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  • pilebuck13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-15-15
    • 17918

    #1
    College football discussion.
    Look we should come together more and talk about games so I will give you my takes here. And feel free to chime in if you do please. Obviously I will take the points with UCLA I feel they have the better defense and I’ll take 3. Huskies my entire life have done nothing but disappoint me. Take 2 Purdue with +12.5 who’s playing Burton most likely I really don’t care feel like Minnesota is a tad
    Bit overrated and 12.5 is alot.. arguably Purdue best wide receiver in the country may get more idk I plan on sending the lady to the casino Friday morning or possibly Thursday afternoon. I already got a little riding on UCLA +3 3.5 is everywhere but whatever. Next game Iowa State -3.5 I might make a move if I can grab 3 Iowa state has a far superior defense in my opinion and I’m not buying the books aren’t respecting Kansas what age is Daniele’s like 26? Or some wild shit trust me it took me a while to
    Find his age for some weird ass reason Google it see how long it takes you to find not easy for 5 straight weeks books just not respecting this team? sorry this is a simple fade… Mississippi vs Kentucky my take on this game was lay the favorite and it might end up true still debating this one -7 is a lot on undefeated team with a 19 year old quarterback playing a huge game yet going against a good team.
    Lots of pressure I always look at these things.

    So far it’s Ucla +3 (already locked in -115 you can get +3.5 all over)
    Iowa State -3.5 I’m honestly letting the week develop hope to get -3 or better.

    Mississippi -7

    I’m telling you one of these 3 I plan on really hammering I just haven’t really figured out who yet… if you have some thoughts feel free to chime in thanks
  • jrgum3
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-21-17
    • 7005

    #2
    I think the Ole Miss game will be tricky. I'm a Cats fan so I'm a little biased but I don't like the way they've looked in 2 of the 3 games they played. They do get Chris Rodriguez back this week and he's a big part of what they like to do but this spot may just be a little tough to overcome. All that said Mark Stoops usually has his teams ready to play in big games and this one doesn't get much bigger since Ole Miss is also undefeated. Full disclosure I'll probably just watch this one as a fan and not bet it but I certainly understand backing Ole Miss on Saturday.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Virg and Duke game is a strange line

      Purdue does seem to be getting a lot of points

      Arkansas getting a lot of points at home probably sticks out the most +17.5

      Iowa at home +10 is a good spot
      Comment
      • pilebuck13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-15-15
        • 17918

        #4
        Originally posted by jrgum3
        I think the Ole Miss game will be tricky. I'm a Cats fan so I'm a little biased but I don't like the way they've looked in 2 of the 3 games they played. They do get Chris Rodriguez back this week and he's a big part of what they like to do but this spot may just be a little tough to overcome. All that said Mark Stoops usually has his teams ready to play in big games and this one doesn't get much bigger since Ole Miss is also undefeated. Full disclosure I'll probably just watch this one as a fan and not bet it but I certainly understand backing Ole Miss on Saturday.
        Still thinking on this one like I said big spot for young quarter back undefeated team idk yet
        Comment
        • pilebuck13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-15-15
          • 17918

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Virg and Duke game is a strange line

          Purdue does seem to be getting a lot of points

          Arkansas getting a lot of points at home probably sticks out the most +17.5

          Iowa at home +10 is a good spot
          Virginia Duke weird I agree line tells me Virginia. It’s funny you mentioned the Arkansas game I think this is a good spot for Bama and they will probably roll here
          Comment
          • Brock Landers
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 06-30-08
            • 45359

            #6
            Iowa +10
            Comment
            • daneblazer
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-14-08
              • 27861

              #7
              Keep close eye on the weather this week. I wouldn't touch any of the games in the southeast this week unless you're going under the total.
              Comment
              • daneblazer
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-14-08
                • 27861

                #8
                South Carolina moves their game to Thursday
                Comment
                • mjsuax13
                  Moderator
                  • 03-14-15
                  • 25115

                  #9
                  My plays on this wonderful Tuesday are:

                  Iowa +10: I think Michigan is a bit overrated and Iowa will be able to do some things defensively to confuse the young QB and to keep the game to one score. Iowa’s offense is shit and Michigan still is rolling out a young QB. Look for Michigan to heavily run the ball here and grind this game out at bit. I can see a white knuckle tight game.

                  UNLV -14.5: UNLV has a strong offense that can score in bunches and fast. New Mexico is just not very good. They average about 14 points a game and just got beat up pretty good last week @LSU. Arroyo also has the defense coached up a bit. This is a Friday night game in Las Vegas and UNLV is getting fan turnout in the new Allegiant Stadium which certainly helps. UNLV has been a covering machine the last 8 games @ 7-1. They have momentum as a team and program.

                  Kentucky/Ole Miss Over 54.5: this will be a shootout. Both squads 4-0 and riding some momentum in performance and recruiting. Look for 70+. Over 80 points in 2020 and both are better today. Wire to wire track meet.

                  That’s my Tuesday 3 Pack so far.
                  Comment
                  • Pigpen
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-09-08
                    • 2756

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jrgum3
                    I think the Ole Miss game will be tricky. I'm a Cats fan so I'm a little biased but I don't like the way they've looked in 2 of the 3 games they played. They do get Chris Rodriguez back this week and he's a big part of what they like to do but this spot may just be a little tough to overcome. All that said Mark Stoops usually has his teams ready to play in big games and this one doesn't get much bigger since Ole Miss is also undefeated. Full disclosure I'll probably just watch this one as a fan and not bet it but I certainly understand backing Ole Miss on Saturday.
                    I like Kentucky +7 (Oaklawn Sports App here in Ark) with their stud RB back from suspension. The Cats will not be intimidated as they went to the swamp and came back with the W. That venue is worse on the opponent that this IMO. I like the Kentucky QB. He had a couple of long TD passes last week. Too many points and I may try a small ML play.
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15452

                      #11
                      tread very carefully. college football lures you in the first month with soft lines and a decent amount of value if you do your HW on which teams are really solid and which ones are not, but then in Oct and Nov it will beat the EFF out of you and teach you a big time lesson.
                      Comment
                      • mjsuax13
                        Moderator
                        • 03-14-15
                        • 25115

                        #12
                        Originally posted by homie1975
                        tread very carefully. college football lures you in the first month with soft lines and a decent amount of value if you do your HW on which teams are really solid and which ones are not, but then in Oct and Nov it will beat the EFF out of you and teach you a big time lesson.
                        This is true but no learning ever takes place!

                        They make you feel good about your results and then stomp your nuts. Happens every year.
                        Comment
                        • asiagambler
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-23-17
                          • 6827

                          #13
                          Keep fading Michigan State ?

                          Their coach seems like an overpaid clown
                          Comment
                          • Pigpen
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-09-08
                            • 2756

                            #14
                            Originally posted by homie1975
                            tread very carefully. college football lures you in the first month with soft lines and a decent amount of value if you do your HW on which teams are really solid and which ones are not, but then in Oct and Nov it will beat the EFF out of you and teach you a big time lesson.
                            You
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Yes Mich State tilt
                              Comment
                              • mjsuax13
                                Moderator
                                • 03-14-15
                                • 25115

                                #16
                                Originally posted by asiagambler
                                Keep fading Michigan State ?

                                Their coach seems like an overpaid clown
                                He is. 1 booster donated all that money.

                                Money for Nothing!
                                Comment
                                • mjsuax13
                                  Moderator
                                  • 03-14-15
                                  • 25115

                                  #17
                                  Comment
                                  • pilebuck13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-15-15
                                    • 17918

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Pigpen
                                    I like Kentucky +7 (Oaklawn Sports App here in Ark) with their stud RB back from suspension. The Cats will not be intimidated as they went to the swamp and came back with the W. That venue is worse on the opponent that this IMO. I like the Kentucky QB. He had a couple of long TD passes last week. Too many points and I may try a small ML play.
                                    Valid points I feel the razorbacks get steam rolled Saturday
                                    Comment
                                    • Pigpen
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-09-08
                                      • 2756

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                      Valid points I feel the razorbacks get steam rolled Saturday
                                      I can see this too. That game last Saturday could have crushed their spirit. I have no idea how they will respond. I will say I am not willing to lay the points as it has risen to 17½ here @ the Arkansas books.
                                      Comment
                                      • pilebuck13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-15-15
                                        • 17918

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Pigpen
                                        I can see this too. That game last Saturday could have crushed their spirit. I have no idea how they will respond. I will say I am not willing to lay the points as it has risen to 17½ here @ the Arkansas books.
                                        I do hate laying that many you are right bro but if it’s anyone I would with it’s probably bama
                                        Comment
                                        • pilebuck13
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-15-15
                                          • 17918

                                          #21
                                          Lots of people rolling with Iowa I can’t say I hate it
                                          Comment
                                          • mjsuax13
                                            Moderator
                                            • 03-14-15
                                            • 25115

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                            Lots of people rolling with Iowa I can’t say I hate it
                                            Full disclosure, I went to Michigan and expect 2-3 losses this year. They are coming from somewhere. I hear you though.
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15452

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                              Full disclosure, I went to Michigan and expect 2-3 losses this year. They are coming from somewhere. I hear you though.
                                              i like Mich new QB better than the senior McNamara
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15452

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Pigpen
                                                I can see this too. That game last Saturday could have crushed their spirit. I have no idea how they will respond. I will say I am not willing to lay the points as it has risen to 17½ here @ the Arkansas books.
                                                PIG SOOIE or No Play at All.

                                                it is still early in the season and they only have 1 loss so I predict they bounce back and if if if i had to bet this one I take The HOGS + the points or i stay off it.
                                                Comment
                                                • homie1975
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                  • 15452

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                  Valid points I feel the razorbacks get steam rolled Saturday
                                                  it will resemble the Bama game vs Texas more than it will any other game Bama has played this year.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15452

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Virg and Duke game is a strange line

                                                    Purdue does seem to be getting a lot of points

                                                    Arkansas getting a lot of points at home probably sticks out the most +17.5

                                                    Iowa at home +10 is a good spot

                                                    Agree and agree.

                                                    i lean ARK but really like IOWA
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mjsuax13
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 03-14-15
                                                      • 25115

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                                      i like Mich new QB better than the senior McNamara
                                                      I do too. Just know he will have some rough games as well. Cheers.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pigpen
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-09-08
                                                        • 2756

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by homie1975
                                                        Agree and agree.

                                                        i lean ARK but really like IOWA

                                                        I like the Iowa play but I am not going to be a yard bird homer and play the Pigs. They gave that game away last weekend and I have no idea how they will respond. I like Kentucky and N.C. State. Clemson is not that good and I have been impressed with the Wolfpack.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mjsuax13
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 03-14-15
                                                          • 25115

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Pigpen
                                                          I like the Iowa play but I am not going to be a yard bird homer and play the Pigs. They gave that game away last weekend and I have no idea how they will respond. I like Kentucky and N.C. State. Clemson is not that good and I have been impressed with the Wolfpack.
                                                          Totally like the 6.5 with NC STATE. Haven’t placed a bet but worth looking into.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15452

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Pigpen
                                                            I like the Iowa play but I am not going to be a yard bird homer and play the Pigs. They gave that game away last weekend and I have no idea how they will respond. I like Kentucky and N.C. State. Clemson is not that good and I have been impressed with the Wolfpack.
                                                            since it's just 1 loss and there is so much to play for plus it is Bama coming to town, i think they will play very inspired.

                                                            if they were on the road or playing a nobody, i think they might feel more of a hangover.

                                                            i agree that Kentucky and NC State look good. i also agree that Clem is not that good.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • homie1975
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-24-13
                                                              • 15452

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                                              I do too. Just know he will have some rough games as well. Cheers.
                                                              true, because he is only a soph but i like his arm strength and ability to stretch the field, so much more than McNamara who is more of a game manager than a bona fide QB.

                                                              the soph just looks the part and has excellent arm talent.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pilebuck13
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-15-15
                                                                • 17918

                                                                #32
                                                                Adding IOWA state -3 seen enough feel Iowa state defense can slow down Kansas that will be the difference here. So far official plays Ucla -+3 and Iowa state -3. I’m still pondering Alabama I hope line stays somewhat same before kickoff
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Natty68
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-11-14
                                                                  • 550

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Houston line seems VERY short at 2.5. I think the wave is well coached and scrappy but Cougs start to perform to pre-season expectations.

                                                                  Also think this is too many to give Purdue and they keep it within that number.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mjsuax13
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 03-14-15
                                                                    • 25115

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                    true, because he is only a soph but i like his arm strength and ability to stretch the field, so much more than McNamara who is more of a game manager than a bona fide QB.

                                                                    the soph just looks the part and has excellent arm talent.
                                                                    Agreed on McNamara. McNamara had a great defense and Haskins/Corum running for almost 2300 combined yards last year. That combination neutralized/masked many of his flaws. The young buck has a huge test on the road this week. Can’t wait to see how he responds.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15452

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                                                      Agreed on McNamara. McNamara had a great defense and Haskins/Corum running for almost 2300 combined yards last year. That combination neutralized/masked many of his flaws. The young buck has a huge test on the road this week. Can’t wait to see how he responds.
                                                                      completely agree on all.

                                                                      i like Cade, he seems like a good kid, he is just simply outgunned by the young buck who has all of the bells and whistles and needs to be on the field lest he might transfer out if he does not get significant playing time. that is not a knock on the kid, that is just the way it is - if they are not going to play, they are going somewhere else. i would have my son do the same thing so i do not knock the process and what options they have.
                                                                      Comment
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