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  • firedawg
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-08-08
    • 39219

    #36
    Originally posted by pilebuck13
    Adding IOWA state -3 seen enough feel Iowa state defense can slow down Kansas that will be the difference here. So far official plays Ucla -+3 and Iowa state -3. I’m still pondering Alabama I hope line stays somewhat same before kickoff
    Nice play here
    Comment
    • homie1975
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-24-13
      • 15452

      #37
      Originally posted by pilebuck13
      Adding IOWA state -3 seen enough feel Iowa state defense can slow down Kansas that will be the difference here. So far official plays Ucla -+3 and Iowa state -3. I’m still pondering Alabama I hope line stays somewhat same before kickoff
      I lean the two home teams here, KU and UCLA
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #38
        What up Piler, hope all is well. Good Thread

        UTSA -175

        The Red Raiders win over Miami is extremely overblown. The Canes, were coming back from a battle in College Station and just flat out weren't ready to play. Even the read this quote : "We looked at that team, 'Oh, we're going to win this game,'" Miami offensive lineman Jalen Rivers said. "So we came in obviously unmotivated ... and we got punched in the mouth"

        Canes turned It over on the first 3 possessions and gave up plays of "98,89,71,& 69". It was over before halftime, they pulled their QB and just completely folded.

        MTSU is not a good football team, they got smacked by JMU 44-7. In week 2 they again started off with a pick 6 @ Rado St who couldn't beat an SBR Forum team. Then they Blewout another winless Tenny St Team who has scored 9 points combined in the last 2 weeks and is even worse than Rado St. Now they have a short practice week off that Miami win to play UTSA.

        The Road Runners went to triple OT w/ Then Ranked Houston losing on a 2 point conversion, beat Army on the road and , was Tied with Texas at Half @ Texas. Then they just went off last week , against yes a bad Texas Southern Team.

        But the quality of these two teams are far away being overlooked by this Miami game.

        Frank Harris is a Senior QB who's completing 68% of his passes w/ 10-2 Td/int ratio. On the Other Side MTSU's Senior QB has inflated numbers that still aren't even good and is turnover prone. He's already been sacked 10 times as well (against that awful schedule)

        The number opened Correctly at 6.5 but its getting bet down I really think in the wrong direction due to just people overlooking the details of this matchup.

        The Roadrunners are going to contend for this C-USA Title and remember went 12-2 last year.

        The Red Raiders are under a new coordinator who instituted an Air Raid offense , so I just see them falling behind and throwing a few picks.

        UTSA is currently +230 to win the conference while MTSU is +800 and 5th. (they just moved after Miami)

        Its just a huge mismatch imo.

        I understand Friday night on the road can be tough, but I feel -175 is a gift.

        I personally have some open spots I filled and started a new one as well.

        GL

        ----

        PS tonight I Played two games small.

        Brewers FF -160
        Jays FF +115

        Fading both yanks and cards that clinched last night.
        Comment
        • pilebuck13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-15-15
          • 17918

          #39
          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
          What up Piler, hope all is well. Good Thread

          UTSA -175

          The Red Raiders win over Miami is extremely overblown. The Canes, were coming back from a battle in College Station and just flat out weren't ready to play. Even the read this quote : "We looked at that team, 'Oh, we're going to win this game,'" Miami offensive lineman Jalen Rivers said. "So we came in obviously unmotivated ... and we got punched in the mouth"

          Canes turned It over on the first 3 possessions and gave up plays of "98,89,71,& 69". It was over before halftime, they pulled their QB and just completely folded.

          MTSU is not a good football team, they got smacked by JMU 44-7. In week 2 they again started off with a pick 6 @ Rado St who couldn't beat an SBR Forum team. Then they Blewout another winless Tenny St Team who has scored 9 points combined in the last 2 weeks and is even worse than Rado St. Now they have a short practice week off that Miami win to play UTSA.

          The Road Runners went to triple OT w/ Then Ranked Houston losing on a 2 point conversion, beat Army on the road and , was Tied with Texas at Half @ Texas. Then they just went off last week , against yes a bad Texas Southern Team.

          But the quality of these two teams are far away being overlooked by this Miami game.

          Frank Harris is a Senior QB who's completing 68% of his passes w/ 10-2 Td/int ratio. On the Other Side MTSU's Senior QB has inflated numbers that still aren't even good and is turnover prone. He's already been sacked 10 times as well (against that awful schedule)

          The number opened Correctly at 6.5 but its getting bet down I really think in the wrong direction due to just people overlooking the details of this matchup.

          The Roadrunners are going to contend for this C-USA Title and remember went 12-2 last year.

          The Red Raiders are under a new coordinator who instituted an Air Raid offense , so I just see them falling behind and throwing a few picks.

          UTSA is currently +230 to win the conference while MTSU is +800 and 5th. (they just moved after Miami)

          Its just a huge mismatch imo.

          I understand Friday night on the road can be tough, but I feel -175 is a gift.

          I personally have some open spots I filled and started a new one as well.

          GL

          ----

          PS tonight I Played two games small.

          Brewers FF -160
          Jays FF +115

          Fading both yanks and cards that clinched last night.
          The man sorry I didn’t hit you back wasn’t sure if you was still on the 856. Short response I’m busy at penetrate w work I will get you back later tonight on this write up
          Comment
          • sandman0713
            SBR MVP
            • 09-10-11
            • 2036

            #40
            kansas should get pounded. mich scores 20+ then they should cover easily. bama looked mediocre vs texas, and no big play receivers like in seasons past. probably a down year for them...but really hard to say that about that program with how they always seem to pull it together and get better during the season.
            Comment
            • asiagambler
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-23-17
              • 6827

              #41
              Originally posted by Natty68
              Houston line seems VERY short at 2.5. I think the wave is well coached and scrappy but Cougs start to perform to pre-season expectations.

              Also think this is too many to give Purdue and they keep it within that number.
              Looks like some key defensive players out for Houston

              <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Deleted previous tweet that listed wrong name of one player. My apologies. <br>On 95.7 FM appearance, Houston coach Dana Holgorsen mentions two defensive starters out (Derek Parish and Malik Robinson) and adds “probably more to come.”</p>&mdash; Joseph Duarte (@Joseph_Duarte) <a href="https://twitter.com/Joseph_Duarte/status/1575211230851084288?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >September 28, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

              Holgerson also made some questionable comments following win over Rice about motivating his players ?

              Not sure how invested he is in this team
              Comment
              • pilebuck13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-15-15
                • 17918

                #42
                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                What up Piler, hope all is well. Good Thread

                UTSA -175

                The Red Raiders win over Miami is extremely overblown. The Canes, were coming back from a battle in College Station and just flat out weren't ready to play. Even the read this quote : "We looked at that team, 'Oh, we're going to win this game,'" Miami offensive lineman Jalen Rivers said. "So we came in obviously unmotivated ... and we got punched in the mouth"

                Canes turned It over on the first 3 possessions and gave up plays of "98,89,71,& 69". It was over before halftime, they pulled their QB and just completely folded.

                MTSU is not a good football team, they got smacked by JMU 44-7. In week 2 they again started off with a pick 6 @ Rado St who couldn't beat an SBR Forum team. Then they Blewout another winless Tenny St Team who has scored 9 points combined in the last 2 weeks and is even worse than Rado St. Now they have a short practice week off that Miami win to play UTSA.

                The Road Runners went to triple OT w/ Then Ranked Houston losing on a 2 point conversion, beat Army on the road and , was Tied with Texas at Half @ Texas. Then they just went off last week , against yes a bad Texas Southern Team.

                But the quality of these two teams are far away being overlooked by this Miami game.

                Frank Harris is a Senior QB who's completing 68% of his passes w/ 10-2 Td/int ratio. On the Other Side MTSU's Senior QB has inflated numbers that still aren't even good and is turnover prone. He's already been sacked 10 times as well (against that awful schedule)

                The number opened Correctly at 6.5 but its getting bet down I really think in the wrong direction due to just people overlooking the details of this matchup.

                The Roadrunners are going to contend for this C-USA Title and remember went 12-2 last year.

                The Red Raiders are under a new coordinator who instituted an Air Raid offense , so I just see them falling behind and throwing a few picks.

                UTSA is currently +230 to win the conference while MTSU is +800 and 5th. (they just moved after Miami)

                Its just a huge mismatch imo.

                I understand Friday night on the road can be tough, but I feel -175 is a gift.

                I personally have some open spots I filled and started a new one as well.

                GL

                ----

                PS tonight I Played two games small.

                Brewers FF -160
                Jays FF +115

                Fading both yanks and cards that clinched last night.
                Excellent write up per usual. The endless knowledge is awesome. I like that play and may just lay the points here still debating but I’m definitely turned onto it.
                Comment
                • pilebuck13
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-15-15
                  • 17918

                  #43
                  Added a 4 teamer for +1328
                  Ole miss -7
                  Purdue +12.5
                  Bama -17
                  Auburn +9.5
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #44
                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                    Added a 4 teamer for +1328
                    Ole miss -7
                    Purdue +12.5
                    Bama -17
                    Auburn +9.5
                    I don't hate it, just don't watch the Auburn game (what a weird thing to say, normally Auburn LSU is one of the games of the year) but for real don't watch.

                    Idc if It's Finley or Ashford , every time they drop back you'll be holding your breath...

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #45
                      I mean Auburn can't recruit a QB?

                      They are combined 2 Td's and 6 Int's and like 58% comp... But atleast the freshman Ashford can run.
                      Comment
                      • mjsuax13
                        Moderator
                        • 03-14-15
                        • 25116

                        #46
                        Originally posted by homie1975
                        completely agree on all.

                        i like Cade, he seems like a good kid, he is just simply outgunned by the young buck who has all of the bells and whistles and needs to be on the field lest he might transfer out if he does not get significant playing time. that is not a knock on the kid, that is just the way it is - if they are not going to play, they are going somewhere else. i would have my son do the same thing so i do not knock the process and what options they have.
                        Agreed. Cade will be fine. Getting a great education and will still have eligibility left. He will always be known for stabilizing the program a bit with last year. Granted- need to have a solid year as a program this year as well. You are right, have to go with the younger guy because he has all the athleticism you need in college today. I think the days of low scoring games against Ohio state are over… track meet. They need to keep feeding Corum the ball as well.
                        Comment
                        • CappinTerp
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 9650

                          #47
                          A game that is under the radar and rightfully so is the New Mexico State/Florida International game. Both these teams are in the bottom 10 in the country !........So why is New Mex St a fav by 14.5, I just don't get it....but the books do ! ....New Mex St -14.5 is one of my plays for Saturday...good luck guys, pilebuck 13 this could be a good thread !
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #48
                            OT:

                            Who's gonna create a Ken Pom type site for NCAAF

                            Jeez I wish I smart enough to do that.

                            Make a Million

                            Phil Steele is too preseason

                            If someone has those skills and makes it , Im getting my %

                            Trademarked Lkid1
                            Comment
                            • Miguelon
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-28-20
                              • 786

                              #49
                              The boy is back, simply the best
                              Comment
                              • pilebuck13
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-15-15
                                • 17918

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                I don't hate it, just don't watch the Auburn game (what a weird thing to say, normally Auburn LSU is one of the games of the year) but for real don't watch.

                                Idc if It's Finley or Ashford , every time they drop back you'll be holding your breath...

                                GL
                                I hear yah on Auburn kid glad I got the 9.5 and luckily to say it’s last leg so if the opportunity comes I will be at the casino and will make due to come out and try and middle or with some change obviously if it boils down to that but parlays are parlays rare for me and in between I did hit a 8 teamer this year MLB
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                  I hear yah on Auburn kid glad I got the 9.5 and luckily to say it’s last leg so if the opportunity comes I will be at the casino and will make due to come out and try and middle or with some change obviously if it boils down to that but parlays are parlays rare for me and in between I did hit a 8 teamer this year MLB
                                  bro bro , I’m going to bet auburn ml , just haven’t shared it yet … text me … fukk that line … bet less win more … Auburn gonna win this game , & if not , we’ll take a c note from me and order sushi … I’m gonna play money 0.8x …. Shhhhh
                                  Comment
                                  • pilebuck13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-15-15
                                    • 17918

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                    bro bro , I’m going to bet auburn ml , just haven’t shared it yet … text me … fukk that line … bet less win more … Auburn gonna win this game , & if not , we’ll take a c note from me and order sushi … I’m gonna play money 0.8x …. Shhhhh
                                    Tex u on the 856
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #53
                                      Yeah hit me up
                                      Comment
                                      • pilebuck13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-15-15
                                        • 17918

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                        Yeah hit me up
                                        I did same #? If not PM me
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #55
                                          I got it , my bad
                                          Comment
                                          • KRIT
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-11-14
                                            • 12878

                                            #56
                                            OKST gonna beat Baylor tomorrow, best play.
                                            Comment
                                            • Four33
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-13-19
                                              • 437

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by KRIT
                                              OKST gonna beat Baylor tomorrow, best play.
                                              First true road game for ok state. That defense has been eh. And mason aint last years d coordinator.

                                              Baylor dbs young though been burned quite a bit.
                                              Comment
                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-17-07
                                                • 52143

                                                #58
                                                Piler the best on the site
                                                Comment
                                                • pilebuck13
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-15-15
                                                  • 17918

                                                  #59
                                                  God damn did Purdue get knocked down 3 points 9.5 close yikes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #60
                                                    good start Purdue
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pilebuck13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-15-15
                                                      • 17918

                                                      #61
                                                      Purdue wins straight up lol love it ole miss killed parlay so far ucla was a win parlay dead. And Iowa state -3 riding
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #62
                                                        nice pick brother
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12878

                                                          #63
                                                          Ncst later today getting a TD looks solid. Also looking at Cal.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15452

                                                            #64
                                                            Piler good health, Bud
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pilebuck13
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-15-15
                                                              • 17918

                                                              #65
                                                              Ended up down on the week made a pretty big play on Iowa state most of my reads where fairly correct the parlay card was pretty accurate meh it’s life
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KRIT
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-11-14
                                                                • 12878

                                                                #66
                                                                Thought ncst game was at 5pm. If you can get them +7 take it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bostongambler
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-01-08
                                                                  • 35581

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Auburn up 2 TD’s early second quarter.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pilebuck13
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-15-15
                                                                    • 17918

                                                                    #68
                                                                    If I bet singles I’d be way up but I went to big on Iowa state and it cost me
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MiDNiTe
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-11-13
                                                                      • 7684

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I don't think Missouri will still win this but over 20.5 points for them @1.80 looks good right?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MiDNiTe
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 11-11-13
                                                                        • 7684

                                                                        #70
                                                                        So much variety on Georgia/Missouri game bet365 has Missouri @2.65 my book Missouri @5
                                                                        Comment
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