NFL week 06- Contrarian Angles

[TheRedZone]

Is this thread just a summary of picks posted in the thread?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

God I hate doing this…..

Indy -2

Thank you to Philly for posting this. Was enough to get me thinking about Indy.

I don't want to speak for Philly. But I think he gets it as a veteran bettor. Sometimes NFL betting feels like so Anti.

[TheLock]

Ravens -4.5 -110 is the most contrarian play on the board right now in my opinion.

On the road, Giants playing very well. And you gotta lay 4.5?

Ravens is my play

No good. Sorry, boys

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Thank you to Philly for posting this. Was enough to get me thinking about Indy.

I don't want to speak for Philly. But I think he gets it as a veteran bettor. Sometimes NFL betting feels like so Anti.

Thank you GTG. Very kind of you.

[pologq]

chiefs +3 at home against the bills

dolphins +3 at home only if Bridgewater or Tua plays. if it is the 3rd string this bet is canceled.

blew both of these

[ChuckyTheGoat]

blew both of these

Chiefs were a wire-job. On a knife-edge.

I didn't record your Dolphins play, based on the * re: QB.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Nate and edawg are on fire. Will update after the MNF game.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Thx, Jack. Gonna give you NE at +2.5:

257 New Eng +3...with +2.5
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
259 Jets +7
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5 (2x)...(1x) on 274 PHI -6
275 Denv +5

7-4 ATS heading into the MNF game.

Props to the Patriot bettors, rocking-chair winner. Thanks to all for contributing.

[jackpot269]

7-4 ATS heading into the MNF game.

Props to the Patriot bettors, rocking-chair winner. Thanks to all for contributing.

[TheRedZone]

Is this thread just a summary of picks posted in the thread?

Was just trying to understand the thread. Can anyone post picks?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Was just trying to understand the thread. Can anyone post picks?

Yes, RedZone. Good question.

I'll start the thread for Week07 later tonite. The boys have been hitting well. I'd lay out the parameters as such:

1) Try to limit to one pick per week (although > one is ok).
2) Totals are fair game.
3) Quote a current price.
4) List a reason WHY you are Fading a team...and why you LIKE the team you're backing.
5) Goal of the thread is to identify sides which the public likes. If the public is too high on said side, then contrarian side should have line value.

That's how I'd describe it. In addition to fading a certain team, the side we're backing often feels like it's a tough bet to make.

[Nate rasta]

Great week for contrarian angles. A lot of big dogs won out right

[agendaman]

i hope some of you gents went with my pick of atlanta falcons.i should havesprinkled the ml.anyay the overal 7-4 recod is nice.wow i see some live dogs this week.

[Nate rasta]

^^^^the line dipped down to 3 sunday morning. I got baited into taking the 9ers. I originally told myself to stay away from that game because I'm a Niners fan

[TheRedZone]

Yes, RedZone. Good question.

I'll start the thread for Week07 later tonite. The boys have been hitting well. I'd lay out the parameters as such:

1) Try to limit to one pick per week (although > one is ok).
2) Totals are fair game.
3) Quote a current price.
4) List a reason WHY you are Fading a team...and why you LIKE the team you're backing.
5) Goal of the thread is to identify sides which the public likes. If the public is too high on said side, then contrarian side should have line value.

That's how I'd describe it. In addition to fading a certain team, the side we're backing often feels like it's a tough bet to make.

Oh ok. Thank you for explaining.

[TheRedZone]

Kind of late to the party but 2 contrarian fades I saw yesterday were Jacksonville and Baltimore. I played Indy and NYG. Now that I understand the thread I hope to contribute this week. 🙌

[ChuckyTheGoat]

^^^^the line dipped down to 3 sunday morning. I got baited into taking the 9ers. I originally told myself to stay away from that game because I'm a Niners fan

Nate, that was a tough game. This is MY OPINION:

1) Tough injury game b/c Trent Williams and Nick Bosa were out. Bosa was ruled out on Sunday.
2) OL/DL studs are type of guys who don't move the line much (IMHO).
3) But maybe their absences were enough to move the #.

Anyway, absence of stud players like that have an impact on the game.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Kind of late to the party but 2 contrarian fades I saw yesterday were Jacksonville and Baltimore. I played Indy and NYG. Now that I understand the thread I hope to contribute this week. 

Yeah, exactly, RedZone. We try our best to identify a play that looks too public. Then go the other way + hope for the best.

Thanks for the question. Look forward to you contributing a pick in the Week07 thread.

[Nate rasta]

Ya Atl was a great contrarian play.great call agendaman

[agendaman]

that ATLANTA call was esp. tough for me as i have been a 49r fan forever.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Can I do a college play? KState +4.5. Grabbed this at 8am EST. This line will drop

[USCPHILLYGUY]

If not getting this one done early.

Arizona -1.5 vs N. Orleans

[ChuckyTheGoat]

If not getting this one done early.

Arizona -1.5 vs N. Orleans

Will put you down for this one later tonite, Philly. Thanks...and Good Luck.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Can I do a college play? KState +4.5. Grabbed this at 8am EST. This line will drop

Gonna keep this thread to NFL. But thanks for the tip!

I'm torn on that game. I think the TCU lines are really cresting. -5 was hi vs OklaSt, even some -5.5 late.

Thing about TCU is that their team speed generates a lot of big plays. Not sure about the game vs KanSt.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

257 New Eng +3...with +2.5 WW
266 ATL +6 W
252 PITT +8 W
259 Jets +7 W
261 Balt -4.5L
256 INDY -2W
272 KAN CITY +3 L
273 Dall +5 (2x)LL...(1x) on 274 PHI -6W
275 Denv +5W

...Denver gets there. 8-4 ATS for the week.