I k

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I k

I k?

Been a struggle of late, eric. Tough to find a winner.