NFL week 06- Contrarian Angles

[ChuckyTheGoat]

wk01: 5-2 ATS
wk02: 10-0 ATS
wk03: 10-1 ATS.

wk04: 10-8 ATS

wk05: 7-6 ATS
YTD: 42-17 ATS (.712)
Five straight winning weeks. Pipped on the 2nd Browns bet (+1.5) to keep us under 55% last week. Still north of 70% YTD...so Stu Feiner (70%) is looking up at us.
Will continue to try this. Thanks, and Good Luck.

[agendaman]

certain teams/coaches/players in the league i just do not trust.so week 6.i like n,e, plus 3.limit n.chubb.rattle brisset.also dallas plus 5.division game.alloe me one more.atlanta plus 6. gl all.

[edawg]

Kenny Pickoff and the Pittsburgh queens +8

[Nate rasta]

Kenny Pickoff and the Pittsburgh queens +8

That's a good one

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Kenny Pickoff and the Pittsburgh queens +8

Thank you, dawg. Here's hoping you get to 6-0!

[USCPHILLYGUY]

God I hate doing this…..

Indy -2

[TheLock]

Ravens -4.5 -110 is the most contrarian play on the board right now in my opinion.

On the road, Giants playing very well. And you gotta lay 4.5?

Ravens is my play

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Ravens -4.5 -110 is the most contrarian play on the board right now in my opinion.

On the road, Giants playing very well. And you gotta lay 4.5?

Ravens is my play

Thank you, Lock. Hope your run continues.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

certain teams/coaches/players in the league i just do not trust.so week 6.i like n,e, plus 3.limit n.chubb.rattle brisset.also dallas plus 5.division game.alloe me one more.atlanta plus 6. gl all.

Thank you, Agenda. Marking down your three picks. Summary looking like this:

257 New Eng +3
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
273 Dall +5

Thanks. And Good Luck.

[pologq]

chiefs +3 at home against the bills

dolphins +3 at home only if Bridgewater or Tua plays. if it is the 3rd string this bet is canceled.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

chiefs +3 at home against the bills

dolphins +3 at home only if Bridgewater or Tua plays. if it is the 3rd string this bet is canceled.

Haha. Will put you down for Chiefs +3. Juice appears to be a little heavy, but that's cool.

As for Dolphins...imagine if we could "list" starting QB same way we "listed" starting P. I actually heard of a bettor lobbying for that some years ago. Surely, someone would be willing to pay a tax (10-cents??) to list "Bridgewater must start".

Good Luck on the Chefs, pal! Keep it rolling.

[OldBill]

JETS +7 @ packers

[johnnyvegas13]

chiefs +3 at home against the bills

dolphins +3 at home only if Bridgewater or Tua plays. if it is the 3rd string this bet is canceled.

U gotta think between the two fins will have a healthy qb this wk

[ChuckyTheGoat]

God I hate doing this…..

Indy -2

Philly wins a Purple Heart for this pick. Love it. What a disgusting side, so hard to bet.

Even further, you might see the bounce-back cappers love Jax here. Do Jags go to Fav?
*Colts = fav off Dog win
*Jax = dog off upset loss

Good Luck, Philly.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

chiefs +3 at home against the bills

dolphins +3 at home only if Bridgewater or Tua plays. if it is the 3rd string this bet is canceled.

257 New Eng +3
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
259 Jets +7
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Playing: 275 Denver +5

Still some 5s out there. Writeup later.

[Nate rasta]

Why did the Philly Dallas game move so much it opened at plus five and a half went down to plus four and a half now it's at plus 6.

I got Philly +6 I think this is going to be a blowout for the Eagles

[Nate rasta]

My bad meant Philly -6

This game is going to be a blowout for the Eagles a big reality check for Dallas

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Why did the Philly Dallas game move so much it opened at plus five and a half went down to plus four and a half now it's at plus 6.

I got Philly +6 I think this is going to be a blowout for the Eagles

I don't know why, Nate. Especially since DALL hinted that Dax MIGHT play (but he won't).

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Playing: 275 Denver +5

Still some 5s out there. Writeup later.

As for the Broncos:

1) Head coach has not distinguished himself.
2) They've looked bad in virtually every game, including the two wins.
3) Wilson injury news makes them even harder to back.

I hate this team. But I think they represent value. I view the Chargers as a finesse team, I think this # is a little too fat.

[klemopixx]

Dallas +5

Dallas defense will blitz and put pressure on Hurts the entire game. Cardinals showed that Hurts under pressure can only hit the quick toss, he can't beat you deep on a blitz. Eagles need to game plan for this and counter.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Dallas +5

Dallas defense will blitz and put pressure on Hurts the entire game. Cardinals showed that Hurts under pressure can only hit the quick toss, he can't beat you deep on a blitz. Eagles need to game plan for this and counter.

257 New Eng +3
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
259 Jets +7
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5 (2x)

275 Denv +5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

My bad meant Philly -6

This game is going to be a blowout for the Eagles a big reality check for Dallas

How tough are these lines? Eagles MIGHT win in style. But you have to pay full freight to go anti-DALL this week, -6 isn't cheap (vs one of the top defenses in league).

[Nate rasta]

^^^^ that's my pick Philly-6

I think Philly hammers them by 20 points
This is gonna be a blow out

[Nate rasta]

I think Philly has the best defense in the league right now and with that ruckus crowd it's going to be wild. Way too much for that backup quarterback . Eagles defense going to stuff the run too

[ChuckyTheGoat]

^^^^ that's my pick Philly-6

I think Philly hammers them by 20 points
This is gonna be a blow out

I'm marking you down, Nate. Thanks for posting!

Yes, it's one of those games that's going to get a lot of interest in the betting community. Not to mention key in Divisional standings.

257 New Eng +3
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
259 Jets +7
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5 (2x)...(1x) on 274 PHI -6

275 Denv +5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Thanks to all for posting. Here's to another winning week.

I've mentioned this b4. I have never seen so many hamburgers making Football videos. I guess a lot of it is tied to citizens having more access to the state betting.

It's unbelievable to me. They turn these games into four-person 20-minute examinations. Please!

If there was ever a year to extract contrarian value, it has to be 2022. I don't see ANYONE examining the scientific method. Just guys throwing shit against the wall.

[jackpot269]

Saw someone else on NE sign me on them also!

[agendaman]

the ravens ml is my lock of the week.harbaugh will devise a plan to limit s.barkley to under 100 rush yds. while lamarr and mark andrews do great damage.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Saw someone else on NE sign me on them also!

Thx, Jack. Gonna give you NE at +2.5:

257 New Eng +3...with +2.5
266 ATL +6
252 PITT +8
259 Jets +7
261 Balt -4.5
256 INDY -2
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5 (2x)...(1x) on 274 PHI -6
275 Denv +5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Saw someone else on NE sign me on them also!

Good Luck, boys. have a big wkend.

[jackpot269]

Good Luck, boys. have a big wkend.

Thanks Chucky you to pal,
Its started better then last week

3-1 LAST 2 DAYS

[stake1]

two games I love: colts and cardinals

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Thx, Jack. Gonna give you NE at +2.5:

257 New Eng +3...with +2.5 WW
266 ATL +6 W
252 PITT +8 W
259 Jets +7 W
261 Balt -4.5L
256 INDY -2W
272 KAN CITY +3
273 Dall +5 (2x)...(1x) on 274 PHI -6
275 Denv +5

Pretty good on the early plays. Only loss was BALT.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Kenny Pickoff and the Pittsburgh queens +8

Props to my man, edawg. Outright winner, guy goes to 6-0. ATS winner in each of the first six weeks.