Why I picked Wisconsin and not Ball State...

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    Why I picked Wisconsin and not Ball State...
    I know nothing about college football but when I made my 10 picks for the 128 man tourney I looked for a huge moneyline AND good line movement. Ball State's line was down from -16 to -15 at some Vegas sports books when I made my picks, I ruled Ball State out immediately (they lost outright today as you probably know).

    On the other hand, I took Wisconsin over a bunch of teams like UCLA. Why? Wisconsin's line was up in Vegas from an opener of -14 to -17 meanwhile UCLA was down from an opener of -24 to a low of -19. Since then I've found out that UCLA is a particularly weak play this week.

    Sometimes you can pick plays purely on line movement.
  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #2
    This kind of insight and advice deserves points.
    Comment
    • Mikail
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-19-09
      • 21689

      #3
      If you shared this info before the game People would have been more likely to reward you points! Good point though about line movement and determining outcomes of games based on them!
      Comment
      • MexicanStallion
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-08
        • 20429

        #4
        Did anybody lose on Ball State?
        Comment
        • DrStale
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-07-08
          • 9692

          #5
          Originally posted by MexicanStallion
          Did anybody lose on Ball State?
          Yes.
          Originally posted by Dark Horse
          If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
          Comment
          • Mikail
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-19-09
            • 21689

            #6
            I think their are a lot of unhappy Ball state backers today!
            Comment
            • fearless
              Restricted User
              • 08-14-06
              • 4950

              #7
              Originally posted by MexicanStallion
              Did anybody lose on Ball State?
              pico, Sammy, goldengoat, TWEETS, aguy, Miklos maybe many more, look it up.
              Comment
              • fearless
                Restricted User
                • 08-14-06
                • 4950

                #8
                Originally posted by Mikail
                If you shared this info before the game People would have been more likely to reward you points! Good point though about line movement and determining outcomes of games based on them!
                Do you think I have a crystal ball? If I knew Ball State was a gonna lose I would have bet my bankroll plus everything I could deposit fading them.

                I'm just happy that my method worked. One catastrophe avoided, 10 wins to go.
                Comment
                • Mikail
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-19-09
                  • 21689

                  #9
                  Originally posted by fearless
                  Do you think I have a crystal ball? If I knew Ball State was a gonna lose I would have bet my bankroll plus everything I could deposit fading them.

                  I'm just happy that my method worked. One catastrophe avoided, 10 wins to go.
                  I don't think you have a crystal ball, but anyone can post something like this after the game!
                  Comment
                  • fearless
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-14-06
                    • 4950

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Mikail
                    I don't think you have a crystal ball, but anyone can post something like this after the game!
                    Except for the fact that I ACTUALLY took Wisconsin over Ball State because of my method. I do have bragging rights. For example, at Loose Lines both Ball State and Wisconsin were -16.5 before the Ball State game started. Most people who know nothing about college football would look at those odds and say the two teams must have equal chances.

                    But, thanks to my research, not in college football but in the line, I knew instantly that Wisconsin was a good potential play and Ball State was a weaker play and not a potential play for me.

                    BTW, I posted my plays and the reasons before the Ball State game, read my post here:

                    http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/221273-will-i-hit-10-team-parlay.html

                    Wisconsin better win or I lose the farm and look like an idiot. lol
                    Comment
                    • Mikail
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-19-09
                      • 21689

                      #11
                      Originally posted by fearless
                      Except for the fact that I ACTUALLY took Wisconsin over Ball State because of my method. I do have bragging rights. For example, at Loose Lines both Ball State and Wisconsin were -16.5 before the Ball State game started. Most people who know nothing about college football would look at those odds and say the two teams must have equal chances.

                      But, thanks to my research, not in college football but in the line, I knew instantly that Wisconsin was a good potential play and Ball State was a weaker play and not a potential play for me.

                      Wisconsin better win or I lose the farm and look like an idiot. lol
                      Fair enough! Congratulations on the win!
                      Comment
                      • fearless
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-14-06
                        • 4950

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Mikail
                        Fair enough! Congratulations on the win!
                        Thanks! BTW, I posted my plays and the reasons before the Ball State game, read my post here:

                        Comment
                        • MexicanStallion
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-08-08
                          • 20429

                          #13
                          Originally posted by fearless
                          pico, Sammy, goldengoat, TWEETS, aguy, Miklos maybe many more, look it up.
                          I looked it up after the game, but I don't think it was updated yet. I wasn't sure, that's why I asked.
                          Comment
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