We may have BAD WEATHER for tonights COLO ST./COLO game

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  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #1
    We may have BAD WEATHER for tonights COLO ST./COLO game
    Forcast is for on and off thunderstorms in the area.

    Probably one reason the total is edging downward.
  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #2
    In the last few minutes in fact, the total is being hit hard to the UNDER..........thoughts?
    Comment
    • Reload
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-23-08
      • 12250

      #3
      Thanks, Fish - Get in now I would say.
      Comment
      • Fishhead
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-11-05
        • 40179

        #4
        Originally posted by Reload
        Thanks, Fish - Get in now I would say.
        Only if one likes the UNDER........if one likes the OVER, be patient for now.
        Comment
        • Richkas
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-03-08
          • 19396

          #5
          Thanks for the heads up
          Comment
          • StraitShooter
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-22-09
            • 10464

            #6
            Thanks for bringing this up
            Comment
            • soli
              SBR MVP
              • 09-10-06
              • 2503

              #7
              Thanks for the info Fishhead
              Comment
              • Richkas
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-03-08
                • 19396

                #8
                Originally posted by Fishhead
                In the last few minutes in fact, the total is being hit hard to the UNDER..........thoughts?

                I like Colorado State and the OVER
                Comment
                • Fishhead
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-11-05
                  • 40179

                  #9
                  Still some 51's out there if you like the Under.............the Greek just went to 49.5!!!
                  Comment
                  • 20Four7
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-08-07
                    • 6703

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Fishhead
                    In the last few minutes in fact, the total is being hit hard to the UNDER..........thoughts?
                    It's dropped 2 points in the last 20 frm what I see. I had a minor lean on the over, I'm going to wait and see where it ends up and check the weather again. I might put a small bet on the over if I believe it's been over sold.
                    Comment
                    • james4512
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-27-08
                      • 3707

                      #11
                      i like colorado's small running back but if its bad weather i dont think he'll really be a factor
                      Comment
                      • Fishhead
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-11-05
                        • 40179

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 20Four7
                        It's dropped 2 points in the last 20 frm what I see. I had a minor lean on the over, I'm going to wait and see where it ends up and check the weather again. I might put a small bet on the over if I believe it's been over sold.

                        THE GREEK really taking a stand with 49.5 currently.
                        Comment
                        • 20Four7
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-08-07
                          • 6703

                          #13
                          everywhee else has gone back to 50.5 but I still see some 51's. It's time to hit the greek I think
                          Comment
                          • Fishhead
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-11-05
                            • 40179

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 20Four7
                            everywhee else has gone back to 50.5 but I still see some 51's. It's time to hit the greek I think
                            Not sure about that.............MB is holding steady to going lower.
                            Comment
                            • fsugolf
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-17-09
                              • 6194

                              #15
                              FH always on top of these things
                              Comment
                              • ijustwant2bpaid
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-11-08
                                • 3706

                                #16
                                nice work fish, i was liking the over also, maybe the storm will miss.. if it hits its a no play for me..
                                Comment
                                • Richkas
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-03-08
                                  • 19396

                                  #17



                                  Radar Loop
                                  Comment
                                  • Fishhead
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-11-05
                                    • 40179

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Richkas

                                    Excellent link to monitor as we approach kickoff.
                                    Comment
                                    • Richkas
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-03-08
                                      • 19396

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fishhead
                                      Excellent link to monitor as we approach kickoff.

                                      Comment
                                      • 20Four7
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-08-07
                                        • 6703

                                        #20
                                        Pinny is at 50.5 and is allowing up to $3,000 for a wager rather than 2,000. seems they are confident they have the right line.
                                        Comment
                                        • Fishhead
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 08-11-05
                                          • 40179

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 20Four7
                                          Pinny is at 50.5 and is allowing up to $3,000 for a wager rather than 2,000. seems they are confident they have the right line.
                                          The OVER 50.5 is at +104 at MB.
                                          Comment
                                          • 20Four7
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-08-07
                                            • 6703

                                            #22
                                            just made my plays once I reloaded to both the greek and matchbook. Had to use matchbook (which is the better play) because I had some technical issues at the greek. Now on to see how the greeks customer service is. BTW the greek has a 15% reload bonus until September 15 for you players out there.
                                            Comment
                                            • 20Four7
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-08-07
                                              • 6703

                                              #23
                                              BTW fishy I forgot to say I took the whole +104 and now it's down to +101
                                              Comment
                                              • Fishhead
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-11-05
                                                • 40179

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 20Four7
                                                Pinny is at 50.5 and is allowing up to $3,000 for a wager rather than 2,000. seems they are confident they have the right line.

                                                PINNY just dropped the total to 50.........
                                                Comment
                                                • 20Four7
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-08-07
                                                  • 6703

                                                  #25
                                                  I still like the over even if the line is moving against me. The greek has held strong to a 49.5 total. Matchy is now 50.5 -104 for the over.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KingKing
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 408

                                                    #26
                                                    Thanks for the info fishhead b.o.l
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 20Four7
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-08-07
                                                      • 6703

                                                      #27
                                                      just checked the radar and most of the bad weather is hitting north in cheyene. I've been there when weather has been bad and it can be horrible. Hopefully it'll miss the boulder area where the game is being played, currently a little light rain in that area.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fishhead
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 08-11-05
                                                        • 40179

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by 20Four7
                                                        just checked the radar and most of the bad weather is hitting north in cheyene. I've been there when weather has been bad and it can be horrible. Hopefully it'll miss the boulder area where the game is being played, currently a little light rain in that area.
                                                        ........bad weather doesn't always go hand in hand with UNDERS either...........depends on many factors.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • homerbush
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-17-08
                                                          • 2317

                                                          #29
                                                          exactly a sloppy game can mean more defensive scoring, blocked punts... etc. So let the total go down then I will continue to blast the over on this one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • laxdjock
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-15-07
                                                            • 4074

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm looking hard at the 49.5 @ The Greek. I'm not sure about Col @-11, but the Over looks good.

                                                            Thoughts?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fishhead
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 08-11-05
                                                              • 40179

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by laxdjock
                                                              I'm looking hard at the 49.5 @ The Greek. I'm not sure about Col @-11, but the Over looks good.

                                                              Thoughts?
                                                              The GREEK was not born yesterday, be careful.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • laxdjock
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-15-07
                                                                • 4074

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Fishhead
                                                                The GREEK was not born yesterday, be careful.
                                                                That's what I'm worried about.....they don't float too many bad lines.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 20Four7
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-08-07
                                                                  • 6703

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The greek is a sharp sportsbook no doubt about it. I still stick by my capping. I realize bad weather and unders don't go hand in hand unless they get constantly stuck mid field and play a defensive ground game. I have seen games where a few blocked punts, fumbles are swam back for a TD.

                                                                  I usually go smaller if I see the line moving against me I'll reevaluate and lower my prediction of my edge. Rarely change a pick due to line movement against me alone.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • donjuan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-29-07
                                                                    • 3993

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Clear skies and sunny here right now. But of course this is Colorado where the weather is schizophrenic.

                                                                    Stewart, the small CU running back, has been injured lately and is supposedly 80-90% right now. Will likely see some carries, but not as many as Scott, Lockridge and Sumler. Because of this, you might want to take a look at the "No" on him scoring a TD prop on Bodog, especially with Scott and Sumler likely to get carries around the goal line with their size.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 20Four7
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-08-07
                                                                      • 6703

                                                                      #35
                                                                      The line -140 for that prop at 5 dimes but just moved to -155. Bodog is offering -160.
                                                                      Comment
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